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Mitch
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This is great news for the ALP! As you go through Antony's seat-by-seat anaysis, you can assess each outcome in terms of "favouring ALP", "neutral", or "not favouring ALP". I have done this and I see the following: 10 outcomes favour ALP 33 are neutral 6 outcomes don't favour ALP (including abolition of Reid) Seats with high margins generally stay in the "neutral" category, even though, as with Throsby and Cunningham, a loss of ALP margin is actually yet another good ALP outcome because it is swallowing-up non-ALP votes that could do more harm if left in a neighbouring electorate. No matter how you shake it, the Kev-machine must be delighted!
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