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Antony Green
Recent Activity
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With polls picking an no clear winner for the May 7 UK election, the electoral system may yet play a part in helping Labour win more seats than the Conservatives. Continue reading
Posted 5 days ago at Antony Green's Election Blog
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A summary of the final lower house results for the NSW election, plus analysis of preferences and a new electoral pendulum. Continue reading
Posted Apr 13, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
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New figures indicate that the Coalition is still favoured to win 10 Legislative Council seats but the gap is narrowing. Continue reading
Posted Apr 8, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
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Could the Legislative Council election yet be voided because of an error with iVote? Continue reading
Posted Apr 7, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
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Preliminary figures from the NSW Legislative Council election reveal that iVote has an even larger 'donkey vote' than traditional paper ballot papers. Continue reading
Posted Apr 1, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
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Draft electoral boundaries have been released for the 2016 ACT election, implementing the increase in the size of the Assembly from 17 to 25 members. Continue reading
Posted Mar 31, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
An update on the count in Ballina and Lismore. Continue reading
Posted Mar 30, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
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Explanations on how post-election results are updated to the ABC election website. Continue reading
Posted Mar 29, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
The number of lower house candidates for the NSW election has risen to 540, but there will be a record 394 candidates on the Legislative Council ballot paper. Continue reading
Posted Mar 12, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
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The Coalition will need 39% of the vote in the Legislative Council if it hopes to have enough MLCs to pass legislation selling leases over the electricity distribution network. Continue reading
Posted Mar 9, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
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As the NSW election approaches, the Baird government's vulnerability to defeat is being hidden by the reporting of opinion polls. Continue reading
Posted Mar 1, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
My ABC Election Website for the 2015 New South Wales Election has now been launched. Continue reading
Posted Feb 20, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
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Former Victorian Nationals Leader and Deputy Premier Peter Ryan has resigned from the Victorian Parliament. A by-election will be held for his seat of Gippsland South on Saturday 14 March. Continue reading
Posted Feb 18, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
Final results of the 2015 Queensland election, allowing analysis of final votes, preference flows, and the construction of a new electoral pendulum. Continue reading
Posted Feb 16, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
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At every election I have to allocate a party status and margin to each seat, and the NSW seat of Miranda is creating a few classification problems for the 2015 NSW state election. Continue reading
Posted Feb 15, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
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The final preference distribution for Ferny Grove reveals that '1' only votes for the disqualified candidate would not have changed the result. Continue reading
Posted Feb 11, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
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The 2015 Queensland has seen a big shift in preference flows with a surge in voters directing preferences to Labor, as against just voting '1' in 2009 and 2012. Continue reading
Posted Feb 11, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
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After elections with indeterminate outcomes, Premier's are often permitted to test their numbers at the first parliamentary sitting. The LNP's problem is their Premier is no longer an MP. Continue reading
Posted Feb 8, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
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A summary of the how and why Australia's 28 Prime Ministers left office. Continue reading
Posted Feb 6, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
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The presence of a disqualified candidate in the key seat of Ferny Grove may cause a court challenge to the result, but it won't prevent the formation of a new Queensland government. Continue reading
Posted Feb 4, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
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3 February - Running update of today's counting in key seats. Continue reading
Posted Feb 2, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
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Latest counting has moved Gaven into the doubtful category, while Pauline Hanson now leads narrowly in Lockyer. Continue reading
Posted Feb 2, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
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Which Queensland seats qualify for the legendary status of 'bellwether'; or 'litmus test' seats. Continue reading
Posted Jan 25, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
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Do your bit for future historians. Donate your election material to the State Library of Queensland's election ephemera collection. Continue reading
Posted Jan 19, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
While 'Just Vote 1' was pushed by Peter Beattie as Labor's saviour in 2001, now it is fully embraced by the LNP as a strategy to win the 2015 election. Continue reading
Posted Jan 17, 2015 at Antony Green's Election Blog
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