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Evren Celik Wiltse
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Indeed, socio-economic prosperity establishes a wonderful trigger mechanism for democratization. And affluence is even more important for the SURVIVAL of democratic regimes (see Paul Collier on this)
After the Arab Spring, I too had my eyes on China, waiting for some action there.
But political scientists quickly hailed with bad news:
Apparently, China had developed a wonderfully DELIBERATIVE system of governance! Except that it's not the liberal, Habermasian type that the West would wish for. It's a highly regimented, dare I say, authoritarian form of deliberation channelled through the long tentacles of the Chinese Communist Party.
So there you have it... With 7-8% growth and all that trade surplus, what we get is deliberative authoritarianism, instead of democratic "Springs" in China...
Can you get rich without democracy?
Yes if you are an individual, but probably not if you are an entire country. As the figure below shows, there are very few countries that have developed beyond $5,000 in 2005 PPP dollars without becoming democracies somewhere along the way (unless they are an oil economy). This scatter plot co...
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Aug 29, 2011
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