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Gent in Flanders.
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Elisee Reclus wrote: On the other hand, in winter, the ice must help insulate the warm water below, preventing heat from escaping. You do have it wrong here. To correct, replace "ice" by "snow". Snow is a mixture of much air and tiny little ice granulates, hence a rather good insulator, due to the incorporated air. As an example, for the "ice hotels" (Canada, Finland, Sweden) on the river(s) there is a day-to-day and thorough snow scrape off, in order to obtain thick and very dense solid ice (= less of air present). Where the snow hasn't been scraped off, the ice has at least 1 meter less of thickness, end of February. Now, this winter so far the Arctic almost everywhere has been struck by intense snow flurries. Thus together with the extremely high temperatures we are alas heading right to an Arctic catastrophe.
Jim Hunt wrote: Nobody noticed! Apparently nobody noticed too sea ice extent is shrinking again for two days in row: ADS Japan sea ice extent
Michael Sweet asked: How much longer will it go lower? Quite a bit, alas. Do Check Reanalyzer --> Arctic --> Precipitation and clouds. You'll see from the 9th september on there will be a severe attack from the Atlantic side. Very strong warm winds and huge rainfall from Fram strait till deep into the Arctic, winds even reaching Wrangle Island ...
Toggle Commented Sep 3, 2016 on 2016 Mega-Dipole at Arctic Sea Ice
Wayne wrote: We have 21st century super fast evidence ... Another evidence, shelves 'en masse' are pushed (again) towards the Barrow coast line, to be dissolved there (surprisingly) rather quickly. Anyway, looks like major events are in the pipe line in the Beaufort and Canadian Archipelago zone, as well as the Laptev Sea.
Toggle Commented Aug 18, 2016 on 2016 Arctic cyclone, update 1 at Arctic Sea Ice
Short a notice, the 1st of the month Arctic Parade has been updated, images now come with a much higher resolution making it more comfortable to compare. Well, hoping this will be visible to anyone ...
Toggle Commented Jun 4, 2016 on ASI 2016 update 1: both sides at Arctic Sea Ice
Not that bright a news from the Obuoy front, only Obuoy 14 appears to be fully functional. All others are out, even Obuoy 13 which gave in at the 29th of April. Anyway, Obuoy 14 mounts the border of the Beaufort Sea and the Central Arctic [very North of Barrow], so it's quite interesting to see what happens there. And what we see for now is the ice has been rounded off, probably mainly caused by evaporation. Looks like there won't be other webcams available in the Artic, due to financial restrictions. But as we never paid not even a penny for, we can't complain, can we?
Third century this year (and the second this month) at ADS-Japan, minus 117.326 km2. And hitherto there have been this May three near centuries too. So the Arctic is exposed now already to a decay which usually only takes place end of Juin --> early July. Bottom line, and as it already had been told in February, it is as bad as it looks like.
Already a second century this year at ADS-NPR. Minus 130.413 km2. Meanwhile 2006 remains the second worst. For now, of course.
Finally breackup at Nome. Dispite the high temperatures there it took rather long ...
Undoubtly due to global warming and an over heated winter in Canada & Alaska: The 80.000 inhabitants of Fort McMurray [province of Alberta - Canada] had to be evacuated .
Toggle Commented May 5, 2016 on EGU2016, my impressions at Arctic Sea Ice
Back again! The polinia in front of Barrow is back, and even bigger as before. And confirmed by the looks of the UNI-Bremen chart. Albeit polinia do have strange habitudes, it never happened there at this time of the year (February --> early May) since Arctic monitoring began. Indicating the coastal ice is utterly thin and fragile indeed.
Toggle Commented Apr 7, 2016 on Winter analysis addendum at Arctic Sea Ice
Could we believe that, this year's first century on NIPR_jaxa at the 30th of March: 13697343-13560921=136422 km2 minus !?
For a few days it looked like the big polinea in front of Barrow would have been closed, but on the contrary, it has grown quite a lot. Rather puzzling considering the temperature there hovers between -16 ºC and -23 ºC. Of course, the sun now at noon stands high enough to warm up open water, but than can be only partial an explanation...
Toggle Commented Mar 13, 2016 on Mad Max 2: The Arctic Warrior at Arctic Sea Ice
As an hors-d'oeuvre at the coming melt season, enjoy the large polinia in front of Barrow. Also clearly detectable at the Uni-Bremen chart.
Toggle Commented Feb 28, 2016 on Global sea ice area record minimum at Arctic Sea Ice
Neven wrote JAXA didn't report today. Neither did NSIDC (for what is the day before yesterday now). Likely rather some communication problem. Meanwhile, for that day before yesterday [25th], JAXA registered 13,88 millions km2 (a big uptick), and for yesterday [26th] 13,86 km2, a small 'downtick'.
Toggle Commented Feb 27, 2016 on Global sea ice area record minimum at Arctic Sea Ice
Neven asked: I wonder what caused the 150K uptick. The 'uptick' is quasi enterely due to the gain in the Sea of Ochotsk. Meaning the Central Arctic and it's surrounding remain in as bad a state as before yesterday. Open water is even reaching Vize Island in the Barentz-Kara zone. Go figure ...
Toggle Commented Feb 25, 2016 on An exceptional exception at Arctic Sea Ice
And again a downtick at ADS - Japan, this time -64608 km2, thus over a century in two days. If it would continue like that, the max extennt for 2016 already could have been reached ... oh boy, it's as bad as it looks like....
Toggle Commented Feb 19, 2016 on An exceptional exception at Arctic Sea Ice
Yet another downtick at ADS-Japan, and again an important one [-55205 km2]. So it could be the max extent already is in the loop, all the more as according to Reanalyzer Org the Arctic will remain 'overheated' for at least one more week. It's beginning to look very bad ...
Toggle Commented Feb 18, 2016 on Global sea ice area record minimum at Arctic Sea Ice
Rob Dekker wrote: Seems like things are getting back to normal in the Arctic ... Nevertheless, a tiny downtick (minus 10.000 square km2) yesterday at ADS Japan. And according to indeed there could be some cooling down in the Bering Sea and Chucksi Sea zones, but from the 8th of februari the 'heating up' would restart again. Thus, as 2006 in this period began a steep climb up, it looks very much 2016 will keep firmly it's bottom position till the point of return ...
Rob Dekker asked: Did that ever happen before ? Yes, it did. Do compare: 1st of January parade and 1st of February parade And do keep in mind the UNI-Bremen charts are reducing any concentration below 15 % to 0 %. Meaning to sail or to kayak in such a -15 % environment could be a very tricky business. :-)
Killed two birds with one stone yesterday at ADS-Japan. A small downtick [minus 8488 km2], and 2016 again in bottom position. Looks like the situation will remain like that for at least a week as according to the Arctic will remain "overheated" for at least a week. Moreover, we are at less of a month from the 25th of February, the date at which in 2015 occured the maximum extent [accrding to NSIDC.
John Christensen wrote: Do you have something to substantiate this hypothesis Kris? My worthless person hasn't anything at all. OTOH, the Britts have, so do have a search onto the netweather website. Incidentally, do you have something to substantiate the AO is all that important!???
Neven wrote: It's the slow, ongoing decline that's the point. The Arctic has been (increasingly) anomalously warm for several years now. Yes indeed. But it looks to me we are forgetting about the direct impact. Do allow me to remind you all of the basics of the Jet Stream. A "ribbon band", created by the difference between cold and warm air. The greater the difference between cold and warm air, the stronger the jet stream, and in our case, the better the Polar Jet will be able to keep the cold air into the Arctic. As we all know, in the past few years the anomalously warm Arctic air weakened considerably the Polar Jet, triggering this Polar Jet to meander in giant meanders. Resulting in large pockets of cold air moving to the South. Last Winter the East North America had been struck for weeks by this phenomena. This Winter, until last week, the cold air moved nearly always into the central Atlantic - to be warmed up there and then to be moved back again into the Arctic, with even greater warmings up as a consequence. It even happened this year the Polar Jet and the Subtropical Jet merged, at the longitude Florida --> Portugal!
A quick note, at present 7 ºC at Illulisat, the previous record being 0 ºC in 2013. Can we believe that!?
Toggle Commented Jan 19, 2016 on PIOMAS January 2016 at Arctic Sea Ice
On ADS-Vishop Japan and after another 'smallthick' on the 15th of January the year 2016 landed again at the bottom, 12,91 million square km, against 12,92 million square km for 2007, the second lowest. Incidentally, for sure 2016 was already deep at the bottom in early January, but as we all know, our Japanese friends weren't yet pronti.
Toggle Commented Jan 16, 2016 on PIOMAS January 2016 at Arctic Sea Ice