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Kris
Gent in Flanders.
Recent Activity
Back again! The polinia in front of Barrow is back, and even bigger as before. And confirmed by the looks of the UNI-Bremen chart. Albeit polinia do have strange habitudes, it never happened there at this time of the year (February --> early May) since Arctic monitoring began. Indicating the coastal ice is utterly thin and fragile indeed.
Toggle Commented Apr 7, 2016 on Winter analysis addendum at Arctic Sea Ice
Could we believe that, this year's first century on NIPR_jaxa at the 30th of March: 13697343-13560921=136422 km2 minus !?
For a few days it looked like the big polinea in front of Barrow would have been closed, but on the contrary, it has grown quite a lot. Rather puzzling considering the temperature there hovers between -16 ºC and -23 ºC. Of course, the sun now at noon stands high enough to warm up open water, but than can be only partial an explanation...
Toggle Commented Mar 13, 2016 on Mad Max 2: The Arctic Warrior at Arctic Sea Ice
As an hors-d'oeuvre at the coming melt season, enjoy the large polinia in front of Barrow. Also clearly detectable at the Uni-Bremen chart.
Toggle Commented Feb 28, 2016 on Global sea ice area record minimum at Arctic Sea Ice
Neven wrote JAXA didn't report today. Neither did NSIDC (for what is the day before yesterday now). Likely rather some communication problem. Meanwhile, for that day before yesterday [25th], JAXA registered 13,88 millions km2 (a big uptick), and for yesterday [26th] 13,86 km2, a small 'downtick'.
Toggle Commented Feb 27, 2016 on Global sea ice area record minimum at Arctic Sea Ice
Neven asked: I wonder what caused the 150K uptick. The 'uptick' is quasi enterely due to the gain in the Sea of Ochotsk. Meaning the Central Arctic and it's surrounding remain in as bad a state as before yesterday. Open water is even reaching Vize Island in the Barentz-Kara zone. Go figure ...
Toggle Commented Feb 25, 2016 on An exceptional exception at Arctic Sea Ice
And again a downtick at ADS - Japan, this time -64608 km2, thus over a century in two days. If it would continue like that, the max extennt for 2016 already could have been reached ... oh boy, it's as bad as it looks like....
Toggle Commented Feb 19, 2016 on An exceptional exception at Arctic Sea Ice
Yet another downtick at ADS-Japan, and again an important one [-55205 km2]. So it could be the max extent already is in the loop, all the more as according to Reanalyzer Org the Arctic will remain 'overheated' for at least one more week. It's beginning to look very bad ...
Toggle Commented Feb 18, 2016 on Global sea ice area record minimum at Arctic Sea Ice
Rob Dekker wrote: Seems like things are getting back to normal in the Arctic ... Nevertheless, a tiny downtick (minus 10.000 square km2) yesterday at ADS Japan. And according to Reanalyzer.org indeed there could be some cooling down in the Bering Sea and Chucksi Sea zones, but from the 8th of februari the 'heating up' would restart again. Thus, as 2006 in this period began a steep climb up, it looks very much 2016 will keep firmly it's bottom position till the point of return ...
Rob Dekker asked: Did that ever happen before ? Yes, it did. Do compare: 1st of January parade and 1st of February parade And do keep in mind the UNI-Bremen charts are reducing any concentration below 15 % to 0 %. Meaning to sail or to kayak in such a -15 % environment could be a very tricky business. :-)
Killed two birds with one stone yesterday at ADS-Japan. A small downtick [minus 8488 km2], and 2016 again in bottom position. Looks like the situation will remain like that for at least a week as according to Reanalyzer.org the Arctic will remain "overheated" for at least a week. Moreover, we are at less of a month from the 25th of February, the date at which in 2015 occured the maximum extent [accrding to NSIDC.
John Christensen wrote: Do you have something to substantiate this hypothesis Kris? My worthless person hasn't anything at all. OTOH, the Britts have, so do have a search onto the netweather website. Incidentally, do you have something to substantiate the AO is all that important!???
Neven wrote: It's the slow, ongoing decline that's the point. The Arctic has been (increasingly) anomalously warm for several years now. Yes indeed. But it looks to me we are forgetting about the direct impact. Do allow me to remind you all of the basics of the Jet Stream. A "ribbon band", created by the difference between cold and warm air. The greater the difference between cold and warm air, the stronger the jet stream, and in our case, the better the Polar Jet will be able to keep the cold air into the Arctic. As we all know, in the past few years the anomalously warm Arctic air weakened considerably the Polar Jet, triggering this Polar Jet to meander in giant meanders. Resulting in large pockets of cold air moving to the South. Last Winter the East North America had been struck for weeks by this phenomena. This Winter, until last week, the cold air moved nearly always into the central Atlantic - to be warmed up there and then to be moved back again into the Arctic, with even greater warmings up as a consequence. It even happened this year the Polar Jet and the Subtropical Jet merged, at the longitude Florida --> Portugal!
A quick note, at present 7 ºC at Illulisat, the previous record being 0 ºC in 2013. Can we believe that!?
Toggle Commented Jan 19, 2016 on PIOMAS January 2016 at Arctic Sea Ice
On ADS-Vishop Japan and after another 'smallthick' on the 15th of January the year 2016 landed again at the bottom, 12,91 million square km, against 12,92 million square km for 2007, the second lowest. Incidentally, for sure 2016 was already deep at the bottom in early January, but as we all know, our Japanese friends weren't yet pronti.
Toggle Commented Jan 16, 2016 on PIOMAS January 2016 at Arctic Sea Ice
Neit wrote, Given that the largest engines use about 11 litres a second. Good or bad, that won't be of a concern as the Russians are planning to do the job with atom icebreakers. There are already some references to in this very blog, and it's that what Dmitry Rogozin was referring to when he talked about " ...we have all technological possibilities for this...". Actually, that kind of icebreakers is strong enough to whitstand storms as the previous around Iceland (an island which really can't be situated into the Arctic).
Colorado Bob wrote: This ain't your mother's Arctic storm... AFAIK my mother even wasn't in possession of a tiny little rain shower, let alone an Arctic cyclon. And Colorado Bob wrote too: We Have never seen this before Even stronger, I won't see even this one as I'm comfortably at home 6000 km away from the events. Bottom line, there should be given a reason why this event will be of extreme importance. And, to bad, the Arctic News article doesn't give any - we better don't give alarmist and deniers stuff to feed on. Maybe there will some additional strain on the Arctic coasts of Alaska, but only there where ice fields hasn't been stabilized yet. Not so on the Barentz Sea side however.
Toggle Commented Dec 9, 2015 on PIOMAS December 2015 at Arctic Sea Ice
Bill Fothergill wrote: ... you are misinterpreting the default display... Yep, and I stand corrected.
Yet another downtick yesterday according to the ADS-NIPR standards, minus 907 km2. As a consequence yesterday on the 5th of December the year 2015 had by a smallish margin the lowest area ever since satellite observations began ...
Neven wrote: ... keeping the cold in the centre of the Arctic and winds pushing the ice inwards ... Albeit the daily Reorganiser charts are showing quite the opposite? Showing since months almost the entire Arctic in an "over heated" state. And some borders [Bering Sea, NW Canada ecc...] quite a bit colder as usual? Addirittura, yesterday our other tool, Ogimet showed spots of -1 ºC and -2 ºC near the central Arctic! So, whatever it could be, I'm afraid we really don't know much about the reason why.
... and a downtick again at ADS-BIPR, [defying Saturn] minus 0,013422 km² yesterday. And so 2015 is closing in to 2012 now. Insomma, despite the record lows in Alaska, the gain on the Bering Sea side can't compensate for the losses at the Barents Sea side and Hudson Bay. Incidentally, according the the Climate Reorganiser Alaska is heading again to another "heat wave" next week ...
Bill Fothergill wrote: A slight typo there Even worse, bad a calculation. Looks like Saturn [The Bringer of old Age] has hit me severely. Saturn must be responsible too for the forgotten remark, namely there has been a small downtick yesterday. Albeit we can't assume the melting season already would have started, can we?
In accordance with the ADS-NIPR standards, yesterday 18 Novembre 2015 [9,0 km²] just dived under 18 Novembre 2007 [9,4 km²]
Pete Williamon wrote: While it is impressive it's not that unusual in October" Yep. Meanwhile, the "laptev-bit" has been nearly filled, with as a result a considerble slown down in ice creation. And there is still no ice bout 250 km North of Wrangel Island, which is unusual as well as impressive in the end of October. :-)
Toggle Commented Oct 22, 2015 on PIOMAS October 2015 at Arctic Sea Ice
Ghoti Of Lord wrote: ... Obuoy 13 movie includes the ice breaker... So it is at Obuoy 8 movie, Obuoy 14 movie and Obuoy 14 movie too.
Toggle Commented Oct 5, 2015 on 2015 minimum overview, part 2 at Arctic Sea Ice