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Lucas Durand
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Neven, I just wanted to say that I recently changed my typepad screen name from "D" to "Lucas Durand". I have no connection to any recent comments made (coincidentally) by any other "D"s.
Toggle Commented Jan 2, 2013 on Shell drill spill? at Arctic Sea Ice
Neven, Tad Patzek made an interesting post at his blog recently, which sketches out some of the difficulties of arctic operations: http://patzek-lifeitself.blogspot.ca/2012/12/oil-in-arctic.html Warnings abound... Who is really listening I wonder?
Toggle Commented Jan 1, 2013 on Shell drill spill? at Arctic Sea Ice
Neven, "But between work, blogging, family and desperately wanting to build a passive house, start some serious gardening, and the neuroses and habits that slow all of that down, time is a precious commodity." I hear ya. If you're interested in the Passivhaus building standard, there is much useful information and professional insight here: http://www.greenbuildingadvisor.com/ I also maintain a blog which follows my efforts at building an energy efficient house: http://ourhouseuponmoosehill.blogspot.ca/ Just in case you do find some free time ;-)
Hi Neven, "I say: GDP is a construct, it is not written in stone. We use it to measure our success at turning resources into waste. Maybe if we measured our success in a different way, there would be no depression." Agreed, but that doesn't really change the fact that it is still the primary metric for determining the "health" of the economic system we have today. We're in a race against time and presently we're still digging an ever deeper hole to climb out of. I agree with Jim Hunt. If we're going to transition to something else, each of us individually needs to decide to simply put down our shovels and stop digging. P.s. Thanks for the open thread. I really enjoy this blog and respect the focused nature of the commentary.
Tim, You raise a good point. Please don't mistake my earlier comments as apathy on the subject. And I have to disagree with you that there is some kind of "correct" path to take. Predicaments don't have a "solution", they only resolve through compromise. My own life experiences have taught me repeatedly that there are times in life, regardless of how we may feel, when a certain trajectory can no longer be altered in a way that avoids completely an unpleasant outcome. This doesn't mean we simply "roll over" - it means we change our perspective to one that will allow us to slavage the best possible outcome under the circumstances. Energy revolution? Steady state economy? Great theories. If only we had had the foresight to begin in earnest 30 or 40 years ago. A renewable energy global economy is the work of generations under "normal" economic growth conditions - it is far from clear that such a herculean task can be accomplished in a world of constrained resources, diminishing energy returns and economic contraction (all of which are already upon us whether we want it or not). What we really need is kind of cultural revolution that fosters resilience in every possible facet of our lives. Well, whatever befalls, at least we live in interesting times. Lucas
Neven, I tend to agree with your perspective that "... the neoclassical economic concept that drives our economies, societies and cultures needs to be replaced as soon as possible." However, (not to sound too "doomy") with everthing that is already happening in the world today, it is hard to imagine how we could ever create the type of substantive change that would not only stop our present trajectory but reverse it to the point that we are back in "the safe zone". In other words, knowing what we know these days about the connection between GDP growth, energy consumption and CO2 emmisions, we need to convince the planet that we need to put the global economy into a depression of unknown duration, starting tomorrow - oh, and even then we'll still be in for a very bumpy ride from climate change... If only we could discover the universe's "pause button" so we could take our time to reset the board... Lucas
Buddy, It's hard to say what "people" think about the effects of climate change because I think public perception varies widely and there is a lot of - deliberately sown - confusion. Policy makers on the other hand, as Superman has suggested, are informed on the risks I'm sure - but how they act on that information is another story... Rex Tillerson recently went on record to acknowledge the existence of climate change risks, but expressed a belief that "It's an engineering problem, and it has engineering solutions."... http://www.cfr.org/united-states/new-north-american-energy-paradigm-reshaping-future/p28630 I'm not sure what I found more surprising; Rex Tillerson acknowledging that climate change is real, or the hubris implied by his statements. I think the lack of a coherent response to the increasingly alarming observations that are being made has something to do with a general inability for people to think in terms of second order consequences ("It's all just so complicated") and maybe some kind of societal avoidance behavior (ie not wanting to look down "the rabbit hole" for fear of knowing where it leads). In any case, I agree with you that (as un-emiprical as this may sound) it feels like we are losing our grip on "things" - it's becoming less and less about humans making their own decisions about the future and more and more about the events of our time taking us all on a ride to who knows where. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EljkIvHAfWc -Lucas
Toggle Commented Aug 26, 2012 on ASI 2012 update 10: (wh)at a loss at Arctic Sea Ice
Lucas Durand is now following The Typepad Team
Aug 26, 2012