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DickLepre
Recent Activity
GDP (1stQ2017) - Real GDP quarter/quarter seasonally adjusted, annualized +0.7%. Previous was +2.1% - GDP price index quarter/quarter seasonally adjusted, annualized +2.3%. Previous was +2.1% This is the slowest pace of growth in three years. This also continues the pattern... Continue reading
Posted 2 days ago at <!-- Mortgages -->
Durable Goods Orders (March 2017) - New Orders Month/month +0.7%. Previous was +2.3% - New Orders year/year +5.8%. Previous was +4.5% - Ex-transportation Month/month -0.2%. Previous was +0.7% - Ex-transportation year/year +4.6%. Previous was +5.1% - Core capital goods Month/month... Continue reading
Posted 3 days ago at <!-- Mortgages -->
MBA Mortgage Applications (week ended 4/21/2017) - Purchase Index Week/Week -1.0%. Previous weeks were -3.0%, +3.0%, +1.0%, +1.0%, -2.0%, +2.0%, +2.0%, +7.0%, -3.0%, -5.0%, +2.0%, -6.0%, and +6.0%. - Refinance Index Week/Week +7.0%. Previous weeks were +0.2%, +0.0%,-4.0%, -3.0%, -3.0%,... Continue reading
Posted 4 days ago at <!-- Mortgages -->
Redbook Chain Store Sales (week ended 4/22/2017) - Store Sales year/year +1.7%. Previous was +2.3% This bit of data will become increasingly useless. It measures same store sales. As a very large number of chain stores close some sales will... Continue reading
Posted 5 days ago at <!-- Mortgages -->
Chicago Federal Reserve National Activity Index (March 2017) - Level 0.08. Previous was 0.27 - 3 Month Moving Average 0.03. Previous was 0.16 Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Survey (April 2017) - Production Index 15.4. Previous was 18.6 - General Activity... Continue reading
Posted 6 days ago at <!-- Mortgages -->
PMI Composite Flash (April 2017) - Composite 52.7. Previous was 53.2 - Manufacturing 52.8. Previous was 53.4 - Services 52.5 Previous was 52.9 This is a supply side metric showing slowing growth. This could be in response to weakening demand... Continue reading
Posted Apr 21, 2017 at <!-- Mortgages -->
Initial Jobless Claims (week ended 4/15/2017) - New Claims seasonally adjusted 244,000. Previous was 234,000 - New Claims unadjusted, totaled 226,679 a decrease of 12,980 from previous - 4-week Moving Average seasonally adjusted 243,000. Previous was 247,250. Initial Jobless Claims... Continue reading
Posted Apr 20, 2017 at <!-- Mortgages -->
MBA Mortgage Applications (week ended 4/14/2017) - Purchase Index Week/Week -3.0%. Previous weeks were +3.0%, +1.0%, +1.0%, -2.0%, +2.0%, +2.0%, +7.0%, -3.0%, -5.0%, +2.0%, -6.0%, +6.0%, and -5.0%. - Refinance Index Week/Week +0.2%. Previous weeks were +0.0%,-4.0%, -3.0%, -3.0%, +4.0%,... Continue reading
Posted Apr 19, 2017 at <!-- Mortgages -->
Housing Starts (March 2017) - Starts seasonally adjusted, annualized 1,215,000. Previous was 1,303,000 - Permits adjusted, annualized 1,260,000. Previous was 1,216,000 The fact is that Housing Starts have never recovered from the Great Recession. I believe there are two factors... Continue reading
Posted Apr 18, 2017 at <!-- Mortgages -->
Consumer Price Index (March 2017) - CPI (overall) month/month -0.3%. Previous was +0.1% - CPI (overall) +2.4%. Previous was +2.7% - CPI core (less food & energy) month/month -0.1%. Previous was +0.2% - CPI core (less food & energy) year/year... Continue reading
Posted Apr 14, 2017 at <!-- Mortgages -->
Initial Jobless Claims (week ended 4/8/2017) - Initial Claims seasonally adjusted 234,000. Previous was 235,000 - Initial Claims not seasonally adjusted totaled 239,944 an increase of 31,443 from previous - 4-week Moving Average seasonally adjusted 247,250. Previous was 250,250 Initial... Continue reading
Posted Apr 13, 2017 at <!-- Mortgages -->
MBA Mortgage Applications (week ended 4/7/2017) - Purchase Index Week/Week +3.0%. Previous weeks were +1.0%, +1.0%, -2.0%, +2.0%, +2.0%, +7.0%, -3.0%, -5.0%, +2.0%, -6.0%, +6.0%, -5.0%, and +6.0%. - Refinance Index Week/Week +0.0%. Previous weeks were -4.0%, -3.0%, -3.0%, +4.0%,... Continue reading
Posted Apr 12, 2017 at <!-- Mortgages -->
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index (March 2017) - level 104.7. Previous was 105.3. While lower this index is still high and appears to represent belief that somehow the new administration will be good for small businesses. Redbook Chain Store Sales... Continue reading
Posted Apr 11, 2017 at <!-- Mortgages -->
Labor Market Conditions Index (March 2017) - LMCI +0.4. Previous revised from +0.6 to +1.4. LMCI is calculated by the Fed and takes into account 19 seasonally-adjusted labor market indicators. A look at an historical graph shows this on a... Continue reading
Posted Apr 10, 2017 at <!-- Mortgages -->
BLS Employment Situation Report (March 2017) - Nonfarm Payrolls month/month 98,000. Previous was 219,000 - Unemployment Rate 4.5%. Previous was 4.7% - Private Payrolls month/month 89,000. Previous was 221,000 - Participation Rate 63.0%. Previous was 63.0% - Average Hourly Earnings... Continue reading
Posted Apr 7, 2017 at <!-- Mortgages -->
Challenger Job-Cut Report (March 2017) - Announced Layoffs 43,310. Previous was 36,957 Initial Jobless Claims (week ended 4/1/2017) - New Claims seasonally adjusted 234,000. Previous was 259,000 - New Claims unadjusted, totaled 207,565 a decrease of 20,979 from previous -... Continue reading
Posted Apr 6, 2017 at <!-- Mortgages -->
MBA Mortgage Applications (week ended 3/24/2017) - Purchase Index Week/Week +1.0%. Previous weeks were +1.0%, -2.0%, +2.0%, +2.0%, +7.0%, -3.0%, -5.0%, +2.0%, -6.0%, +6.0%, -5.0%, +6.0%, and -2.0%. - Refinance Index Week/Week -4.0%. Previous weeks were -3.0%, -3.0%, +4.0%, +5.0%,... Continue reading
Posted Apr 5, 2017 at <!-- Mortgages -->
Trade Deficit (February 2017) - Deficit $43.6 billion. Previous was $48.2 billion. The smaller deficit improves the outlook for 1stQ GDP. Redbook (Chain Store Sales (week ended 4/1/2017) - Chain Store Sales year/year +1.3%. Previous was +0.6% Factory Orders (February... Continue reading
Posted Apr 4, 2017 at <!-- Mortgages -->
PMI Manufacturing Index (March 2017) - Level 53.3. Previous was 54.2 Growing but at a slower pace. ISM Manufacturing Index (March 2017) - ISM Manufacturing 57.2. Previous was 57.7. Growing but at a slightly slower pace. Construction Spending (February 2017)... Continue reading
Posted Apr 3, 2017 at <!-- Mortgages -->
Personal Income and Outlays (February 2017) - Personal Income month/month +0.4%. Previous was +0.5% - Consumer Spending month/month +0.1%. Previous was +0.2% - PCE Price Index month/month +0.1%. Previous was +0.4% - Core PCE price index month/month +0.2%. Previous was... Continue reading
Posted Mar 31, 2017 at <!-- Mortgages -->
GDP (4thQ2016) - Real GDP quarter/quarter seasonally adjusted annualized rate +2.1%. Prior estimate was +1.9% - GDP price index quarter/quarter seasonally adjusted annualized rate +2.1%. Prior estimate was +2.0% Initial Jobless Claims (week ended 3/25/2017) - New Claims seasonally adjusted... Continue reading
Posted Mar 30, 2017 at <!-- Mortgages -->
MBA Mortgage Applications (week ended 3/24/2017) - Purchase Index Week/Week +1.0%. Previous weeks were -2.0%, +2.0%, +2.0%, +7.0%, -3.0%, -5.0%, +2.0%, -6.0%, +6.0%, -5.0%, +6.0%, -2.0%, and +3.0%. - Refinance Index Week/Week -3.0%. Previous weeks were -3.0%, +4.0%, +5.0%, +5.0%,... Continue reading
Posted Mar 29, 2017 at <!-- Mortgages -->
International Trade in Goods (February 2017) - Goods Trae Deficit $64.8 billion. Previous was $68.8 billion - Exports change -0.1%. Previous was -0.3% - Imports change -2.1% . Previous was +2.3% Retail Inventories (February 2017) - month/month change +0.4%. Previous... Continue reading
Posted Mar 28, 2017 at <!-- Mortgages -->
Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Survey (March 2017) - Production Index 18.6. Previous was 16.7 - General Activity Index 16.9. Previous was 24.5. This is a survey Index. Details here https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tmos/2017/1703.aspx Continue reading
Posted Mar 27, 2017 at <!-- Mortgages -->
Durable Goods Orders (February 2017) - New Orders month/month +1.7%. Previous was +2.3% - New Orders year/year +5.0%. Previous was -0.1% - Ex-transportation month/month +0.4%. Previous was -0.2% - Ex-transportation year/year +4.6%. Previous was +2.7% - Core capital goods month/month... Continue reading
Posted Mar 24, 2017 at <!-- Mortgages -->