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fredt34
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Andrew, you may not have realized that Wayne is that Wayne....
Otherwise, it seems that this season, the one in which, according to the Navy's researcher W. Maslowski, the arctic sea ice might well disappear, had started... You know, I'm NOT impatient to see how it goes this year and I'm quite frightened...
Commented Mar 21, 2013 on Max reached (?) at Arctic Sea Ice
Max reached (?)
Cryosphere Today sea ice area and IJIS sea ice extent numbers are now so much below the peaks reached so far that it looks like the ice pack has reached its maximum size and will now start to get smaller as we transition from freezing season to melting season. Mind you, I called the max CT SIA t...
Nice ! It's going to be interesting...
Commented Feb 20, 2013 on Arctic Sea Ice Forum at Arctic Sea Ice
Arctic Sea Ice Forum
The Arctic Sea Ice Blog is close to reaching the 25,000 comments-mark. Thanks to disappearing sea ice and great interest therein the blog was off to a flying start right from the very beginning, with traffic peaking last record melting season (especially when the cyclone hit). There is a clea...
My deepest apologies - I hadn't updated the code which grabs the AARI's image hourly to display it on the Graphs page. Fixed now.
(btw Neven, you should also fix the link to http://www.aari.ru/odata/_d0015.php?lang=1&mod=0&yy=2012)
Commented Sep 10, 2012 on Minimum open thread at Arctic Sea Ice
Minimum open thread
The reports of my return are greatly exaggerated. I'm still at my holiday address, on the wretched 56K modem. As I'm going to be realy offline now for 2-3 days to visit my 97 year old grandfather and his 400 litre wine cask, I thought an open thread would be a good idea. Can we start speculatin...
(OT, sorry, but ther's no Open Thread...)
I guess I don't need to tell you why everybody should sign Greenpeace's petition on
http://www.savethearctic.org/
Please do !
Commented Sep 8, 2012 on Signs of Arctic climate change at Arctic Sea Ice
Signs of Arctic climate change
And when I say 'Arctic', I of course automatically imply 'Northern Hemisphere'. You know, the place where most of the world's agriculture is based. One thing I have noticed this melting season, is how high pressure areas persistently remained over Greenland (causing, for instance, the decrease i...
Domino +1, IMS sea ice, also fall down some days ago. I think it's worth a quick post when Neven finally comes back, especially as it was the last refuge of the deniers - the last nail in their sinking boat!
Commented Sep 7, 2012 on Arctic Basin SIA dips below 2 million km2 at Arctic Sea Ice
Arctic Basin SIA dips below 2 million km2
The record for the most important region on the Cryosphere Today regional sea ice graphs page was broken 2 weeks ago. But it didn't stop there. In fact, it hasn't stopped yet. It seems the plateau since 2007 was short-lived:
Yale 360 has a nice piece by Fen Montaigne about "Arctic Tipping Point: A North Pole Without Ice",
http://e360.yale.edu/feature/tipping_point_arctic_heads_to_ice_free_summers/2567/
Who'd have guessed? J. Curry says "that the next 5 to 10 years could see a shift in Arctic sea ice behavior, though exactly in which direction is difficult to predict.". She probably spoke with the Leprechauns.
BTW, I can't wait to see next analysis from Dr Inferno on DenialDepot!!
Commented Aug 30, 2012 on Why Arctic sea ice shouldn't leave anyone cold at Arctic Sea Ice
Why Arctic sea ice shouldn't leave anyone cold
The sea ice is leaving us a bit more every year. It's time to start contemplating its absence, which is why I teamed up with Kevin McKinney to write an extended version of the shorter piece you might see pop up here and there. Because you know, disappearing sea ice isn't without consequences. An...
In 2007, NSIDC (or was it Cryosphere ?) had to add new gradations on the scale because the curve was to hit the floor. I hope we'll see them adding the "0 to 2" gradation as late as possible.
Commented Aug 25, 2012 on Record dominoes 6: IJIS sea ice extent at Arctic Sea Ice
Record dominoes 6: IJIS sea ice extent
There are several scientific organisations that keep an eye on the Arctic sea ice cover and put out graphs to inform us of the amount of ice that is left. You can see most, if not all, of them on the ASI Graphs webpage. I expect the record on most of these graphs to be broken in weeks to come. -...
I saved it for history (and resized for the blog), just in case they decide to correct it later !
Commented Aug 25, 2012 on Record dominoes 6: IJIS sea ice extent at Arctic Sea Ice
Record dominoes 6: IJIS sea ice extent
There are several scientific organisations that keep an eye on the Arctic sea ice cover and put out graphs to inform us of the amount of ice that is left. You can see most, if not all, of them on the ASI Graphs webpage. I expect the record on most of these graphs to be broken in weeks to come. -...
The latest NSIDC graph is out : 2007 has disappeared, 2012 appears twice !
Commented Aug 25, 2012 on Record dominoes 6: IJIS sea ice extent at Arctic Sea Ice
Record dominoes 6: IJIS sea ice extent
There are several scientific organisations that keep an eye on the Arctic sea ice cover and put out graphs to inform us of the amount of ice that is left. You can see most, if not all, of them on the ASI Graphs webpage. I expect the record on most of these graphs to be broken in weeks to come. -...
The graphs are nice, but don't forget to watch and eyeball the map of Arctic (I watch Cryosphere map and their side by side comparison tool). The chunks of ice which were detached by the Cyclon near Tchukchi have quietly melted and I would not bet a cent on their survival. The ice colored in green on Greenland eastern side won't survive either - and the current in Fram seems to go South to North, further detaching this huge patch. That's quite a lot of ice to be removed.
I don't remember seeing any analysis of the duration or rate of thaw, function of "color" on the map and latitude. Worded differently, which of the blue, green, yellow, red... pixels will disappear in the next weeks?
Commented Aug 20, 2012 on Record dominoes 3: Cryosphere Today SIA at Arctic Sea Ice
Record dominoes 3: Cryosphere Today SIA
There are several scientific organisations that keep an eye on the Arctic sea ice cover and put out graphs to inform us of the amount of ice that is left. You can see most, if not all, of them on the ASI Graphs webpage. I expect the record on most of these graphs to be broken in weeks to come. -...
Is there an approximation for the free board / heigth above the water? I mean, we have this "Manhattan size" comparison: how high would be the Empire State building or other famous skyscrapers compared to this "piece of ice"?
Commented Aug 18, 2012 on First Petermann Ice Island photos at Arctic Sea Ice
First Petermann Ice Island photos
REMEMBER: There are two days left to vote on the poll widgets in the right hand bar, one is for Cryosphere Today minimum daily sea ice area, the other for NSIDC minimum September/monthly sea ice extent. You can also re-vote if you like by going to the polls directly (here for NSIDC minimum month...
While Neven gently sleeps... Dr Muenchow has posted the first two pictures of the Peterman Ice Island 2012, taken from an helicopter: http://icyseas.org/2012/08/17/nares-strait-2012-first-petermann-ice-island-photos/
Amazing...
Commented Aug 18, 2012 on Petermann calves again at Arctic Sea Ice
Petermann calves again
Petermann Glacier has calved another large ice island, about half the size of the calving of two years ago, which amounts to about two Manhattans. This is what it looks like: This second big calving (spotted this time by Arcticicelost80) is another spectacular event on Greenland this year, fol...
Ze French say Merci et bravo - now we're going to see if and how this ice can resist a storm.
I've been watching the Arctic See Ice since 2005, and since 2007 there's been no extraordinary event - even if we all know and see that the area and extent do decrease, and we think that the volume also decreases (although we cannot watch it directly until Cryosat data arrive - I always try to remember that PIOMAS is a model).
So far, 2012 didn't seem to be on the way to create such a shock as 2006-2007 did - now it may. Just wait and see...
Commented Aug 6, 2012 on Arctic storm part 1: in progress at Arctic Sea Ice
Arctic storm part 1: in progress
This is what I meant when I said 'flash melting' yesterday: Now it's there on the Uni Bremen sea ice concentration map, the next day, poof, it's gone. Mind you, not all of it is gone, the sensor is thrown off a bit due to that crazy cyclone downstairs, but it ain't exactly good for the ice if ...
The big hole opening in East Greenland re-activated my interest for this question: will we see Greenland being circumnavigable this year? If not, when?
Commented Jul 23, 2012 on Dire Straits at Arctic Sea Ice
Dire Straits
There are blogs where people go to get information on certain subjects. When they have a particular question they ask it in the comment section and usually the blogger - who has an above average knowledge of the subject most of the time - will answer the question. This blog is not such a blog. A...
I'm quite surprised and worried about this big hole in NE Greenland, I tried to find it on old images but couldn't. Are we going to see all the ice on the East coast disappear?? Who has checked the satellite images?
Commented Jul 7, 2012 on ASI 2012 update 6: piggy bank at Arctic Sea Ice
ASI 2012 update 6: piggy bank
During the melting season I'm writing (bi-)weekly updates on the current situation with regards to Arctic sea ice (ASI). Central to these updates are the daily IJIS sea ice extent (SIE) and Cryosphere Today sea ice area (SIA) numbers, which I compare to data from the 2005-2011 period (NSIDC ha...
Aaron: I saw the Ice Crash happen in 2007, reading news and blogs eagerly to see if the models were questionned. They weren't. Soon after Maslowski issued his famous interview at AGU, "it might happen as soon as 2013". He really wasn't taken seriously. It's probably because it's so frightening to think that the prediction of Arctic thawing by 2100 would be erroneus and happening much, much faster.
SEARCH and PIOMAS were the only new things appearing after 2007, but no new model happened to really take this event in account.
So I'm quite pessimistic about seeing new models, going as fast as reality - for arctic ice, Greenland thawing, Larsen iceshelf in Antarctica, and if course temperatures.
Commented Jul 7, 2012 on PIOMAS July 2012 at Arctic Sea Ice
PIOMAS July 2012
Another month has passed and so here is the updated Arctic sea ice volume graph as calculated by the Pan-Arctic Ice Ocean Modeling and Assimilation System (PIOMAS) at the Polar Science Center: This year's trend line is still tracking below last year's record. In fact, the difference in volume ...
Neven,
Isn't it time to setup the poll for the CT minimum daily sea ice area?
Commented Apr 23, 2012 on ASI 2012 update 1: a new beginning at Arctic Sea Ice
ASI 2012 update 1: a new beginning
During the melting season I'm writing (bi-)weekly updates on the current situation with regards to Arctic sea ice (ASI). Because of the demise of AMSR-E the IJIS sea ice extent (SIE) numbers are no longer central to these updates. Instead I now use Cryosphere Today sea ice area (SIA) numbers and...
At last, news from Cryosat !
http://www.esa.int/esaLP/SEM768KWZ0H_LPcryosat_0.html
Call for Media: CryoSat’s first map of changes in sea-ice thickness
Media representatives are invited to attend the unveiling of the first map of the winter 2010–11 changes in Arctic sea-ice thickness measured by ESA’s ice mission. The event will take place on 24 April at the Royal Society in London.
A live web stream of the event will be accessible through ESA’s Earth observation page at http://www.esa.int/esaEO/index.html.
Commented Apr 18, 2012 on April 2012 Open Thread at Arctic Sea Ice
April 2012 Open Thread
Just like with calling the CT SIA maximum, I can't even get the timing for the last open thread right. But the March open thread was getting full. This should be the last one. I think. image by Paul Nicklen, found on the Narwhal's Left Tooth blog I'll be gone for a couple of days, but should be...
> Half the size of France
... not my half, I hope!
Commented Apr 17, 2012 on April 2012 Open Thread at Arctic Sea Ice
April 2012 Open Thread
Just like with calling the CT SIA maximum, I can't even get the timing for the last open thread right. But the March open thread was getting full. This should be the last one. I think. image by Paul Nicklen, found on the Narwhal's Left Tooth blog I'll be gone for a couple of days, but should be...
(well, I've just found Neven's comment under the post, so he already knows about this - but nevertheless it might be useful for other readers)
Commented Apr 16, 2012 on April 2012 Open Thread at Arctic Sea Ice
April 2012 Open Thread
Just like with calling the CT SIA maximum, I can't even get the timing for the last open thread right. But the March open thread was getting full. This should be the last one. I think. image by Paul Nicklen, found on the Narwhal's Left Tooth blog I'll be gone for a couple of days, but should be...
RealClimate has a nice blog entry http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2012/04/arctic-sea-ice-volume-piomas-prediction-and-the-perils-of-extrapolation/ about guestimating & extrapolating Arctic Ice volume from PIOMAS figures - and Neven, your blog gets link #1 !
Commented Apr 16, 2012 on April 2012 Open Thread at Arctic Sea Ice
April 2012 Open Thread
Just like with calling the CT SIA maximum, I can't even get the timing for the last open thread right. But the March open thread was getting full. This should be the last one. I think. image by Paul Nicklen, found on the Narwhal's Left Tooth blog I'll be gone for a couple of days, but should be...
(sorry for messing the cut&paste)
Commented Apr 14, 2012 on April 2012 Open Thread at Arctic Sea Ice
April 2012 Open Thread
Just like with calling the CT SIA maximum, I can't even get the timing for the last open thread right. But the March open thread was getting full. This should be the last one. I think. image by Paul Nicklen, found on the Narwhal's Left Tooth blog I'll be gone for a couple of days, but should be...
The Legend Borge Ousland and his girlfriend were the first people to get married on the North Pole, on april 12, through Barneo ice station - see http://translate.googleusercontent.com/translate_c?hl=ru&rurl=translate.google.ru&sl=ru&tl=en&u=http://barneo-polus.livejournal.com/20463.html&usg=ALkJrhjKDKOucXxKj-yh_5bjL2nVqGDzDg
Amazing once again! Congratulations to Borge - and Norwegian readers!
Commented Apr 14, 2012 on April 2012 Open Thread at Arctic Sea Ice
April 2012 Open Thread
Just like with calling the CT SIA maximum, I can't even get the timing for the last open thread right. But the March open thread was getting full. This should be the last one. I think. image by Paul Nicklen, found on the Narwhal's Left Tooth blog I'll be gone for a couple of days, but should be...
The incredible Pat Farmer should arrive in South Pole this January 18 or 19, finishing his unbelievable race from North Pole to South Pole - running 2 marathons per day, everyday.
His web site and videos are on http://poletopolerun.com/ .
Nothing is impossible.
If you admire and support this man, please consider donating to the Red Cross from his site - Clean Water Projects met my deep agreement.
Commented Jan 17, 2012 on January 2012 Open Thread at Arctic Sea Ice
January 2012 Open Thread
Welcome to 2012! It's a leap year, so I predict some confusion with yearly comparisons by date after March 1st. About a month later the melting seasons starts again. Time flies almost as fast as summer ice disappears! The NSIDC has a new monthly summary out for December. The part I found most ...
About being alerted when things appear or change : I've been using http://www.changedetection.com and http://www.google.com/alerts for years, they're rather good. I'm not sure you need to spend money on this topic !
Why not going to some conference about the Arctic Ice and blogging from there ? Not AGU, because it would involve spending CO2 on plane, but to their European counterpart (sorry, I lost their name...). You're rather good at interviewing people !
Commented Sep 30, 2011 on SIE 2011 update 21: post mortem at Arctic Sea Ice
SIE 2011 update 21: post mortem
During the melting season I'm regularly writing updates on the current sea ice extent (SIE) as reported by IJIS (a joint effort of the International Arctic Research Center and the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency) and compare it to the sea ice extents in the period 2005-2010. NSIDC has a good ...
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