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uh, that would be 'held off'.
Toggle Commented Nov 2, 2014 on PIOMAS October 2014 at Arctic Sea Ice
Hi Jai, Since the blog seems a bit slow... we know about the insulation, that is our first step actually. We've help off because our soon to be neighbor is a contractor who builds bio houses (e.g. all 'biologically neutral' products like wood fiber, lime, wood, etc. and he was going tocome over and take a look-see and advise us. As it's been the 5th warmest October in 75 years here, we've been lucky. We got a bunch of double paned insulated windows from an elementary school restoration that sort of fit: nice thing about knowing you are going to knock down a lot in a few years, you can take your sawsall to pvc window frames and make them fit between stones. Then there is rock wool for the rest of the holes. And i think we finally decided on a pellet stove (probably Attack), 30 kw with at least a 1000 liter puffer. The fun part is that I am mounting an arduino or raspberry pi based set of solar powered reflectors in yard and on the hill above us to add 100% natural, renewable heat. Not to mention it brightens up the house incredibly.
Toggle Commented Nov 2, 2014 on PIOMAS October 2014 at Arctic Sea Ice
I originally intended to log in on the forum but the computer at work doesn't mesh well for some reason. I am not sure I agree with you about renovating old houses versus new houses. Old houses are basically a rough draft of a house design and you have to pretty much rip them down and start over or else pay in various ways for the for inefficiency, awkwardness of design and an endless list of honey do items. Hopefully it will be worth it but if my wife hadn't loved the house, I would would have preferred to level the thing and start over, reusing the stone and timber admittedly.
Toggle Commented Oct 30, 2014 on PIOMAS October 2014 at Arctic Sea Ice
Ours is an old contadini house, complete with stalls in the basement and still a meter of hay in the attic. Insulation is nil, or possibly negative (it seems like). However, the radiators and associated plumbing are now in order and we are desperate for heat. Our choice to make it through the winter is, given that we don't want to use methane, diesel or electricity, is pure wood, pellets or biomass. I was ready to sign off on pellets but I like the idea of burning our scrap biomass, and there is the cost difference. I just don't know anything about how efficient biomass stoves are when switching between fuels of different qualities, how to control them from overheating and so on. Unfortunately I don't have time to learn really. Anyway, I'll log onto the forum from another computer and do the discussion there as I learn more.
Toggle Commented Oct 30, 2014 on PIOMAS October 2014 at Arctic Sea Ice
Hi Nevin, Hi Nevin: an off topic question, but it is off-season, I guess... I did try asking this on the forum under the thread about interesting construction but I couldn't register, my problem not the forum's. I live in the Italian Alps and we just bought a house with a diesel boiler which we want to remove. In the future we will do solar (we are building a set of solar tracking mirrors i.e. small pv powered with Arduino tracker to reflect light onto solar heating) but for the moment, we are looking at some sort of biomass: wood, pellets or general biomass as a source of fuel. Did you ever consider biomass or pellets and why not?
Toggle Commented Oct 30, 2014 on PIOMAS October 2014 at Arctic Sea Ice
If anyone is interested in this type of scifi, The Black Cloud by Hoyle is a fun read, if outdated (1957). I mention it because of hte comment about about Hollywood connections. I don't think a global warming blockbuster is sellable in Hollywood since no matter how you spin it, it comes out as political and no one wants to go see a movie and fight through political overtones. However, if the plot is something like the Black Cloud, i.e. a totally different source of the same result, it might be easier for the message to get through about what could happen as a result of global warming.
Toggle Commented Jun 11, 2014 on The day the ice cap died at Arctic Sea Ice
Hi Chris, thanks for the response. I'll go read the article you suggested. Living in a mountainous area, my experience with snow and ice melt is intuitive: sunlight melts ice but the main factors are weather conditions. A rain, even a cold rain, causes much more melt than sun. Likewise a warm wind can remove cm's per hour while sunlight on a cold day has almost no effect. Sunlight's greatest effect is where there is a dark colored wick to absorb and re-radiate/transport the solar heat. Because of this, I assumed that on a cold summer day in the high altitudes, the ice would remain relatively constant. I wonder how constant the temperatures are over the surface of the ice: if micro-climates don't play a large role in melting the ice at high altitudes.
Toggle Commented Mar 23, 2014 on PIOMAS March 2014 at Arctic Sea Ice
I thought the major source of melting in Greenland was the warmer air flows coming from a warmer ocean and neighboring continent. I assumed that the ice free line would gradually creep north and have a higher altitude but that at higher altitudes and latitudes, Greenland would actually gain ice from increased snowfalls? Anyone? (I did try to research this but I don't seem to know what key words to use that return results.)
Toggle Commented Mar 21, 2014 on PIOMAS March 2014 at Arctic Sea Ice
As an amateur who predicted the area (or was it extent) to fall to 2 million last year, I thought I would get my predictions out of the way early, before the blog gets busy with the more professional and able forecasters: 8 days with less than 1.5 million. This is based on the same line of thought (I refuse to call it 'reasoning') as last year: once the ice levels decrease past a certain point, the melt will continue past what have been the up until now normal influences.
Toggle Commented Mar 10, 2014 on PIOMAS March 2014 at Arctic Sea Ice
Sorry for the off topic post. I thought I remembered someone asking about the topology of Greenland and are there any exits below sealevel. I stumbled across this on the BBC about the new radar survey of Greenland.
I'll stay at 3.2, though this has the feeling of being anchored by my earlier guess. But as rational as I can make it: I still think the ice is porely (ha ha) and I think Stormy August will take a big hit out of what is left.
If had my druthers, I would really like to see all scientists, as part of their phd, be forced to do at least one project where they start from first principles and derive the theory/experiment/ etc. This whole basing things on literature and standing the shoulders of giants gets gamed into academic tiddliwinks. But the issue here isn't an academic one about having a career based on trendy articles that are forgotten 5 years later, it is about, when faced with serious consequences, the moral obligation to publish the range of outcomes and make clear how limited 95% is.
@Dorlomin Chamberlain, arguably, took the conservative position. Conservative != good science. Often correlated, perhaps, with good science, but not the same as. Similarly, in regards to the comment "Do your own [non conservative] research and publish it", it is a bit like trying to prove that meat tastes good by asking vegitarians to try it. Perhaps you meant "Create your own community, create standards for those communities that work given the needs of science, create your own journals, do your own research and then publish it." For what it is worth, I think that science is both too conservative and, at the same time, very trendy. Perhaps that is the same thing though.
SHould say "From the article...."
Toggle Commented Jul 30, 2013 on The Naming of Arctic Cyclones at Arctic Sea Ice
Article from BBC about disappearing Alaskan village. Note the quote: "The US government imposed this Western lifestyle on us, gave us their burdens and now they expect us to pick everything up smallpox after an Indian.
Toggle Commented Jul 30, 2013 on The Naming of Arctic Cyclones at Arctic Sea Ice
DOug noted that "a scant decade or so ago, anybody daring to hypothesize Arctic sea ice reaching its present parlous condition by the year 2013 would also have been citing an extreme worst-case scenario and would have been mocked by more than the usual suspects" Maybe it is time that the critics and all of their predictions from back then where held to the flame. Their predictions are on record, no?
Toggle Commented Jul 26, 2013 on Arctic time bombs at Arctic Sea Ice
But whatever, I said my piece, I bow out.
Toggle Commented Jul 23, 2013 on The Naming of Arctic Cyclones at Arctic Sea Ice
@JC: Same thing: global warming caused by using oil and coal as fuels destroys the environment.
Toggle Commented Jul 23, 2013 on The Naming of Arctic Cyclones at Arctic Sea Ice
At the very least, the names should be Inuit terms for damage, devil, destruction, etc. That at least bridges the gap between popular imagination and destruction. I can see TV weathermen telling that story for fun if nothing else and leaving the impression in local people's minds that Arctic cyclones are bad and destroy things.
Toggle Commented Jul 23, 2013 on The Naming of Arctic Cyclones at Arctic Sea Ice
I think Inuit names is a very poor idea. While honoring the Inuit people and Inuit heritage with names is great, protecting the Arctic is a better way of honoring them. I see naming the cyclones after the Inuit as a way to create the popular perception that Arctic cyclones are natural (as in white culture all things native = natural). Naming results of damage from a foreign culture after the Inuit, even the day to day names, is a bit like raping someone and then naming the abortion and infertility after them to 'honor' them.
Toggle Commented Jul 23, 2013 on The Naming of Arctic Cyclones at Arctic Sea Ice
....and I think the whole weather pattern should be named after the oil/coal/ industry, with the specific triggers named after the GOP.
Toggle Commented Jul 22, 2013 on The Naming of Arctic Cyclones at Arctic Sea Ice
I second Villabolo's comment. Nice sentiment but perhaps patronizing to name the storms after someone else's traditions, e.g. Atlanta Braves, Washington Redskins, etc.. Personally I would rather honer the various indigineous people's by saving their climate and ecology. For that reason, I think we only have the right to name the things after the destructors.
Toggle Commented Jul 22, 2013 on The Naming of Arctic Cyclones at Arctic Sea Ice
Nevin, Are you removing posts? wouldn't a thunk it.
I understand the dark humor aspect but regarding the naming, there should also be a scale, e.g.: "And in related weather news, Arctic Cyclone Inhofe is forecast to reach Exxon class early next week. However there is a slight chance it could get as strong as GOP strength."
Toggle Commented Jul 21, 2013 on Ice pack in full at Arctic Sea Ice
Wow, Jeremy, not to respond to trolls on a fairly troll free forum (which must frustrate you) but you really need a reading comprehension course.
Toggle Commented Jul 21, 2013 on PIOMAS July 2013 at Arctic Sea Ice