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Glen B. Alleman
Boulder, Colorado
Performance-Based Project Management®
Interests: Earned Value, Risk, Cost, Program Performance, Integrated Master Plan, Integrated Master Schedule.
Recent Activity
They constructed ladders to reach to the top of the enemy's wall, and they did this by calculating the height of the wall from the number of layers of bricks at a point which was facing in their direction and... Continue reading
Posted yesterday at Herding Cats
One's originality comes in your inability to emulate your influencers - Dale Watson Continue reading
Posted 3 days ago at Herding Cats
It is a capital mistake to theorize before one has data - Sir Arthur Conan Doyel Continue reading
Posted 4 days ago at Herding Cats
Winnie-the-Pooh read two notices very carefully, first from left to right, and afterwards, in case he had missed some of it, from right to left - A.A. Milne, Winnie-the-Pooh Related articles Architecture -Center ERP Systems in the Manufacturing Domain IT... Continue reading
Posted 5 days ago at Herding Cats
"Can you do addition?" the White Queen asked. "What's one and one and one and one and one and one and one and one and one and one?" "I don't know" said Alice, I lost count" "She can't do addition,"... Continue reading
Posted 6 days ago at Herding Cats
This is a common lament in the #Noestimates community We've never done this before, so how can we possibly estimate how long it will take? Well the first question is has it actually never been done before, or is the... Continue reading
Posted 6 days ago at Herding Cats
Thanks for the link. I changed the title to be less obtuse and added a link to your post. This all comes back to developers assuming it's there money and they can try out any cockamamie ideas they like. The next big topic which was discussed in detail at the NDIA (National Defense Industry Association) meeting this week in Orlando is how to status a project using Agile on a government procurement program. Along with that the Director of PARCA (Performance Assessment and Root Cause Analyses) stated clearly that Agile will cost more money. There is huge benefit, but the produced software that is replaced when new requirements come in must be written off as a loss. Unless of course there is 100% reuse of the software that is being replaced. That's another Dark Secret of agile.
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A recent Blog post used an example of negotiated estimates between the developers and management. In the example buying a car is used and compared to negotiated the cost of software development. The car was an example of knowing information... Continue reading
Posted Jan 29, 2016 at Herding Cats
Both Agile development and Earned Value Management are coming together in the Federal Government. DOD and many Federal Civil agencies are adopting the use of Agile software development. At the same time, FAR 34.2 and DFARS 234.2 are flow down... Continue reading
Posted Jan 27, 2016 at Herding Cats
The notion of a balanced discussion of the topic of Not estimating work on agile projects has yet to produce any principles on which this can occur. The #NoEstimates advocates have not provided the principles by which a decision about... Continue reading
Posted Jan 25, 2016 at Herding Cats
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Without a desired delivery date, target budget, and expected capabilities, a control system is of little interest to those providing the money at business level. There is no way to assure those needs – date, budget, capabilities – can be... Continue reading
Posted Jan 23, 2016 at Herding Cats
Estimating in the presence of uncertainty is a critical success factor for all project work. Uncertainty prevails on all projects, no matter the domain, development process, or governance method. Uncertainty from underlying statistical variances. Uncertainty from probabilistic events. Here's an... Continue reading
Posted Jan 22, 2016 at Herding Cats
It is pure beauty. Just finished Vulcan a book about the the applicable of GR to the perihelion of Mercury. An easy read, not math, but a nice exposition of the thought processes of how mass and space are connected. My Gravitation, Missner, Thorne, and Wheller is sitting on the shelf from Grad school days. I can't do the math anymore, so need books will simple equations.
Toggle Commented Jan 20, 2016 on Quote of the Day at Herding Cats
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Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects - Tim Lister Tim's quote offends some people. Here's a collection of his presentations. But this not really the point of this blog. I'm working two programs where Agile (Scrum and SAFe) is... Continue reading
Posted Jan 20, 2016 at Herding Cats
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Read the full article at CEOLEVEL Continue reading
Posted Jan 19, 2016 at Herding Cats
Great equations change the way we perceive the world. They reorchestrate the world - transforming and reintegrating our perception by redefining what belongs together with what. Light and waves. Energy and mass. probability and position. And they do so in... Continue reading
Posted Jan 19, 2016 at Herding Cats
I'm working two programs where Earned Value Management, through FAR 34.2 and DFARS 234.2 are applicable. These programs are also Software Intensive Systems applying Agile development processes. Capabilities Based Planning is defined as ... A method involving the functional analysis... Continue reading
Posted Jan 18, 2016 at Herding Cats
There is no problem so complicated that you can't make it worse - a common phrase in the astronuaght business Continue reading
Posted Jan 12, 2016 at Herding Cats
The impression that "our problems are different," is a common disease that afflicts management to work over. They are different, to be sure, but the principles that will help improve the quality of product and service are universal in nature... Continue reading
Posted Jan 10, 2016 at Herding Cats
Todd, The question that needs an answer is "why do the estimates shown in the charts above different from the planned estimates?" If it is assumed the straight is "Plan" and the samples are "actuals" then what's the Root Cause of the unfavorable variances. The is core Six Sigma Closed Loop management control. If you're interested there is a paper in the current issue of "Journal of Cost Analysis and Parametrics, by Christian Smart http://www.tandfonline.com/toc/ucap20/8/3 on the issues with realism in estimate. This paper is marked "Not subject to US Copyright," so I can send you a copy. The "estimating problem" is universal. We work sometimes as a support contractor with www.ida.org on "Essential Views" http://www.iceaaonline.com/ready/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/PM01-Presentation-Coonce-Essential-Views-IPM.pdf that seek to find the root causes and provide corrective actions to cost, schedule, and performance shortfalls on programs. Without a root cause, corrective actions needed to keep the program inside the variance bands will be difficult at best.
Toggle Commented Jan 7, 2016 on How to Fib With Statistics at Herding Cats
1 reply
Any effectively generated theory capable of expressing elementary arithmetic cannot be both consistent and complete. On particular, for any consistent, effectively generated formal theory that proves certain basic arithmetic truths, there is an arithmetical statement that is true, but not... Continue reading
Posted Jan 6, 2016 at Herding Cats
When you think about Agile self organizing teams and their benefits to sofwtare development, remember the characters in Lord of the Flies were a self organizing team - @agileklzkittens Related articles Architecture -Center ERP Systems in the Manufacturing Domain Self-Organization... Continue reading
Posted Jan 3, 2016 at Herding Cats
A popular Agile phrase goes like this. ...it's important to know what Not to build This begs the question, who's building things that other people don't want? Where's the process for assessing what people want? Seems pretty obvious that if... Continue reading
Posted Jan 2, 2016 at Herding Cats
The Holy Grail of all Agile discussions goes like this ... We focus on value over cost This is a mantra repeated by agilest and vendors of agile tools as well. The big question is ... What are the units... Continue reading
Posted Jan 2, 2016 at Herding Cats
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In the business of estimating in the presence of uncertainty, a useful tool is Bayesian analysis of what we know today to make forecasts or estimates of the future. The Bayesian approach to inference, as well as decision-making and forecasting,... Continue reading
Posted Jan 1, 2016 at Herding Cats