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Glen B. Alleman
Boulder, Colorado
Performance-Based Project Management®
Interests: Earned Value, Risk, Cost, Program Performance, Integrated Master Plan, Integrated Master Schedule.
Recent Activity
Predictions are always difficult - especially about the future ― Niels Bohr ― Neandertal's Guide to Cost Estimating, Naval Aviation Systems This is a quote often used by those conjecturing that estimating is a waste. The quote is true of... Continue reading
Posted yesterday at Herding Cats
Guess: a conjecture based on little or no evidence Estimate: a guess made by an expert ― Neandertal's Guide to Cost Estimating, Naval Aviation Systems All project work is based on probabilities driven by statistical processes. All decisions made on... Continue reading
Posted 3 days ago at Herding Cats
All successful projects adhere to these five immutable principles during the lifecycle of the design, development, deployment, and operation. These principles are independent of any project or program domain or context in that domain. They are also independent of any... Continue reading
Posted 4 days ago at Herding Cats
The answer to this question starts with a simple principle based notion. Can you make a non-trivial (not de minimis) decision in the presence of uncertainty? The #Noestimates advocates didn’t start there. They started with “Estimates are a waste, stop... Continue reading
Posted Apr 26, 2016 at Herding Cats
If your business is not subject to any external governance process, you’re free to spend your money as you please. But you’re not free to suggest your approach is applicable to those who are governed by external frameworks of spending... Continue reading
Posted Apr 25, 2016 at Herding Cats
For the great enemy of truth is very often not the lie ― deliberate, contrived, and dishonest ― but the myth ― persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic. Too often we hold fast to the clichés of our forebears. We subject all... Continue reading
Posted Apr 24, 2016 at Herding Cats
From Estimating Software Costs: Bringing Realism To Estimating, 2nd Edition. Initial requirements are seldom more than 50 percent complete Requirements grow at about 2 percent per calendar month during development About 20 percent of initial requirements are delayed until a... Continue reading
Posted Apr 18, 2016 at Herding Cats
There's a meme going around in some parts of agile that management is inhumane. This is an extreme view of course, likely informed by anecdotal experience with Bad Management, or worse lack of actual management experience. Managing in the presence... Continue reading
Posted Apr 17, 2016 at Herding Cats
The Project Breathalyzer provides question for the Program Manager to assess of the project is fit to be on the road. If the Program Manager cannot answer these questions about the current status, or answers in the negative , then... Continue reading
Posted Apr 12, 2016 at Herding Cats
There a popular notions in the agile development world that authors like Hayek and Taleb speak to how software development works. Let's look at one example. You Can’t Understand Agile Without Understanding Hayek. Let's look at Hayek's paper. "The Use... Continue reading
Posted Apr 5, 2016 at Herding Cats
There was a Twitter post mentioning Russell Ackoff YouTube about systems. A system is never the sum of its parts, it's the product of their interactions. This is a good start, but it needs to produce actionable outcomes, not just... Continue reading
Posted Apr 4, 2016 at Herding Cats
Our daughter is an elementary school teacher in Austin - and a Graduate student at UT Austin in the Board Certified Behavioral Analyst program. When I hear about some corrective action to an unnamed cause - not the symptom but... Continue reading
Posted Apr 2, 2016 at Herding Cats
Program Performance Management is a core process for any successful business venture that develops products Forecasting cost and schedule performance from Glen Alleman Continue reading
Posted Mar 29, 2016 at Herding Cats
I listened to the final rant of Jon Stewart (BIG CAUTION this show is from Cable and for Adults Only, just like Risk Management) and came away with inspiration for a post, which I've edited a bit to remove the... Continue reading
Posted Mar 28, 2016 at Herding Cats
One of the escape clauses of #Noestimates is to re-label Forecasting as NOT Estimating, It is forecasting, based on empirical data. Ignoring for the moment the empirical data discussion since ALL data is empirical, otherwise you wouldn't have the data.... Continue reading
Posted Mar 24, 2016 at Herding Cats
A popular mantra in Agile is deliver fast, deliver often. In some domains this may be applicable. Where we work and where agile is becoming the norm, we have another view. Deliver as planned The Plan for the delivery of... Continue reading
Posted Mar 23, 2016 at Herding Cats
The post Top 5 Ways Agile Mitigates Risk is one of those posts that's not wrong in what it says at the detail level - more or less, but is not right in principle. Agile Mitigates Risk - is not... Continue reading
Posted Mar 22, 2016 at Herding Cats
A burst of Tweets of No Estimates fixes these problems came across Twitter this morning. I won't repeat who they are attributed to, to protect the guilty. But here's a core concept that is totally missing from not only the... Continue reading
Posted Mar 21, 2016 at Herding Cats
Dave, thanks for the comment. Page 70 of Gano's book starts with the process of "finding the real problem."
1 reply
Perhaps Mr. Elliott could provide answers to these questions to our clients, when he suggests that estimates are worthless. When are those working demos being sent to production so the business can start earning back their investment? How many more... Continue reading
Posted Mar 17, 2016 at Herding Cats
A recent twitter post started out with I predict my train will depart from platform 12 in 10 minutes: degree of predictability correlates with length of time I then asked and what is the evidence on which you base this... Continue reading
Posted Mar 16, 2016 at Herding Cats
It is common to use the phrase If we feel pain X. Let's explore solutions? & possibly "Solutions A & B might be a starting point?" This approach seeks a solution to the symptom not a solution to the problem... Continue reading
Posted Mar 15, 2016 at Herding Cats
Neil Killick posted a good question, what's the common ground for talking about estimates. In this post I'd suggest predictability is very difficult to achieve in the presence of uncertainty. And all projects operate in the presence of uncertainty. All... Continue reading
Posted Mar 12, 2016 at Herding Cats
Two Critical Videos for Agile Transformation. Here's Part 1 Here's Part 2 So when we hear estimates are the smell of Dysfunction - what are the actionable outcomes needed to address these dysfunctions? To date there have been ZERO suggestions.... Continue reading
Posted Mar 9, 2016 at Herding Cats
Had a Twitter conversation today about deadlines and how to remove the stigma of a deadline and replace it with a more Politically Correct term. Like most Twitter conversations there is a kernel of truth in there somewhere that sparks... Continue reading
Posted Mar 7, 2016 at Herding Cats