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Jim Hunt
South West England
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Quoting from the PIOMAS overview: For the ice volume simulations shown here, sea ice concentration information from the NSIDC near-real time product are assimilated into the model to improve ice thickness estimates and SST data from the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis are assimilated in the ice-free areas.
Toggle Commented yesterday on PIOMAS September 2016 at Arctic Sea Ice
Michael reports on the forum that according to a provisional interim release of daily gridded data this years minimum PIOMAS Arctic sea ice volume was 4.3882 thousand km³ on September 6th.
Toggle Commented yesterday on PIOMAS September 2016 at Arctic Sea Ice
Michael - Actually quite a few "small yachts" have made it through Fury and Hecla Strait already this summer, most notably David Scott Cowper heading west in Polar Bound: http://GreatWhiteCon.info/2016/08/david-scott-cowper-makes-history-again/
Toggle Commented 2 days ago on ASI 2016 update 7: minimum time at Arctic Sea Ice
A clip from a larger MODIS image of McClure Strait: http://GreatWhiteCon.info/resources/arctic-sea-ice-images/winter-201617-images/#CAA If it wasn't for the entire cryodenialosphere claiming that the Northwest Passage is frozen solid I might be tempted to think that you could circumnavigate Banks Island in a small yacht at the moment.
Toggle Commented 2 days ago on ASI 2016 update 7: minimum time at Arctic Sea Ice
P-Maker - Not content with lambasting the Beeb, today I'm going after Breitbart London: The Son of the Blog of Fools Gets Arctic Sea Ice Horrifically Wrong Now how can I put this politely? That is pure unadulterated balderdash. If Mr. Delingpole thinks that a comment on a known “snow blind” blog constitutes evidence of anything he needs one of his heads examined. Deconstructing all the mistakes in just this one article about both Northabout and the BBC’s climate change coverage will involve a series with more episodes than BBC Radio 4s! Is it possible to sink any lower than Dellers?
Toggle Commented 4 days ago on ASI 2016 update 7: minimum time at Arctic Sea Ice
But I voted Bremain PMaker! I'm now thinking of starting a new popular movement for Brythonic independence. Would you care to become an ambassador for the Free Dumnonian Army?
Toggle Commented 4 days ago on ASI 2016 update 7: minimum time at Arctic Sea Ice
As I mentioned previously, the news shocked me too Neven. "Blizzard of Oz" took the time and trouble to pop into the Arctic Sea Ice Forum, and not just announce the latest news but also engage in meaningful discussions. He will be sadly missed, and his shoes are big ones to fill. RIP Blizzard.
Toggle Commented 5 days ago on In memoriam: Andrew Slater at Arctic Sea Ice
A heads up for fellow residents of the once Great Britain. On September 19th the BBC Radio 4 Today programme discussed Arctic sea ice. The views of the 5th Viscount Ridley, the well known "coal baron" and "financial wizard", were reported in the absence of any balancing "science". I have registered an official complaint. Should you wish to do likewise instructions can be found at: "Radio Four in Arctic Sea Ice Bias Shock Today!" The powers that be at the Beeb assure me: We aim to reply within about 2 weeks.
Toggle Commented 5 days ago on ASI 2016 update 7: minimum time at Arctic Sea Ice
Bill/Rob - "Tamino" didn't call me names, but he didn't answer the questions I posed (in graphic detail!) either. Perhaps he is allergic to "cryo-alarmists" as well as "cryo-denialists"? Even so it still strikes me as rather strange behaviour on his part.
Toggle Commented 7 days ago on ASI 2016 update 7: minimum time at Arctic Sea Ice
The Barrow "surfcam" seems to be offline at the moment. Nonetheless, here is the surf forecast: ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT MONDAY... * WAVES AND SURF...WAVES TO 10 FEET BREAKING JUST OFFSHORE COMBINED WITH TIDES UP TO 1 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL WILL CAUSE HIGH SURF CONDITIONS. * ICE...WITH ICE JUST OFF SHORE FROM BARROW...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT CHUNKS OF SEA ICE WILL WASH UP ON SHORE EVEN WITH WINDS PREDICTED TO BE AT NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE SHORE. * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. * TIMING...HIGH SURF IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. * IMPACTS...HIGH SURF WILL WASH TO THE TOP OF THE BEACH AND CAUSE BEACH EROSION. MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS IS POSSIBLE AND SURF COULD WASH ONTO LOW LYING ROADS NEAR THE BEACH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED. SURF COULD WASH ONTO LOW LYING ROADS NEAR THE BEACH LIMITING TRAVEL NEAR THE BEACH. PEOPLE SHOULD MOVE BOATS AND PERSONAL PROPERTY INLAND FROM THE BEACH.
Toggle Commented Sep 17, 2016 on ASI 2016 update 7: minimum time at Arctic Sea Ice
Try this Bill: http://GreatWhiteCon.info/resources/arctic-sea-ice-graphs/#UH-AMSR2
Toggle Commented Sep 17, 2016 on ASI 2016 update 7: minimum time at Arctic Sea Ice
Rob - Northabout left Upernavik yesterday, planning on heading to Nuuk via Ilulissat: http://GreatWhiteCon.info/2016/09/northabout-heads-for-home/#Sep-16 When they feel able to head across the North Atlantic to Bristol remains to be seen. It is certainly not beyond the bounds of possibility that there will be winds of 30 knots and more to contend with on that final leg of the Polar Ocean Challenge!
Toggle Commented Sep 17, 2016 on ASI 2016 update 7: minimum time at Arctic Sea Ice
William - Take a look at CAB area instead of extent: http://GreatWhiteCon.info/2016/09/september-arctic-cyclone-alert/#Sep-17 Do you notice any difference? Rob - Yes.
Toggle Commented Sep 17, 2016 on ASI 2016 update 7: minimum time at Arctic Sea Ice
Vid is now live at: http://bcfmradio.com/
Toggle Commented Sep 16, 2016 on ASI 2016 update 7: minimum time at Arctic Sea Ice
The current Arctic cyclone is down to 975 hPa: It looks as though Barrow is in for another battering, and what's more Tropical Storm Ian is heading for the Arctic Circle even as we speak: "September Arctic Cyclone Alert!"
Toggle Commented Sep 16, 2016 on ASI 2016 update 7: minimum time at Arctic Sea Ice
Good luck Vid! Where are going in Bristol? I ask in part because Bristol (UK!) is a mere hour or so from here on the train.
Toggle Commented Sep 16, 2016 on ASI 2016 update 7: minimum time at Arctic Sea Ice
Julienne Stroeve, David Hempleman-Adams, Benji Edwards and Northabout can be viewed on ITV.com until 23:00 UTC tonight: http://www.itv.com/hub/itv-news-at-ten/2a4409a0183 The Arctic bit starts at ~26 minutes. A packet of virtual peanuts to the first person to spot what the journos got wrong.
Toggle Commented Sep 15, 2016 on ASI 2016 update 7: minimum time at Arctic Sea Ice
Very sad news of the death of Andrew Slater. He even took the trouble to comment on the ASIF - RIP In other news the yacht Northabout has managed to evade both the freeze-up and some old ice in Lancaster Sound and has just completed both the Northern Sea Route and the Northwest Passage in a single summer season: "Northabout Heads for Home" British led expedition, Russian skipper, Russian, Irish, American, British, Norwegian crew, Irish boat. It is extremely worrying to see this lack of ice so starkly
Toggle Commented Sep 14, 2016 on ASI 2016 update 7: minimum time at Arctic Sea Ice
Neven - I saw that, but it's at the end of Vid's comment. He opens with "Wipneus' data". Bill - I already have at least a partial answer to the question you posed yesterday: "Dumb and Dumberer at the Blog of Fools" I hope that's all OK with you, and that you find it at least moderately amusing? I feel sure that the best is yet to come!
Toggle Commented Sep 11, 2016 on PIOMAS September 2016 at Arctic Sea Ice
Rob/Neven - Were Wipneus already back online I suspect he would confirm that the late, lamented CT area metric did not in actual fact use a 15% threshold.
Toggle Commented Sep 11, 2016 on PIOMAS September 2016 at Arctic Sea Ice
Vid - It is abundantly clear to me that 2016 hasn't already gone "a lot lower than 2012" on any of the numerous metrics I am avidly following, including Wipneus' data: http://GreatWhiteCon.info/2016/09/the-2016-arctic-sea-ice-metric-minima/ Please could you clarify your remark?
Toggle Commented Sep 11, 2016 on PIOMAS September 2016 at Arctic Sea Ice
John - I think you'll find Wayne is referring to the extent calculation, not area. 100% - 15% = 85% open water which would be classified as 100% ice for extent purposes. Have you checked out the North Pole area recently? If not please see: http://GreatWhiteCon.info/resources/arctic-sea-ice-images/summer-2016-images/#NorthPole and then contrast it with: http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_daily_extent_hires.png
Toggle Commented Sep 11, 2016 on PIOMAS September 2016 at Arctic Sea Ice
That's not quite how they described it G man! Not much in the way of ice, but in the Chukchi: http://GreatWhiteCon.info/2016/08/northabout-races-for-the-date-line/#Aug-29 We are into the second day of 25 to 30 knot winds, throwing the boat around and everything in it. Many people are feeling queasy and not managing to eat very much. We are being thrown around in the saloon whenever we try to do anything, such as make a cup of tea or cook dinner. I for one feel ill, weak (through not eating enough), and slightly sick all of the time. and in the Beaufort: http://GreatWhiteCon.info/2016/08/northabout-braves-the-northwest-passage/#Aug-30 The weather forecast is pants. A 30/35 knot headwind along the coast . No one has the appetite for it, so we are heading North, slacker winds, staysail out, still a choppy sea and uncomfortable, but not as bad as 30 knots. Then their auto-helm broke.
Toggle Commented Sep 10, 2016 on PIOMAS September 2016 at Arctic Sea Ice
You and me both Bill! The race for the 2016 "New Einstein" award is hotting up: That is your justification for snuffing out 21,000 innocent humans every day? Your mental illness is abundantly evident Jim. Please, do go on Jim, you criminally insane alarmists have so much to share with the rest of us.
Toggle Commented Sep 10, 2016 on PIOMAS September 2016 at Arctic Sea Ice
Your friend is in luck Hans. I happen to have a (daily) NSIDC spreadsheet open in front of me: 2007 4.1607 2008 4.55469 2009 5.05488 2010 4.59918 2011 4.33028 2012 3.36973 2013 5.07709 2014 4.98339 2015 4.341 2016 4.083 (to Sept 8th) E&OE
Toggle Commented Sep 10, 2016 on PIOMAS September 2016 at Arctic Sea Ice