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Jim Hunt
South West England
Recent Activity
Bill/Wayne - There was a great example of the "contact sport" of ClimateBall™ played yesterday at the behest of the United States’ House Committee on Science, Space and Technology: "The House Science Climate Model Show Trial" There's over 2 hours of riveting video for the cognoscenti to analyse. Michael Mann seemed to be working from "Snow White's" playbook at times, and devoted several paragraphs of his written testimony to criticising the David and Judy Show in no uncertain terms. Lamar Smith didn't appear to be listening though. Lots of bluster but sadly no clamming up! He did however demote the Fail on Sunday to the substitute's bench, replacing them on the field with the Wall Street Journal.
Toggle Commented 3 hours ago on Lowest maximum on record (again) at Arctic Sea Ice
Bill - It seems the ex Admiral rather "liked" my alter ego's recent "tweet" of one of his punch lines: https://twitter.com/GreatWhiteCon/status/846988338645143553 "If you wait for 100% certainty on the battlefield you'll probably be dead"
Fred seems to have done the trick! Or maybe it was the crossed fingers?
Fingers crossed here in Soggy South West England Neven! Meanwhile, in the absence of the ASIF here is the news that I wished to report: "Should Climate Scientists Boycott Congressional Hearings?" According to retired Rear Admiral David Titley they should: It seems David wasn't too impressed by the hearing he got from Senator Ted Cruz concerning "Data or Dogma"!
For the attention of the powers that be. The ASIF currently tells me: "Table './arcticse2/smf_messages' is marked as crashed and last (automatic?) repair failed"
Wayne - Perhaps we could package it into 140 character chunks and "Tweet" it to @POTUS? http://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1858.msg106856.html#msg106856
Wayne - My very good friend Alice F. has somehow managed to dig up some more dirt on David Rose: https://twitter.com/jim_hunt/status/844339885959983104 Do you suppose his toes are starting to feel a trifle toasty yet?
Toggle Commented Mar 22, 2017 on Lowest maximum on record (again) at Arctic Sea Ice
Wayne - At the risk of drifting even further off topic, here is a very recent article on the very latest research into the troubled subject of science communication: "The Problem With Facts" These two forms of evidence paint a picture — a flattering one indeed — of individuals of high science curiosity. In this view, individuals who have an appetite to be surprised by scientific information — who find it pleasurable to discover that the world does not work as they expected — do not turn this feature of their personality off when they engage political information but rather indulge it in that setting as well, exposing themselves more readily to information that defies their expectations about facts on contested issues. The result is that these citizens, unlike their less curious counterparts, react more open mindedly and respond more uniformly across the political spectrum to the best available evidence.
Toggle Commented Mar 21, 2017 on Lowest maximum on record (again) at Arctic Sea Ice
To be frank Wayne, "hope" is not in general a winning strategy. I think we also need to get our ClimateBall™ "marketing" sh1t together. Compare and contrast these slideshows of the "Scientific" versus the "Skeptical" approach: http://GreatWhiteCon.info/2017/03/is-arctic-ice-loss-driven-by-natural-swings/#Scientists You will note that the Daily Fail features prominently in one of them. Then read this: http://GreatWhiteCon.info/2017/03/that-deaf-dumb-and-blind-kid-sure-plays-a-mean-climateball/#comment-220045 Are you aware that in its current war on evidence driven policy making the House Committee on Science, Space & Technology quotes the likes of Delingpole, Rose and Curry?
Toggle Commented Mar 20, 2017 on Lowest maximum on record (again) at Arctic Sea Ice
Wayne - Thank you for your kind words! The next step is to try and "persuade" the Fail on Sunday to "correct" some of the other porky pies in that article. By way of example: http://GreatWhiteCon.info/2017/02/climategate-2-episode-3-of-david-roses-epic-saga/#Feb-19 Then of course there's the two preceeding episodes of their long running fantasy fiction soap opera.
Toggle Commented Mar 20, 2017 on Lowest maximum on record (again) at Arctic Sea Ice
Neven - FYI, my combined "Pacific periphery" area chart confirms the recent sudden drops on that side of the Arctic: http://GreatWhiteCon.info/2017/03/facts-about-the-arctic-in-march-2017/#comment-220053
Toggle Commented Mar 20, 2017 on Lowest maximum on record (again) at Arctic Sea Ice
Thanks for the mention Neven, and I'm quietly confident that we're all now safe from being forced to eat crow filled humble pie! However I fear I have to report that the purveyors of cherry soaked porky pies are still hard at work in the darker corners of the cryodenialosphere. More on the assorted Arctic specific instances in due course, but this one is hot off the virtual presses in the basement of Great White Con Ivory Towers this very morning: http://GreatWhiteCon.info/2017/03/dont-panic-its-just-another-climategate-2-correction/ Last night the Mail Online web site... published an excuse for a “correction” to the egregious inaccuracy published on February 19th 2017 as part of David Rose’s self christened “Climategate 2” campaign in the Mail on Sunday.
Toggle Commented Mar 19, 2017 on Lowest maximum on record (again) at Arctic Sea Ice
I think you're on the wrong thread Kris? See the March version: http://neven1.typepad.com/blog/2017/03/piomas-march-2017.html Personally I reckon the "melting season" has officially started, but Summer is still a few months away!
Toggle Commented Mar 18, 2017 on PIOMAS February 2017 at Arctic Sea Ice
"Snow White" has (confidently?) called the 2017 minimum maximum! http://GreatWhiteCon.info/2017/02/the-2017-arctic-sea-ice-maximum-extent/#Mar-18 For the NSIDC daily number that's 14.447 million square kilometers on March 5th:
Toggle Commented Mar 18, 2017 on PIOMAS March 2017 at Arctic Sea Ice
The Northern Sea Route seems to be opening up rather earlier than usual this year: http://GreatWhiteCon.info/resources/arctic-sea-ice-images/winter-201617-images/#Chukchi
Toggle Commented Mar 12, 2017 on PIOMAS March 2017 at Arctic Sea Ice
I was "brave" enough to call it weeks ago Jon! My second attempt: http://GreatWhiteCon.info/2017/02/the-2017-arctic-sea-ice-maximum-extent/#Mar-10
Toggle Commented Mar 12, 2017 on PIOMAS March 2017 at Arctic Sea Ice
Rob - Don't forget the reanalyses from ECMWF: http://www.ecmwf.int/en/research/climate-reanalysis/era-interim and NCEP: ftp://ftp.cdc.noaa.gov/Datasets/ncep.reanalysis/surface/
Toggle Commented Mar 12, 2017 on PIOMAS February 2017 at Arctic Sea Ice
I await your forthcoming update with interest Neven! Here's my own take on the "state of play" of Arctic sea ice at the moment: "Facts About the Arctic in March 2017" which includes this graph of February PIOMAS volume since 1979: A lively debate has ensued amongst the commentariat! To give you a flavour: Also, I acknowledge some of the claims are questionable. I think some of my claims are correct, though. I hope that through patient and civil debate, we’ll be able to answer more questions.
Toggle Commented Mar 8, 2017 on PIOMAS March 2017 at Arctic Sea Ice
Elisee - It should indeed! Thanks. A fix will be implemented forthwith. Hans - Re those proposed budget cuts, please see another pet project of mine: http://AFWetware.org/news/
Toggle Commented Mar 5, 2017 on PIOMAS February 2017 at Arctic Sea Ice
Neven's still out on the road, so here are the February 2017 PIOMAS Arctic sea ice volume numbers, together with lots of other numbers too: "Facts About the Arctic in March 2017" Here too are the SMOS thickness numbers, courtesy of Lars Kaleschke from the University of Hamburg: Need I say more?
Toggle Commented Mar 5, 2017 on PIOMAS February 2017 at Arctic Sea Ice
The sun shining down on the sea ice in the heart of the Northwest Passage, live from O-Buoy 14's webcam (until the sun sets!) Click the picture for a gallery of larger images.
Toggle Commented Feb 26, 2017 on PIOMAS February 2017 at Arctic Sea Ice
Following a request on the forum, here's the Canadian Ice Service's current "Stage of Development" map of the Beaufort Sea: Click through for a larger version. It's almost all "Medium first year" sea ice. Discuss!
Toggle Commented Feb 24, 2017 on PIOMAS February 2017 at Arctic Sea Ice
Wayne - David Rose was apparently able to predict the HadCRUT4 numbers for January 2017 before they were published by the Met Office. He possesses a most impressive "crystal ball", I'm sure you agree? Regarding the future MOSAIC expedition, don't forget that Tara did something similar not so very long ago. DAMOCLES! http://geography.exeter.ac.uk/opensource/cryosphere/documents/Trapped_in_the_ice_OER_2.pdf
Toggle Commented Feb 20, 2017 on PIOMAS February 2017 at Arctic Sea Ice
From the darkest depths of Soggy South West England comes the latest news concerning the Trump administration's "Alternative Facts" assault on NOAA: "Climategate 2 - Episode 3 of David Rose's Epic Saga" Let’s see if we can discover if Peter Stott has any recollection of being interviewed last week by the Mail on Sunday and/or The Mail’s leading fantasy fiction writer shall we?... Do you suppose that David [Rose] & Judy [Curry] have another “whistleblower” embedded deep within the Hadley Centre?
Toggle Commented Feb 20, 2017 on PIOMAS February 2017 at Arctic Sea Ice
Thanks for the comprehensive update Neven. Here's my somewhat more idiosyncratic take on the same story from yesterday: Facts About the Arctic in February 2017 Meanwhile yet more anomalously warm air is entering the Arctic Basin from both the Pacific and Atlantic sides. Only marginally off topic, your readers may also be interested in this morning's "Shock News!": Climategate 2 Falls at the First Hurdle? We’ll have much more to say on this controversy in the context of our “Alternative Facts” investigation in due course, but for the moment at least it looks to us as though the nth iteration of “Climategate 2” barely made it out of the starting gate. However Mr. Rose’s loyal army of “rebloggers, retweeters, plagiarisers and other assorted acolytes” and that “Republican-led House science committee” may of course have other ideas?
Toggle Commented Feb 5, 2017 on PIOMAS February 2017 at Arctic Sea Ice