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John Robb
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The GOP convention is scheduled for 18-21 of July in Cleveland. What's the chance of protests dominating the convention? 100% Here's a good example of why: The Federal government gave Cleveland a $50 m security grant to prepare for the... Continue reading
Posted Apr 8, 2016 at Global Guerrillas
The Panama papers revealed only one of the vast networks used by criminals, corrupt politicians and tax evaders to hide wealth from scrutiny. There are many, many more. My friend, Tom Barnett, at his new digs on explains why... Continue reading
Posted Apr 7, 2016 at Global Guerrillas
After a brief post Cold War hiatus, great power conflict has returned and it is likely to intensify as the economic woes of China, Russia, and the US worsen. During the Cold War, great power conflicts were fought through proxies... Continue reading
Posted Mar 30, 2016 at Global Guerrillas
The policy wonks are up in arms over the NYTimes and WaPo interviews with Trump on foreign policy and trade. They simply can't say enough about how uninformed Trump is on this topic.... but there's something wrong with this picture.... Continue reading
Posted Mar 27, 2016 at Global Guerrillas
The ROI (return on investment) from making FAKE attacks against EU targets could exceed $1,000,000 to $1. IF 10,000 FAKE attacks are made in the next year by self-activating, super-empowered individuals, the costs would be incalculable. The successful terrorist attacks... Continue reading
Posted Mar 22, 2016 at Global Guerrillas
The US election could get worse. It could be a prelude to a civil war. How so? Here's a simple scenario. It's November 8th and the choice is between Trump and Hillary. Both candidates have negatives approaching 70% (Hillary is... Continue reading
Posted Mar 20, 2016 at Global Guerrillas
Boston Dynamics pioneered walking robots, on both two legs and four (see video). BD's early demonstrated success led Google (aka Alphabet) to acquire them for their robotics mashup, Replicant, in December of 2013. However, Google has changed their minds. Google... Continue reading
Posted Mar 18, 2016 at Global Guerrillas
Let's face it. Human biological evolution is very slow. Our bodies and minds are roughly the same as they were ten thousand years ago. That hasn't held us back though. Thousands of years ago, we learned an unique way to... Continue reading
Posted Mar 14, 2016 at Global Guerrillas
Google is a pioneer in limited artificial general intelligence (aka computers that can learn w/o preprogramming them). One successful example is AlphaGo. It just beat this Go Grandmaster three times in a row. What makes this win interesting is that... Continue reading
Posted Mar 12, 2016 at Global Guerrillas
How does a global transportation system become a robotic transportation system almost overnight? The answer is clip-on robots. Robots (and their sensors) that you simply clip onto the driver's seat of the vehicle. It sees what the driver/pilot/captain would see,... Continue reading
Posted Mar 11, 2016 at Global Guerrillas
Here's some thinking on the robotic transportation system that's headed our way. I believe it will arrive far faster than everyone suspects. The shift to robotic transportation is already underway. Tens of thousands of cars are self-driving already and millions... Continue reading
Posted Mar 10, 2016 at Global Guerrillas
My friend Nassim Taleb (the well known philosopher of decision making) adds to our understanding of why the Technorati routinely make bad decisions (from the management of the economy to national security to social policy). It also explains why they... Continue reading
Posted Mar 9, 2016 at Global Guerrillas
The shift from a marginally functional nation-state in manageable decline to a hollow state often comes suddenly..."Onward to a Hollow State" The western-style democratic nation-state is in deep decline. As I've been warning for nearly a decade, the nation-state as... Continue reading
Posted Mar 7, 2016 at Global Guerrillas
Trump is trouncing the competition. He's doing so well that the prediction systems give him a 81% chance of winning the nomination -- despite the opposition of the entire Republican establishment. What's most surprising to many pundits and analysts is... Continue reading
Posted Feb 29, 2016 at Global Guerrillas
Many cyber weapons are designed for deep maneuver. These virtual weapons drift across the Internet, jumping from computer to computer to computer, potentially travelling for years until they find the target they were designed to destroy. Deep maneuver is also... Continue reading
Posted Feb 22, 2016 at Global Guerrillas
The winner of the next big conflict will be the side with the best understanding of how to use bots in warfare. Bots aren't just an iterative improvement in warfare, like stealth or PGMs, it's a revolution in the making.... Continue reading
Posted Feb 21, 2016 at Global Guerrillas
The FBI wants access to the encrypted data on an iphone owned by one of the the San Bernardino terrorists. The FBI has already gotten access to the data this iphone uploaded to Apple's cloud. However, the FBI thinks there... Continue reading
Posted Feb 20, 2016 at Global Guerrillas
"The fault line in American politics is no longer Republican vs. Democrat nor conservative vs. liberal but establishment vs. anti-establishment. This is an inevitable result of serial failure in establishment policies." Failure as a Way of Life Bill Lind Donald... Continue reading
Posted Feb 17, 2016 at Global Guerrillas
Last year I was hired to craft a long term vision for the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff on how autonomous robots should be used to radically improve how the US military fights wars. This year I will... Continue reading
Posted Feb 12, 2016 at Global Guerrillas
I spent 2015 thinking and writing about the future of warfare while working for the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. Specifically, I was tasked with figuring out how autonomous robotics could/would change warfare over the next twenty years,... Continue reading
Posted Jan 12, 2016 at Global Guerrillas
Germany needs young people. Its population is dwindling. It doesn't have enough of them to support a rapidly aging German population. A smart solution to this shortfall would have been to actively recruit millions of young people from around the... Continue reading
Posted Jan 11, 2016 at Global Guerrillas
What is culture? In the broad sense, it's a way of life. More specifically, it's a basket of shared behaviors that determine how we solve problems, define success, and treat each other. Culture is important. It has been proven critical... Continue reading
Posted Jan 8, 2016 at Global Guerrillas
Estimate: 2030. About 15 years for this to become a truism. Amazingly fast given the magnitude of the change. In the 19th and 20th century, illiteracy was seen as an inability to read or write. Illiteracy damaged your economic prospects... Continue reading
Posted Dec 22, 2015 at Global Guerrillas
All of the big tech companies are now open sourcing their AI (deep learning) software. They are also open sourcing the hardware designs of the machines needed to train the software. That's a big deal. This new approach to AI... Continue reading
Posted Dec 11, 2015 at Global Guerrillas
Here's a simple question. Is Islamic terrorism the product of: Option A: A tiny, fringe element. Dead-enders. Crazies. -or- Option B: A growing puritanical movement. Fanatics. ------------ Before you answer this question, consider this. The popular belief, from individuals to... Continue reading
Posted Dec 11, 2015 at Global Guerrillas