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Kalle GZ
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The ice is still melting fast even under cloudy weather conditions. I think this shows that the Arctic has a dark future ahead. The ice must really be thin and weak out there that can melt really easily. At this rate, one year with weather conditions similar to 2007 and I think we may see an extent minimum around 3 million square kilometers.
Petroleum News posted that Shell had to delay drilling because, despite how low the ice in the Arctic is, the Chukchi Sea managed to stay near normal, as shows here: http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/recent365.anom.region.10.html Post by Petroleum News: http://www.petroleumnews.com/pntruncate/851006337.shtml
A huge drop on CT, putting it far in first place, while IJIS is showing 2012 slipping away from 2011 and is now near 2007. Looks like we are going to see a big drop on CAPIE today.
Toggle Commented Jul 14, 2012 on Polls July 2012 at Arctic Sea Ice
A little off topic here, but I have something that I wanted to share with you all for a while. One night, I had a very... odd dream. It was the year 2016, and I, along with many other people, were on a big chunk of ice. I learned that we were on the last ice spot that was easily visible on the ice maps, and, with the sun coming down, we were seeing whenever or not the chunk of ice will melt or not and if the Arctic will go ice-free this year. And eventually the chunk of ice did melt when huge waves crashed into it, and we were all riding on surf boards to get back to land. (THAT part was probably my dreams being all odd haha) Yes, the post was off-topic, but I wanted to share it with you all and who knows, maybe my dream could be telling the truth, maybe the Arctic could go ice-free in 2016.
Toggle Commented Jul 7, 2012 on ASI 2012 update 6: piggy bank at Arctic Sea Ice
All the graphs are showing record breaking declines even though I don't see anything serious that could be causing this. What is it? A sudden collapse when the thin ice decided to surrender?
3.0-3.2 Area 4.5-4.75 extent. I don't see a big melt year coming for the ice. The Arctic overall looks healthier then the last 2 years. However, those open water areas in the Canadian Archipelago, the Beaufort Sea, and the Laptev Sea are making me a bit scared, if they continue to grow huge and affect the shape of the Arctic I see a lower minimum then what I predicted.
I agree with both Neven And John, and I admit I myself was overreacting in my comment, and Im sorry about that. I am also interested to see if we will have a 2010 May and June. If we do, I will remember next time when extent/area is near the average, it is only because of thin ice ;) Does anyone have a link to where I could see the temperatues of the Arctic?
Toggle Commented Apr 27, 2012 on ASI 2012 update 1: a new beginning at Arctic Sea Ice
Looking at the other regions of the Arctic, aside from the Sea of Okhotsk, (which the decline rate is near to slightly above average) NONE of the regions are showing any noticable drops. In fact, the Kara and Barents Sea, the NewFoundLand Sea, and the Greenland Sea are actually showing some increases. I just think everyone is overreating about the drops in the Bering Sea and no one is paying attention to the other regions.
Toggle Commented Apr 27, 2012 on ASI 2012 update 1: a new beginning at Arctic Sea Ice
I personally see nothing scary about the Arctic except for the Bering Sea. In fact, Im pretty sure about 60% of the drops are coming from the Bering Sea being cut in half in a matter of days. Everyone should be thanking the Bering Sea for the huge drops that are taking us back to what the area/extent was in recent years, otherwise we would be stuck near or even above the 1979-2000 average line.
Toggle Commented Apr 27, 2012 on ASI 2012 update 1: a new beginning at Arctic Sea Ice
http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_stddev_timeseries.png Wow extent is THAT close to the 1979-2000 average holy cow we might actually go above average for the first time since 2003! (Although I doubt it will happen.)
Toggle Commented Apr 24, 2012 on ASI 2012 update 1: a new beginning at Arctic Sea Ice
I remember a couple of days ago when everyone was saying that huge drops will come in about a week but I made a prediction that the decline will remain close to the 1979-2000 average since most of the regions are declining in a near average rate. Just checked the numbers today and wow, I honestly thought my prediction was doomed, but the declines DID stay close to average. No one even said anything about my comment, and yet I was right. I just hope now everyone pays more attention into my predictions now :)
Toggle Commented Apr 24, 2012 on ASI 2012 update 1: a new beginning at Arctic Sea Ice
Hi everyone. I actually am expected a decline about the same as 1979-2000 average for quite a while. Why? Well, look at the decline for the different regions on CA for the last couple of days. Sea of Okhotsk has been declining rapidly the past week... like its supposed to. If you look at the area now compared to normal, you can see that area is still around average for the Sea of Okhotsk. Baffin/Newfoundland Bay looks like its starting to decline again. If it does, nothing special there, area is supposed to be declining right now. Bering Sea is starting to decline at around the average rate. Maybe slightly faster but the Bering Sea is well above average, so you'd expect a big decline there/ Also, the Kara Sea, Barents Sea, and Hudson Bay have been increasing over the past couple of days. If this continues, it will counterweight any strong decline in the other regions, still causing a overall normal decline for the day. Lets just see what happens in the next week and see if I'm right, or if I fail.
Toggle Commented Apr 21, 2012 on April 2012 Open Thread at Arctic Sea Ice
DMI is showing a small increase for today. Also, did anyone but me realized that while DMI and CT are showing record-breaking decreases for the last couple of days, NSIDC is still only showing small decreses? I wonder why that is happening.
Toggle Commented Apr 6, 2012 on April 2012 Open Thread at Arctic Sea Ice
NSIDC monthly average numbers for extent are in. Here are the results: Arctic extent: 15.2km (500,000km below the average) I estimate it is the 10th lowest on data, but I could be wrong Antarctic extent: 5.0km (700,000km above the average) 5th highest on data Anyone has numbers for area?
Toggle Commented Apr 3, 2012 on April 2012 Open Thread at Arctic Sea Ice
I expect big decreases (Such as today) to happen within the next week or so as that thin ice in the Kara and Barents Sea melts out and the ice in the New Found Land area gets beaten up by warm air. Im almost certain that the area will not cross the mean.
Toggle Commented Apr 3, 2012 on April 2012 Open Thread at Arctic Sea Ice
Kalle GZ is now following Neven
Apr 1, 2012
Hey Neven, I have been following your blog since early 2011 and I finally decided to make an account on here. Also, a 3K drop in area reported for the 31st, unsure if we reached the maxium on the 30th or not, but I was very impressed on the late maximum. A maximum in April will be very impressive indeed, though.
Kalle GZ is now following The Typepad Team
Apr 1, 2012