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Russ Steele
Russ is a systems engineer, freelance writer. Lt Col, USAF (Ret)
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Gregory, Make it legal and regulate it like booze and then let the market determine the best use.
Gregory, Cotten production is in decline in CA due to the fact it requires a lot of water. Rice fields are fallow due to the lack of water and rice farmers are switching to nut trees and drip irrigation due to the lack of water. No idea about Strawberries and Orchids. We are not talking about 500% increase is Strawberries and Orchid production.
California is facing serious long term drought. I did not see any menton of waters usage in the discussion of Measure S. According to researchers a single pot plant consumes 6 gallons of water per day. Measure S significantly increase the number of plants that can be grown both indoors and outdoors. Six plants consume 36 gallons per day, 1,080 gallons a month. 100 plants consume 600 gallons at day, 18,000 gallons a month. A single person uses about 90 gallons a day or 2700 gallons a month, and two person households about 150 gallons per day due to sharing. Or, 4,500 gallon per month. 100 plant consume the same amount of water as 4 two person families. Where as 600 plants consume about same amount as 24 two person families. Now multiply that by 100 pot truck farms of 600 plants in Nevada County and we have some serious water usage, that could affect up to 2400 families. With California facing a long term drought, water is going to be critical. Increasing grows by 500% of is going to consume more water, water that maybe needed by humans to survive in Nevada County if the forecast long term drought becomes a reality. Increasing a huge number of water hungry plants in Nevada County does not seem to be a good drought survival strategy.
Here are some photos of Burning Man 2014, this is what we all missed. Huh? http://www.theatlantic.com/infocus/2014/09/burning-man-2014/100802/
Toggle Commented yesterday on Sandbox - 29aug14 at Rebane's Ruminations
Bush Did It President Barack Obama said last night at a Democratic fundraiser in Rhode Island that the terrorism from ISIS "doesn’t immediately threaten the homeland." The reason? The security measures taken by President George W. Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney after the 9/11 terrorist attacks, according to Obama. First the president said the situation in the Middle East is "scary," according to a transcript of the event released by the White House. "I don’t have to tell you, anybody who has been watching TV this summer, it seems like it is just wave after wave ofupheaval, most of it surrounding the Middle East. You’re seeing a change in the order in the Middle East. But the old order is having a tough time holding together and the new order has yet to be born, and in the interim, it’s scary." Then he told the Democratic donors not to worry because measures put in place by Bush and Cheney "make us ... pretty safe." This is not going sit well with Paul Emory and his lefty friends. Now the real question is, are we really safer with a nearly open southern boarder?
Paul@10:32 I was not pleased about the Sheriff's MRAP and told Sheriff Royal directly at a Republican Luncheon, I am not sure what blogs that he reads. George has written about the militarization of the police and I have commented on those posts in opposition. If you are reading my blog you would have discovered that I am not a real fan of the BOS leadership right now.
Bill, Do not go down Paul Emory's road to BDS. We all end up arguing about staff we cannot change. It is history, it over, it cannot be changed, but it does take us off the subject of this post, which is part of Paul's strategy.
Bill Geltz writes in the Washington Free Beacon The FBI’s most recent national threat assessment for domestic terrorism makes no reference to Islamist terror threats, despite last year’s Boston Marathon bombing and the 2009 Fort Hood shooting—both carried out by radical Muslim Americans. Instead, the internal FBI intelligence report concluded in its 2013 assessment published this month that the threat to U.S. internal security from extremists is limited to attacks and activities by eight types of domestic extremist movements—none motivated by radical Islam. They include anti-government militia groups and white supremacy extremists, along with “sovereign citizen” nationalists, and anarchists. Other domestic threat groups outlined by the FBI assessment include violent animal rights and environmentalist extremists, black separatists, anti- and pro-abortion activists, and Puerto Rican nationalists. “Domestic extremist violence continues to be unpredictable and, at times, severe,” the report states. A copy of the unclassified, 60-page National Threat Assessment for Domestic Extremism, dated Aug. 14, was obtained by the Washington Free Beacon. It warns that the threat of domestic-origin extremism was moderate in 2013 and will remain so for this year. More details in at the Washington Free Beacon HERE. The Government refused to recognize the problem.
Walt, After erupting for 3-4 hours, the eruption on Iceland has stopped. Next phase?
Iceland volcano is erupting. More details and photo at http://sierrafoothillcommentary.com/2014/08/28/a-fissure-eruption-has-started-in-iceland/
Toggle Commented 4 days ago on Sandbox - 24aug14 at Rebane's Ruminations
The California water issue is going to be with us for next 20-30 years. The amount of rain and snow the state gets is determined by the Pacific Decadal Oscillation or PDO, which is currently in a cool phase. When the PDO is negative or cool the West is Dry. These dry periods are often interspersed with El Niño events, which produce more rain and snow in the Sierra. These El Niño events occur about ever three to seven years, providing drought relief during cool PDOs. However, they will most likely not re-fill our reservoirs to capacity. This is the best case scenario, the worst case is that the sun spots continue to decline and disappear allowing development of a long tern La Niño Southern Oscillation, cool waters in the Southern Pacific. An extended ENSO would produce very dry conditions across the West. A long term ENSO could also inhibit the El Niños which are critical to replenishing the water in our reservoirs. The result could bring droughts lasting as long 200 years, depending on the length of the next solar grand minimum. We know from the paleoclimatology records that California has had 200 year long droughts in the last 10,000 years, and it possible to have more of these long term episodes. We also know that California has had some sever floods, that filled the Sacramento Valley like a bathtub with a blocked drain. The last one was in 1861-1862, and from the paleoclimatology records we know these floods happen about every 150 years. We are due! Bottom line, the long term climate is chaotic and we need to adjust. Prepare for the worst!
Earthquakes are rocking Iceland’s Bardarbunga volcano, adding to concerns that magma movements may trigger an eruption that could hinder air traffic. Iceland’s Met Office says two earthquakes measuring over magnitude 5 shook the volcano under the vast Vatnajokull glacier on Wednesday. Some 500 quakes have hit the area since midnight. Stay tuned things can get real ugly. Air survey today saw dips in the glacial ice.
Toggle Commented 5 days ago on Sandbox - 24aug14 at Rebane's Ruminations
Brad@08:58AM The Bloomberg article does not give a break down by social structure. Was all the gain in the upper class, or spread across all classes? Consider this: From 2000 to 2012, American workers as a whole had a tough time, as population grew much faster than new jobs and many people gave up looking for work. There was one major exception: jobs paying $100,000 to $400,000 (in 2012 dollars). This is what I call America’s new prosperous class. Many of these workers have an advanced degree. They no longer struggle, but they continue to work because their wealth is far from adequate to support their lifestyles. The number of prosperous-class jobs soared to 10.8 million, an increase of 2.1 million since 2000. That is almost 10 times the growth rate of jobs paying either more or less. Most astonishing is how much of the overall increase in wages earned by the 153.6 million people with a job in 2012 went to this narrow band of very well paid workers: Just 7 percent of all jobs pay in this range, but those workers collected 76.9 percent of the total real wage increase. - See more at: http://marginalrevolution.com/#sthash.f2nWLCWI.dpuf
Lt Col Ralph Peters on "The Kelly File" “I think he [Obama] sincerely expected that his personal charm would work on the whole world including Islamic terrorists, that he just put our military on ice and said some nice things about Islam, that the terrorist threat would go away.” This only works if you are real god, not someone who thinks he is God!
Toggle Commented 7 days ago on Sandbox - 24aug14 at Rebane's Ruminations
From the update graphic, I think we can conclude that household net worth was highest during the George W. Bush Presidency and declined during the Obama Presidency? Right?
Quote for the day: Environmentalism and the Fear of Disorder: Greens engage in rituals to allay their anxieties. Why do people recycle and buy organic foods? According to Marijn Meijers and Bastiaan Rutjens, a couple of social scientists at the University of Amsterdam, they do it to realize a sense of personal control stemming from their fear that disorder is increasing in the world. Technological optimists, meanwhile, are more likely to eschew the comfort of such rituals. Glenn Reynolds offers this analysis: This also explains why they’re largely immune to facts and reason: It’s basically something more like a religion, or maybe compulsive hand-washing. My thought, this is why they do not recognize the facts about AGW, by subscribing they feel some ability to control the climate by reducing CO2 emissions, but refuse to stop breathing.
Toggle Commented Aug 24, 2014 on Sandbox - 24aug14 at Rebane's Ruminations
As the "going green" wind and solar power sources have proving to be unreliable and more costly, energy industries are looking for locations with lower cost more reliable energy. As Germany is learning, going green has produced great anxiety amongst the industrial giants across the country. According to some reports the recent overhaul of the country’s complex renewable energy law has done little to alleviate uncertainty over future policy or assuage fears about German energy competitiveness. Some energy intense industries, especially chemical manufactures are looking at the US with it's declining fuel prices due to the surpluses created by fracking. “Energy intensive industries in particular have lost confidence in the future of Germany as a business location,” said Thomas Mayer, a former chief economist at Deutsche Bank who now runs the Cologne-based Flossbach von Storch Research Institute. “I think this is a major issue that will burden German industry for years to come.” California's environmental wackos have put a collar on the use of fracking in the state. German companies will not be looking to California as future development sites. In fact, energy intensive companies will be looking to follow the German lead in seek lower cost energy. That will be in the states with an abundance of low cost natural gas. As in Germany, California's failure to secure reliable low cost energy sources for the states industry base will burden the state's economic growth for years to come. Who knew that going green was going to cost so much? OK, so you have heard about it for years on this blog, but the folks in Sacramento were not listening or were choosing to ignore the obvious.
Walt, the Iceland Bardarbunga Volcano Threat Grows According to volcanodiscovery.com, “approximately 8600 years ago, Bárðarbunga produced the largest known lava flow during the past 10,000 years on earth (more than 21 cubic kilometers of volume.”) The following is at IceAgeNow: The largest eruption of the Holocene (this era) was at the Bardarbunga volcano caldera.” “Observations are now showing the beginning of deflation in the caldera,” says reader Beano. “There is a 25 kilometer dyke (or trench) under the ice where magma is flowing.” (I don’t know where Beano got this info.) “Deflation is not a good thing – let’s hope it stabilizes,” says Beano. “The last thing that the planet need would be a caldera collapse with all that ice on top.” “The resulting phreatic explosion and then eruption would be catastrophic. You would hear the bang both in the lower 48 and Europe. “If reports are issued of rapidly continuing Bardarbunga volcano caldera deflation be prepared to start to hold goodbye parties. Stay Tuned, we may be treated to a world changing experience. More details at WUWT:http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/08/23/icelandic-bardarbunga-volcanic-eruption-begins/
I have had a rocky relationship with the Union. I have written paid and un-paid columns for the Union, lots of Other Voices and Letters to the Editor. It was during the Seelmeyer reign that I started blogging. The Union kept loosing my Conservative Other Voices Columns, they just kept vanishing, or were finally published once the issue had passed and people were left wondering if I had been living under a rock somewhere. I finally quit for good, when Ackerman said he did not want any more global warming articles, he had professional who could write about that issue - Amy Goodman? I think he was a secret warmer. I had written 11 columns over a year. Two were on global warming, or the lack of it and the bad science supporting AGW. But, Ackerman said it was too much global warming and not enough about community economics. He could not see the connection between AB-32 and the future economic impact on the County tourism and manufacturing. AB-32 is raising energy costs and those costs are going to have a long term impact. But, Ackerman and his editor could not see the connection. I enjoyed Brian's article, and I admire his desire to be balanced. But, one issue that does not get much balance is the global warming issue. They keep publishing crap science from the AP. Yes, I understand they need text to keep the ads from bumping in to each other, but the AP puts out a lot of crap science on AGW which The Union publishes. We subscribed to the dead tree Union for 32 years and now is just easier to go on line and read the opinion columns and leave the rest in the bit bucket.
Walt@01:05 Walt you may find this interesting: What Happens When A Volcano Erupts Under A Glacier? Will the eruption simply explode through the glacier? Um, unlikely. Considering the area of the volcano is about 27 square miles, and if all of that is covered by 1300 feet of ice, and each cubic foot of ice weighs 62.4 pounds ... then the weight of the glacier over Bárðarbunga is approximately 60,000,000,000,000 pounds. "A few people have made theoretical predictions about the dike fracturing up into the ice for some distance, on the order of hundreds of meters," says Edwards, "but it seems a low probability that it could fracture all the way to the top of the ice within a few seconds."
Walt@11:43 Predicting volcano eruptions is like predicting the climate 100 years from now. Impossible. There are way too many factors to consider. There have been faults alarms before, lots of quakes and no eruptions. I am guessing that we will not see a break through, but this is only a gut feeling, not science.
The SBC is BAAACK! NEVADA CITY, Calif. August 22, 2014 - Please join the Nevada City Planning Commission for a special meeting on Thursday, August 28, 2014 in the Council Chambers, 317 Broad Street, Nevada City from 6:00 to 8:00 p.m. The meeting will introduce the first phase of the City's Energy Action Planning Project, which ultimately will help the city and community to reduce energy usage and the resulting Greenhouse Gas emissions. This first phase involves a baseline inventory of energy consumed and a forecast of how much energy would be consumed in the future in the absence of any energy efficiency planning. Through the inventory and forecast process the City can analyze municipal energy use and develop cost-effective energy-efficiency measures that reduce energy costs and the associated burden on local taxpayers. Individual residents and businesses can also benefit by being aware of how energy is consumed in their homes and businesses and what options there are to use energy more efficiency and reduce utility bills. The City has partnered with Sierra Business Council, a Sierra Nevada based non-profit organization with 20 years of experience working in the Sierra Nevada region. The Sierra Business Council has worked with twenty-six local governments in the Sierra Nevada to develop inventories and has helped local governments and businesses to find ways to be more energy efficient. This work is funded through utility rate payer dollars which are administered by Pacific Gas and Electric Company under the auspices of the California Public Utility Commission. Dear rate payer, did you get that? These CO2 inventories are paid for by your dollars, and sent to SBC, you local climate grant whore.
Brad@10:35 Agree, it has been more humid this summer, and least if feels more humid, I do not have any data.
Paul@10:22 Yes, I think there is the potential for some long term drought in the Sierra and the snow pack will be diminished, but how much will be determine by the phases of the PDO and the advent of El Niño events. We are currently in a 20-30 year cool PDO and the probability of El Niños is smaller then if the PDO phase was warm. The real problem is that we have been living in a climate sweet spot for the last 150 years and that is about to change if the solar scientist are correct and we are on the cusp of the next Grand Minimum. See Twilight of Abundance: Why Life in the 21st Century Will Be Nasty, Brutish, and Short, by David Archibald. The problem I have with the global warming drought crowd, is they think that humans can change the long term climate by reducing our CO2 emissions. They keep telling us the worst droughts are during warm periods, but historically the data does not support that. Warm oceans put more moisture in the air, that moisture is squeezed out when the air mass is pushed over the Sierra by the Jet Stream. A cool ocean produces less atmospheric moistures, thus there is less to squeeze out, even though it is colder. Another issue is colder air impacts the flow of the jet stream, which may be farther North, leaving California much drier. The earth climate is a very complex system, and it so complex the computer models cannot capture all the variables and there relationships. The idea that these models can predice the snow pack in the Sierra in the future is just foolishness. And, the idiot believers make economic policies based these flawed model predictions. I highly recommend The West without Water: What Past Floods, Droughts, and Other Climatic Clues Tell Us about Tomorrow by B. Lynn Ingram and Frances Malamud-Roam This was published in June. After reading the history of flooding, I will not be buying anywhere in the Valley below the 700 foot level.
Brad@09:16AM I misspoke, It should have read near term. The Lake Spaulding COOP Station stopped recording the snow and precipitation in 2003. Here is a link to snow fall at the Donner Summit http://www.thestormking.com/Weather/Sierra_Snowfall/sierra_snowfall.html I do not seen any huge decrease in the Snow Pack, only high variability.