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Russ Steele
Russ is a systems engineer, freelance writer. Lt Col, USAF (Ret)
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I worked for TRW and automotive parts company and an aerospace company. In the early 1990s I was responsible for an initiative to move aerospace technology into the automotive industry. It was not a very succesful initiative, as only now is some of the technology we demonstrated appearing in autos today. But, this is a story about automation, the introduction of robots. TRW build an engine controller for Caterpillar and they were very critical about how the engine controller was sealed against dust and water. The cover required a very precise bead of sealling compound be placed without gaps and in a precise location. A company from Japan demonstrated a robot that could do the job much better than humans, especially on Monday morning. Problem, the robots would replace several workers who had been employed to install the sealing compound. The compromise with the Union was, the replaced employee would not lose their job, but would monitor the performance of the robot. I cannot think of anything more boring than watch a robot do the same task over and over again, never making a mistake. Union acceptance has been one of the impediments to the broad deployment of robots in manufacturing. There will be other social and economic impediments, but it will only slow, not block deployment.
Toggle Commented 16 hours ago on The Robots in Our Future at Rebane's Ruminations
In reference to my comment above, the FCC rules may exempt the mom and pop WISPs from reporting, thus reduces staffing needs. Order adopts a temporary exemption from the transparency enhancements for fixed and mobile providers with 100,000 or fewer subscribers, and delegates authority to our Consumer and Governmental Affairs Bureau to determine whether to retain the exception and, if so, at what level.
Many citizens in Nevada County get their Internet from wireless providers. These are mom and pop business that do not have the staff necessary to provide the flood of federal paperwork that will be required once the Feds take over the Internet under FCC Title II. These ISPs will have to hire more staff to handle the reporting, this will increase the price of the service. This increased cost will be added to the special fees that are now on phone bill will soon be on Internet service bills, this will also increase the cost of the services and the cost of collection by the ISPs. Many families do not have Internet today, due to the cost. As the costs of Internet increases under Title II, more citizens will drop their connections, and go back to using Internet Cafes and Library Tech Centers. This will have an impact on the wireless providers bottom line. Many of the mom and pop wireless providers will be forced out of business by Federal regulations. One fairness law suite under Title II will finish off these mom and pop ISPs even faster than the cost issue. Stay tuned.
In a paper titled Algorithm Aversion the authors write: Research shows that evidence-based algorithms more accurately predict the future than do human forecasters. Yet, when forecasters are deciding whether to use a human forecaster or a statistical algorithm, they often choose the human forecaster. This phenomenon, which we call algorithm aversion, is costly, and it is important to understand its causes. We show that people are especially averse to algorithmic forecasters after seeing them perform, even when they see them outperform a human forecaster. This is because people more quickly lose confidence in algorithmic than human forecasters after seeing them make the same mistake. In five studies, participants either saw an algorithm make forecasts, a human make forecasts, both, or neither. They then decided whether to tie their incentives to the future predictions of the algorithm or the human. Participants who saw the algorithm perform were less confident in it, and less likely to choose it over an inferior human forecaster. This was true even among those who saw the algorithm outperform the human. It will be interesting to see how readers treat George's analysis, which uses an algorithm to calculate the probability of an event, based on human input, with adjustments being made as more precise information becomes available. Humans and algorithms working together to produce a better answer to a complex question. - See more at: http://marginalrevolution.com/#sthash.iktqv9xQ.dpuf
Quote of the week, Mark Steyn: Marie Harf, star of the hilarious new comedy Geopolitically Blonde, explaining her jobs-for-jihadis program.
Toggle Commented Feb 22, 2015 on Sandbox - 16feb15 at Rebane's Ruminations
Some thoughts from the Diplomad 2.0 on Mari Harf and Obama's Extremism Summit. Dear Mari, it's not a profit that drives the ISIS thugs, it's the "Prophet." Too hard on the Deputy Spokesperhubeing? Probably. She, of course, is crippled by an elite education; we must take that into account. Worse, however, the inane insanity she spouts is THE OFFICIAL LINE. Yes, Dear Mari had not strayed off her talking points. At his pathetic little Extremism Summit, the President once again took to the podium to remind us that his teleprompter tells him that we are not war with Islam. Even he, however, has a problem coming up with non-Muslim terror in his pathetic little speech. Once he starts dealing with specific examples, guess what happens? They're all examples of Muslims killing people in the name of Islam. He admonishes the Great Unwashed that despite that, we should ignore the news cycle's portrayal of Muslims and that we should stress our success at diversity. In the midst of his speech, the "Leader" of the Free World, spends a lot of time berating Europeans for not "embracing" their Muslims. More here, worth the time to read: http://www.thediplomad.com/2015/02/is-it-all-about-profit-muhammed-state.html
JoeK@08:43 What about the quakes in NW Nevada, about 40 miles south of Lakeview Oregon. No fracking there, yet the area is having a swarm of earthquakes. Is fracking on OK causing these quakes? http://www.oregonlive.com/pacific-northwest-news/index.ssf/2015/01/8_earthquakes_in_24_hours_ratt.html http://www.kptv.com/story/27299568/scientists-monitoring-earthquake-swarm-near-lakeview
Toggle Commented Feb 21, 2015 on Sandbox - 16feb15 at Rebane's Ruminations
George@10:30 No I did not read the report or look at any of the files they called models. I will accept your evaluation, they are models in name only, not in function.
George@10:02PM The models are listed on the right side of the page. Click on the models link and it expands the selection of models. Section Pages Central Valley Modeling Delta Modeling Computer Assistance
JoeS and George Here is a link to the river delta flow and salinity models: http://baydeltaoffice.water.ca.gov/modeling/deltamodeling/modelingdata/DEM.cfm Have fun!
George, I like the new header. Who did the graphics for you?
Toggle Commented Feb 20, 2015 on Sandbox - 16feb15 at Rebane's Ruminations
Paul@12:59PM Studies show that the San Francisco Bay marshes have experienced more salinity about 600 years ago than the salinity of the marshes are today, about 22.5%. This increase in salinity started about 1800 years ago when it was about 16%, when California experiences some very long droughts. Thirty years from 1021-1051, 40 years from 1130-1170, 25 five years from 1240-1265 and 22 years from 1360-1382. After peaking about 580 years ago, it declined. The average is now slightly lower than the peak of 23.5% 580 years ago. So, we have a paleo record of what happens in the Bay when salinity increases. We have been living in a relatively wet period and could experience some very long droughts in the near future.
Mr Boardman As President once said, "Elections have consequences." Yes they do. All across America voters elected Republican Governors and Attorney Generals. These newly elected Republicans are busy protecting the rights of the citizens in their states. We cannot say the same here in California, our leaders roll over and whimper when the feds bark. Under Texas leadership, 26 Attorney General have moved forward to challenge the President on his immigration executive order. There will be more challenges as these feisty Republican's seek to protect the citizens in their states from federal over reach. Stay tuned.
Toggle Commented Feb 18, 2015 on Sandbox - 16feb15 at Rebane's Ruminations
I am currently reading The Great Divide and find the Where Do You Stand side by side charts, comparing liberal and conservative views on issues, helpful in summarizing the authors points. As I read, I see some of the authors points being played out in the news and on this blog. I recommend the book to all blog readers. It is available in Kindle and hard copy from Amazon. The author has a webpage at www.williamgairdner.com where he has an article on the Paris shooting: Charlie Hebdo - It's a War of the Gods! Concluding: It is time to recognize that we are in the midst of a war of opposing gods just as dramatic, and theologically-rooted on both sides as any of the ancient wars of the gods depicted by historians, or, more to the point at hand -- by the historians of the Crusades. Recommended.
Toggle Commented Feb 17, 2015 on Sandbox - 16feb15 at Rebane's Ruminations
Paul@05:34PM Common sense: I think that former President Clinton womanizing is part his history and the court records. Second Source: Vanity Fair The Comeback Id in 2008. Old friends and longtime aides are wringing their hands over Bill Clinton’s post–White House escapades, from the dubious (and secretive) business associations to the media blowups that have bruised his wife’s campaign, to the private-jetting around with a skirt-chasing, scandal-tinged posse. Some point to Clinton’s medical traumas; others blame sheer selfishness, and the absence of anyone who can say “no.” Exploring Clintonworld, the author asks if the former president will be consumed by his own worst self. Second Source: What would you call the fight logs with Clinton listed as a passenger with others in the story a reliable source? A Contrary Side of the Story: Do you have one? Read the Full Text: Usually a good idea. No Audio or Video: Not right time yet.
Interesting article in Popular Mechanics: Why Superintelligent Machines Are Probably the Dominant Lifeforms in the Universe If you think the rise of robots on Earth is scary, then here's a thought for you: they might be the most prevalent lifeform in the universe. University of Connecticut philosophy professor Susan Schneider certainly thinks so. In her new paper "Alien Minds," she proposes that by the time civilizations are able to communicate by radio, they're a few short steps away from developing artificial intelligence. One they reached that level of advancement, they may have opted to upgrade their biology to something that's a biomechanical hybrid or something entirely synthetic. There could be a whole mess of Borg out there, in other words. I can agree with that, as it will be necessary for earthlings to evolve as we continues to explore out planetary neighborhood. Exploration is built into our DNA, and we are now on the spearpoint of evolution, and hybridization is the next big step.
Toggle Commented Feb 15, 2015 on Sandbox - 5feb15 at Rebane's Ruminations
PaulE@11:09AM Check out these stories in the New York Post. http://pagesix.com/tag/jeffrey-epstein/?_ga=1.67886425.995960534.1387138026
It was just by best guess, after reading the news and assessing the political environment. I did not do the math.
MOMENT? FOR SLOW JOE, IT’S MORE LIKE “LIFE.” Biden has his own Brian Williams moment. “During a CNN/YouTube Democratic debate in June of that year, Biden said he was ‘shot at’ inside the Green Zone in Iraq then later walked back the comment to say that a mortar round landed roughly a few hundred yards away from a structure where he was staying overnight.” There is only a 20% change that Biden will try to run, he has political baggage every where, and Hillary knows where it is.
Here is Hillary's problem, it is Bill Just a few weeks ago, reports broke that Bill Clinton had flown at least 11 times on “The Lolita Express” — a private plane owned by the mysterious financier and convicted pedophile Jeffrey Epstein. According to Virginia Roberts, who claims to have been one of Epstein’s many teenaged sex slaves, Clinton also visited Epstein’s private Caribbean retreat, known as “Orgy Island.” “I remember asking Jeffrey, ‘What’s Bill Clinton doing here?’ ” Roberts said in 2011. The former president, she added, was accompanied by four young girls during his stay — two of whom were among Epstein’s regular sex partners. “And [Jeffrey] laughed it off and said, ‘Well, he owes me a favor.’ He never told me what favors they were.” Clinton also spent years traveling and partying with Ron Burkle, a billionaire bachelor with a penchant for very young girls. Clinton spent so much time on Burkle’s private plane that it came to be known in Burkle’s circle as “Air F—k One.” All the press needs to do is find the girls that flew on these sex flights, interview them and then published the results. A parade of once under age girls and their sex adventures could derail Hillary's campaign.
I invite readers to check out Sierra Foothills Commentary for a discussion of Democrats and liberals in small towns. We see the results played out on this blog day in and day out. Link is HERE: http://sierrafoothillcommentary.com/2015/02/13/right-here-in-our-little-foothill-villages/
Toggle Commented Feb 14, 2015 on Sandbox - 5feb15 at Rebane's Ruminations
U.N. Official Reveals Real Reason Behind Warming Scare Christiana Figueres, executive secretary of U.N.’s Framework Convention on Climate Change, admitted that the goal of environmental activists is not to save the world from ecological calamity but to destroy capitalism. “This is the first time in the history of mankind that we are setting ourselves the task of intentionally, within a defined period of time, to change the economic development model that has been reigning for at least 150 years, since the Industrial Revolution,” she said. The cat’s out of the bag. There is no approaching ecological calamity. The aim is to destroy capitalism.
Toggle Commented Feb 13, 2015 on Sandbox - 5feb15 at Rebane's Ruminations
"Behind the scenes, though, there are few signs the vice president is taking steps toward mounting a third bid for the top job at the White House. As Hillary Rodham Clinton builds an elaborate campaign-in-waiting, and a few other Democrats nibble around the edges, Biden's name has faded from the mix of expected 2016 candidates. Biden's aides and longtime political advisers say he isn't organizing in early voting states such as New Hampshire and Iowa, although he'll visit Des Moines on Thursday. He has yet to form an exploratory committee or other apparatus that could rapidly scale up to become a campaign." http://apnews.myway.com/article/20150212/us--dem_2016-biden-e1c7c348ca.html
Looking at the scatter plot, I wanted to draw some lines. Go to the top of the More Informed arrow, and draw a line in your mind that is perpendicular to the vertical arrow shaft at the very top end. There are a significant number of left-wingers that are reported to be "more informed" above this imaginary line. Can we assume that these dots represent the lefty professors at our colleges and universities? Now go to the mid-point of the vertical arrow and it is easy to see there are more left wingers that are less informed than right-wingers, below this imaginary line. The left-wing plots dribble down the page, well beyond the right-wingers. Can we assume this represents the lefty low information voter crowd? The left wing represents the extremes, the well informed and super less informed at the very bottom. I would like to see another layer, perhaps some colored dot for those considered to have a mental impairment, especially those at the extremes. It has been said that liberalism is sign of a mental illness. More work needs to be done on this analysis of left and right, there is more to discover.
I was wondering were all the voices were, the comments column was static for a long time. I was about to send you an e-mail when Todd broke the ice. The Captcha is not working. So I tried the Facebook log in.