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Russ Steele
Russ is a systems engineer, freelance writer. Lt Col, USAF (Ret)
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Driveby@07:36PM You are right about the young engineering not finding rural NC to their liking, but the Millennials starting a family might find NC much to their liking if they could find knowledge jobs here and we had outstanding schools. That is two issues to solve. We have declining schools and few knowledge worker jobs. We were once a creative hub, with lots of new products being created, companies growing and new companies being formed. Those heady days seem to have slipped away. It is impossible to recreate the past, we need to look forward to the next big thing and prepare for it. We can start by bucking up our schools and creating more students ready to enter the work force. One reason that companies move to a new location is to take advantage of a surplus trained work force. The numbers tell us that our schools are not up to the challenge. It is unlikely that Common Core is going to change the situation.
Driveby@05:27 RCD is growing, they just got their fiber connection from AT&T, Thurston Manufacturing was bought and closed, BUB built an expansion plant out of state, no idea about Ensemble Designs. Many have left the County for Roseville and Rocklin with lower transportation costs and redundant broadband. Some of the reason we have so much unused manufacturing space. At one time we had 32 design centers in Nevada County, but the manufacturing was being done off shore.
Driveby@02;19PM When you write "web connection" do you mean a broadband Internet connection? For a long time our business parks did not have any broadband connections, now some have fiber and some wireless connections. Very few have redundant fiber connections, which any company in the information distribution business would want. We now have two fiber access lines one up 49 and one up 20 and will soon have more, a second up 49 and possibly one on 174. The question is will our business parks have both primary and secondary access? They may not under the current grant rules, that avoids competition. No over lapping services allowed if grant money used to build the networks. That makes having redundant access difficult.
BenE@08:59 Can you support your claim "Climate Change is altering the continent of Africa" without resorting to the a paper based on the IPCC climate models? Global temperature increases have paused for over 18 years. How is Africa been altered over the last 18 years with a stable temperature? Who or what do you think is responsible for this pause in climate change, as CO2 emission continue to increase? It appears that increased level os CO2 have had a positive impact on Africa. Here is one example: The Sahara is actually shrinking, with vegetation arising on land where there was nothing but sand and rocks before.The southern border of the Sahara has been retreating since the early 1980s, making farming viable again in what were some of the most arid parts of Africa. There has been a spectacular regeneration of vegetation in northern Burkina Faso, which was devastated by drought and advancing deserts 20 years ago. It is now growing so much greener that families who fled to wetter coastal regions are starting to come back. There are now more trees, more grassland for livestock and a 70% increase in yields of local cereals such sorghum and millet in recent years. Vegetation has also increased significantly in the past 15 years in southern Mauritania, north-western Niger, central Chad, much of Sudan and parts of Eritrea. In Burkina Faso and Mali, production of millet rose by 55 percent and 35 percent, respectively, since 1980. Satellite photos, taken between 1982 and 2002, revealed the extensive re-greening throughout the Sahel. Aerial photographs and interviews with local people have confirmed the increase in vegetation. Why would people be migrating from Africa when it turing green from climate change?
Let’s Destroy Liberal Academia Understand that the purpose of modern American “education” is not to educate students. It is primarily to provide cushy, subsidized sinecures for liberal administrators and faculty while, secondarily, providing a forum to indoctrinate soft young minds in the liberal fetishes du jour. Actually educating students is hard, and a meaningful education is anathema to liberalism. In the liberals’ ideal world, the universities would simply fester with leftist nonsense and not even bother with trying to teach their charges anything at all. And today, it’s pretty close to being the liberals’ ideal world. And, they are left wondering why they cannot get a job after graduation. They did not learn any thing an employeer needs.
Toggle Commented Mar 3, 2015 on Sandbox - 1mar15 at Rebane's Ruminations
I worked for TRW and automotive parts company and an aerospace company. In the early 1990s I was responsible for an initiative to move aerospace technology into the automotive industry. It was not a very succesful initiative, as only now is some of the technology we demonstrated appearing in autos today. But, this is a story about automation, the introduction of robots. TRW build an engine controller for Caterpillar and they were very critical about how the engine controller was sealed against dust and water. The cover required a very precise bead of sealling compound be placed without gaps and in a precise location. A company from Japan demonstrated a robot that could do the job much better than humans, especially on Monday morning. Problem, the robots would replace several workers who had been employed to install the sealing compound. The compromise with the Union was, the replaced employee would not lose their job, but would monitor the performance of the robot. I cannot think of anything more boring than watch a robot do the same task over and over again, never making a mistake. Union acceptance has been one of the impediments to the broad deployment of robots in manufacturing. There will be other social and economic impediments, but it will only slow, not block deployment.
Toggle Commented Mar 2, 2015 on The Robots in Our Future at Rebane's Ruminations
In reference to my comment above, the FCC rules may exempt the mom and pop WISPs from reporting, thus reduces staffing needs. Order adopts a temporary exemption from the transparency enhancements for fixed and mobile providers with 100,000 or fewer subscribers, and delegates authority to our Consumer and Governmental Affairs Bureau to determine whether to retain the exception and, if so, at what level.
Many citizens in Nevada County get their Internet from wireless providers. These are mom and pop business that do not have the staff necessary to provide the flood of federal paperwork that will be required once the Feds take over the Internet under FCC Title II. These ISPs will have to hire more staff to handle the reporting, this will increase the price of the service. This increased cost will be added to the special fees that are now on phone bill will soon be on Internet service bills, this will also increase the cost of the services and the cost of collection by the ISPs. Many families do not have Internet today, due to the cost. As the costs of Internet increases under Title II, more citizens will drop their connections, and go back to using Internet Cafes and Library Tech Centers. This will have an impact on the wireless providers bottom line. Many of the mom and pop wireless providers will be forced out of business by Federal regulations. One fairness law suite under Title II will finish off these mom and pop ISPs even faster than the cost issue. Stay tuned.
In a paper titled Algorithm Aversion the authors write: Research shows that evidence-based algorithms more accurately predict the future than do human forecasters. Yet, when forecasters are deciding whether to use a human forecaster or a statistical algorithm, they often choose the human forecaster. This phenomenon, which we call algorithm aversion, is costly, and it is important to understand its causes. We show that people are especially averse to algorithmic forecasters after seeing them perform, even when they see them outperform a human forecaster. This is because people more quickly lose confidence in algorithmic than human forecasters after seeing them make the same mistake. In five studies, participants either saw an algorithm make forecasts, a human make forecasts, both, or neither. They then decided whether to tie their incentives to the future predictions of the algorithm or the human. Participants who saw the algorithm perform were less confident in it, and less likely to choose it over an inferior human forecaster. This was true even among those who saw the algorithm outperform the human. It will be interesting to see how readers treat George's analysis, which uses an algorithm to calculate the probability of an event, based on human input, with adjustments being made as more precise information becomes available. Humans and algorithms working together to produce a better answer to a complex question. - See more at:
Quote of the week, Mark Steyn: Marie Harf, star of the hilarious new comedy Geopolitically Blonde, explaining her jobs-for-jihadis program.
Toggle Commented Feb 22, 2015 on Sandbox - 16feb15 at Rebane's Ruminations
Some thoughts from the Diplomad 2.0 on Mari Harf and Obama's Extremism Summit. Dear Mari, it's not a profit that drives the ISIS thugs, it's the "Prophet." Too hard on the Deputy Spokesperhubeing? Probably. She, of course, is crippled by an elite education; we must take that into account. Worse, however, the inane insanity she spouts is THE OFFICIAL LINE. Yes, Dear Mari had not strayed off her talking points. At his pathetic little Extremism Summit, the President once again took to the podium to remind us that his teleprompter tells him that we are not war with Islam. Even he, however, has a problem coming up with non-Muslim terror in his pathetic little speech. Once he starts dealing with specific examples, guess what happens? They're all examples of Muslims killing people in the name of Islam. He admonishes the Great Unwashed that despite that, we should ignore the news cycle's portrayal of Muslims and that we should stress our success at diversity. In the midst of his speech, the "Leader" of the Free World, spends a lot of time berating Europeans for not "embracing" their Muslims. More here, worth the time to read:
JoeK@08:43 What about the quakes in NW Nevada, about 40 miles south of Lakeview Oregon. No fracking there, yet the area is having a swarm of earthquakes. Is fracking on OK causing these quakes?
Toggle Commented Feb 21, 2015 on Sandbox - 16feb15 at Rebane's Ruminations
George@10:30 No I did not read the report or look at any of the files they called models. I will accept your evaluation, they are models in name only, not in function.
George@10:02PM The models are listed on the right side of the page. Click on the models link and it expands the selection of models. Section Pages Central Valley Modeling Delta Modeling Computer Assistance
JoeS and George Here is a link to the river delta flow and salinity models: Have fun!
George, I like the new header. Who did the graphics for you?
Toggle Commented Feb 20, 2015 on Sandbox - 16feb15 at Rebane's Ruminations
Paul@12:59PM Studies show that the San Francisco Bay marshes have experienced more salinity about 600 years ago than the salinity of the marshes are today, about 22.5%. This increase in salinity started about 1800 years ago when it was about 16%, when California experiences some very long droughts. Thirty years from 1021-1051, 40 years from 1130-1170, 25 five years from 1240-1265 and 22 years from 1360-1382. After peaking about 580 years ago, it declined. The average is now slightly lower than the peak of 23.5% 580 years ago. So, we have a paleo record of what happens in the Bay when salinity increases. We have been living in a relatively wet period and could experience some very long droughts in the near future.
Mr Boardman As President once said, "Elections have consequences." Yes they do. All across America voters elected Republican Governors and Attorney Generals. These newly elected Republicans are busy protecting the rights of the citizens in their states. We cannot say the same here in California, our leaders roll over and whimper when the feds bark. Under Texas leadership, 26 Attorney General have moved forward to challenge the President on his immigration executive order. There will be more challenges as these feisty Republican's seek to protect the citizens in their states from federal over reach. Stay tuned.
Toggle Commented Feb 18, 2015 on Sandbox - 16feb15 at Rebane's Ruminations
I am currently reading The Great Divide and find the Where Do You Stand side by side charts, comparing liberal and conservative views on issues, helpful in summarizing the authors points. As I read, I see some of the authors points being played out in the news and on this blog. I recommend the book to all blog readers. It is available in Kindle and hard copy from Amazon. The author has a webpage at where he has an article on the Paris shooting: Charlie Hebdo - It's a War of the Gods! Concluding: It is time to recognize that we are in the midst of a war of opposing gods just as dramatic, and theologically-rooted on both sides as any of the ancient wars of the gods depicted by historians, or, more to the point at hand -- by the historians of the Crusades. Recommended.
Toggle Commented Feb 17, 2015 on Sandbox - 16feb15 at Rebane's Ruminations
Paul@05:34PM Common sense: I think that former President Clinton womanizing is part his history and the court records. Second Source: Vanity Fair The Comeback Id in 2008. Old friends and longtime aides are wringing their hands over Bill Clinton’s post–White House escapades, from the dubious (and secretive) business associations to the media blowups that have bruised his wife’s campaign, to the private-jetting around with a skirt-chasing, scandal-tinged posse. Some point to Clinton’s medical traumas; others blame sheer selfishness, and the absence of anyone who can say “no.” Exploring Clintonworld, the author asks if the former president will be consumed by his own worst self. Second Source: What would you call the fight logs with Clinton listed as a passenger with others in the story a reliable source? A Contrary Side of the Story: Do you have one? Read the Full Text: Usually a good idea. No Audio or Video: Not right time yet.
Interesting article in Popular Mechanics: Why Superintelligent Machines Are Probably the Dominant Lifeforms in the Universe If you think the rise of robots on Earth is scary, then here's a thought for you: they might be the most prevalent lifeform in the universe. University of Connecticut philosophy professor Susan Schneider certainly thinks so. In her new paper "Alien Minds," she proposes that by the time civilizations are able to communicate by radio, they're a few short steps away from developing artificial intelligence. One they reached that level of advancement, they may have opted to upgrade their biology to something that's a biomechanical hybrid or something entirely synthetic. There could be a whole mess of Borg out there, in other words. I can agree with that, as it will be necessary for earthlings to evolve as we continues to explore out planetary neighborhood. Exploration is built into our DNA, and we are now on the spearpoint of evolution, and hybridization is the next big step.
Toggle Commented Feb 15, 2015 on Sandbox - 5feb15 at Rebane's Ruminations
PaulE@11:09AM Check out these stories in the New York Post.
It was just by best guess, after reading the news and assessing the political environment. I did not do the math.
MOMENT? FOR SLOW JOE, IT’S MORE LIKE “LIFE.” Biden has his own Brian Williams moment. “During a CNN/YouTube Democratic debate in June of that year, Biden said he was ‘shot at’ inside the Green Zone in Iraq then later walked back the comment to say that a mortar round landed roughly a few hundred yards away from a structure where he was staying overnight.” There is only a 20% change that Biden will try to run, he has political baggage every where, and Hillary knows where it is.
Here is Hillary's problem, it is Bill Just a few weeks ago, reports broke that Bill Clinton had flown at least 11 times on “The Lolita Express” — a private plane owned by the mysterious financier and convicted pedophile Jeffrey Epstein. According to Virginia Roberts, who claims to have been one of Epstein’s many teenaged sex slaves, Clinton also visited Epstein’s private Caribbean retreat, known as “Orgy Island.” “I remember asking Jeffrey, ‘What’s Bill Clinton doing here?’ ” Roberts said in 2011. The former president, she added, was accompanied by four young girls during his stay — two of whom were among Epstein’s regular sex partners. “And [Jeffrey] laughed it off and said, ‘Well, he owes me a favor.’ He never told me what favors they were.” Clinton also spent years traveling and partying with Ron Burkle, a billionaire bachelor with a penchant for very young girls. Clinton spent so much time on Burkle’s private plane that it came to be known in Burkle’s circle as “Air F—k One.” All the press needs to do is find the girls that flew on these sex flights, interview them and then published the results. A parade of once under age girls and their sex adventures could derail Hillary's campaign.