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NEPP
Burlington, VT
Recent Activity
Concur, Franco cannot and will not ever be an OF. Ruf is a bit faster than him and that's is scary. Franco is a 1B/3B and that's it. ***Whether Asche can stick as on OF, as discussed yesterday, comes down to where he falls on the defensive spectrum.*** No, it falls on his bat...and his bat doesnt play in the OF unless he improves significantly.
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I think Franco's bat (as projected) would play well at either corner infield position. Obviously, 3B is the preference if only because its far, far harder to find a good 3B that can hit than a 1B. 1B is pretty much the easiest position on the diamond to fill so you prefer he stays at 3B if he can field it.
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Its a very smart move...even if it doesnt work out, they didnt pay much. I wonder how much the Padres regret not trading him 2 years ago after his career year...back when he could have nabbed them 2-3 blue-chip prospects.
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All in all a nice rental for the Yanks, **************** Agreed
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Headley has been pretty awful this year...to be fair. His value isn't all that great. His bat will probably play up a bit in Yankee Stadium but he's not really a great player.
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***It's bit of a dick move, all told*** Its just a smart decision by him and his agent really.
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Odd that he doesn't have KC and St. Louis on the list. ***************** STL makes sense in that its a possibility they'd want him as a perrenial playoff team so he'd want that leverage. Maybe KC was along the same lines given the Wil Myers trade...maybe his agent thought they were more likely to want him than Minnesota and thus kept them on the list of possiblilities (and thus negotiation leverage in case of future trade talks)
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He likely does, for a deep second division team. For a contender, not so sure. Posted by: clout | Tuesday, July 22, 2014 at 01:32 PM It looks like he's in the right place then for the next few years.
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A couple thoughts: 1. Lee knows its very unlikely that the Phillies would trade him within the division so there was no need to waste any of his 20 no-trade spots with NL East teams. 2. Asche doesnt have the bat for the OF...thus, if he cant stick at 3B, he's not an MLB player.
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For only a dollar a day, you can provide the food and medicine to help 2 young children who desperately needs it... Or you can put a goofy message on Cliff Lee's BBR page. ********************* Spare the rod, spoil the child. In this case, the rod would be made of anti-biotics and basic nutrition.
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So, .272/.324/.322 (81 OPS+) is All-Star caliber? Posted by: Dickie Thong | Tuesday, July 15, 2014 at 08:42 PM Um...I dont think any Phillies fan should complain about Jeter getting voted in given Mike Schmidt's inclusion in the 1989 AS Game...a game that occurred almost 2 months after he officially retired.
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Dugan's walk rate is pretty high (9.2% so far this year, around 9.7% the last two years prior to 2014) and his SO% isn't really that awful at 23.7% so I'm guardedly optimistic about him actually. As you note, his health is the key. If he can figure out how to stay healthy, he might be a decent corner OF. As I recall, we were both pretty bullish on him this off-season and pretty bearish on the phenom of the day Aaron Altherr. Both opinions seem accurate so far.
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If Revere's arm was slightly stronger and he could hit .330 regularly instead of around .300, he'd have some little bit of value in the right situation.
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For me, the Amaro conservation ends when you consider how one can scout Revere and conclude that he is the long term answer for CF. ************ Maybe they looked at him and thought "Hmm, a cheap stopgap for a couple of years while we suck" instead. Perhaps they're a bit more honest about the Organization in their internal discussions than they would be in a press conference on the team's chances.
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Lakewood teammate Carlos Tocci got a lot of buzz on here awhile ago ************ I personally dont see it. I never have. I dont think he'll ever amount to much of anything.
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clout do you have anything other than sarcastic comments to add at this point?
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I'm actually pretty disappointed by KK so far this year as I really thought his 2nd half last year was an abberation largely resulting from the concussion and shoulder issues he dealt with during those months. I thought he'd come into 2014 healthy and be back to being a solid #3/#4 starter who'd be in line for a deal much like Scott Feldman's deal last off-season. He has simply not been that guy or even close...right now, he's probably a guy that gets a 1 year, $5-6 million deal to be someone's 5th SP. Maybe a 2nd year vesting or club option.
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I personally dont hate him but I just dont think he's a good pitcher. At least at this point. He's been pretty rough to watch for at least the last 12 months now (basically since his concussion last year to now).
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So...remember when we used to debate Harper vs. Trout? Seems kind of silly right now, eh?
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Christ, what the hell is with kendrick? ********** He's not a very good pitcher.
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A Top 10 guy(on a team's list) for Byrd should be the starting point. I'd actually argue for closer to Top 5 (not above a #5 but probably right around that level of prospect) than the #9 or #10 guy on those lists depending on the team. Byrd has a ton of surplus value given his current production and ultra low salary...even at his age. Some team on the edge of the playoffs will likely be desperate enough for a solid RH bat (sound familiar)...especially one under a team-friendly deal through 2015.
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Sabermetrics doesn't work much for guys who lack power or high OB and aren't dazzling on defense, but who have great speed, steal bases, bunt well, disrupt opposing pitchers etc. WAR and OPS+ are both pretty worthless in measuring the value of guys like that. Juan Pierre had many seasons with a sub-3 fWAR, but few would call him a 4th outfielder. **************** I would disagree...if only because there is far more to sabermetrics and advanced metrics than just OPS+ and WAR. You are quite right that both have major limitations in what they do. We all know that and you and I have discussed those limitations at length in the past whether it was the overemphasis on slugging inherent in OPS/OPS+ or the over-reliance on UZR when it comes to fWAR calculations given the inherent instability in UZR in smaller sample sizes (less than 3 seasons for OFs, less than 1 season for infielders typically due to the small number of overall chances. Sabermetrics would do just fine in measuring those things you mention and there are metrics that do just that (the "Speed" metrics on Fangraphs for example and the baserunning metrics that are publicly available do just that actually). But yes, for a guy like Juan Pierre in his prime, to look just at his OPS+ would be silly...but his baserunning was measured in his overall fWAR given those other aspects. Perhaps the equations need to be tweaked but they are better than nothing.
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Any discussion of Mayberry that ignores the fact he flat out cannot hit RHP is a waste of time. ******** Exactly clout.
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***Who is this "10-12M player/player next season" who will usher in the new era? *** Isn't $10-12 million basically what a #5 starter makes these days? Doesnt seem like it'd be much of an upgrade really.
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Overall though I would agree that Ben Revere is not the reason this team sucks. Sure, he's not a good CF on a contender (he's really a good 4th OF it seems due to his arm issues and lack of anything at all resembling power...two issues that make him more of a tweener OF than a true corner guy or true CF) but that's not why this team isn't going to contend this year.
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