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Neven
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The Guardian: Karl Ove Knausgaard condemns Norway's Arctic oil plans Opening up the Arctic to oil companies is ‘shortsighted and stupid’, says leading Norwegian author as he leads campaign to sue the government Norway’s best-known author has lashed out at “the shortsightedness and stupidity” of plans to expand oil exploration into the Arctic, as campaigners prepare to sue the government for placing future generations at risk from climate change. Karl Ove Knausgaard, whose bestselling memoir has been a global literary sensation, is fronting a campaign to mount a legal challenge against moves by Norway to open up the Arctic to oil companies. Oil and gas extraction in the Arctic has nothing to do with worthwhile goals such as alleviating poverty , Knausgaard said. “Norway is one of the richest countries in the world – it’s all about greed, and it’s a fucking disgrace.” The environment was the single most important issue of our time, he said, and his feeling of helplessness in the face of environmental destruction made him “just turn away from it and try to think about something else”. But Arctic oil exploration was different, he said. “The Arctic is one of the few places left on the planet that still is unexploited, it’s a very sensitive area, and I never believed that my government actually would do such a thing. We need to make them stop, and we still can do that. … The shortsightedness and the stupidity of it just makes me want to cry.” Silly Karl Ove, you should be working with the Norwegian government and tell them what a wonderful job they're doing, seeing that they have it so difficult.
Toggle Commented May 19, 2015 on Bill McKibben nails it at Arctic Sea Ice
According to the ADS sea ice monitor (hat-tip to, who else, Wipneus on the forum) melt ponds have started to form in the Beaufort and Chukchi Sea: I don't know how reliable these maps are, but it makes sense.
Just think how effective it would have been for McKibben to stand up With Obama and say that whilst he deplores the opening up of Oil exploration in the Arctic, he recognises that Obama may have not choice but to do it. However that he holds the US administration wholly responsible for the decision and that the US administration needs to do everything possible to protect the environment of the Arctic during this drilling. This is naive, just as it is naive to think that the US is run by two opposing parties, instead of just one party, or to think that Obama isn't a puppet. Or to think that there is one monolithic climate lobby (if I wouldn't know better, I'd think you're concern trolling). As long as it isn't enough, you need to push for more. It's an ongoing struggle.
Toggle Commented May 19, 2015 on Bill McKibben nails it at Arctic Sea Ice
As of tomorrow I'm going on a 10-day hiatus, also known as holiday. I'll be back on June 1st, fresh and fit for the rest of the melting season.
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During the melting season I'm writing (bi-)weekly updates on the current situation with regards to Arctic sea ice (ASI). Central to these updates are the daily Cryosphere Today sea ice area (SIA) and IJIS sea ice extent (SIE) numbers, which I compare to data from the 2005-2014 period (NSIDC has... Continue reading
Posted May 19, 2015 at Arctic Sea Ice
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And here's the anomaly (red): Unfortunately I can't link to this image on the ASIG Daily Graphs page, but there are other snow cover maps there that show the same (you have to scroll down a bit to the Snow Cover segment.
Toggle Commented May 18, 2015 on Don't forget the ASIG at Arctic Sea Ice
Jim, I'm going to post ASI updates every two weeks (starting tomorrow). These will function as open threads.
Toggle Commented May 18, 2015 on 2014/2015 Winter analysis at Arctic Sea Ice
That's right, Jim. I had forgotten you have a great segment on your blog with images and animations. I'll put a link on the ASIG to that.
Toggle Commented May 18, 2015 on Don't forget the ASIG at Arctic Sea Ice
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In the past few weeks I've been gradually updating the Arctic Sea Ice Graphs website, a collection of all imaginable graphs and maps concerning the Arctic and its sea ice out there. The biggest change has been the inclusion of a new Forecasts page that has maps showing what the... Continue reading
Posted May 18, 2015 at Arctic Sea Ice
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@Neven - typepad ate my last post. Sorry about that, Wayne, I just released two of your comments. The spam filter has been working great these past couple of months, and so I tend not to check that often.
2) Message to the sane world, e.g. to McKibben, to the divestment movement, to environmental groups large and small: "Your voice is not yet loud enough. I beg you to work harder." That's why I re-posted! Boy, that Obama sure is a genius. ;-)
Toggle Commented May 14, 2015 on Bill McKibben nails it at Arctic Sea Ice
Again, he calls me stupid. I read that as anyone supporting Arctic drilling, is stupid. You're not supporting Arctic drilling, so you're not stupid. But it would seem to me stupid to disagree with Bill McKibben when he writes: "It’s as if the tobacco companies were applying for permission to put cigarette machines in cancer wards. And the White House gave Shell the license." You can't go and say climate change is a serious issue and then allow Arctic drilling. There's a huge disconnect there. It's denial, pure and simple.
Toggle Commented May 14, 2015 on Bill McKibben nails it at Arctic Sea Ice
Neven, can you say something to him please? There's nothing I have to say to Sam because he politely explains why he disagrees with you, whereas you accuse him of name-calling and twisting your words. But that's not what he's doing. In fact, it's you that's doing the twisting of words, and in the process act like a classical concern troll. These lines... That type of tactic is not helpful and harms the environmental movement more than it helps. (...) That sort of tactic is a ticket to turning people off and hurting your own cause. (...) That type of language and actions, such as chaining oneself to a pole, hurts the climate change cause. The general public gets pissed off when they see and hear things like that, and are more likely not to be terribly supportive. Rational discussion based on data, and not going off the deep end and predicting armageddon like McKibben and some of his people are prone to do, is the way to go. ...are classic examples of concern trolling. Cut it out or be out.
Toggle Commented May 14, 2015 on Bill McKibben nails it at Arctic Sea Ice
Don't you think it's a little bit early to predicting a record minimum? It's never too early to predict something. That's what's predicting is all about. :-)
Toggle Commented May 14, 2015 on 2014/2015 Winter analysis at Arctic Sea Ice
For instance, he says nothing about the remote geography of the Chuchki Sea that makes drilling difficult and the ability to respond quickly to a spill is severely hampered. He does: By “extreme” I don’t just mean that Shell will be drilling for oil in places where there’s no hope of cleaning up the inevitable spills. But that is not the point. The point is that you have on the one hand Obama making everyone laugh at the White House Correspondents' Ball with his climate rant, and on the other hand you have Obama approving Arctic drilling. He spends too much time trying to scare people and not enough time on data to support his points, which he could easily do if he actually put the effort into it. Nonsense, McKibben takes things to their logical conclusions, instead of caving in to denial of the liberal kind. If we are even remotely serious about solving the AGW problem, we don't go approving psychopathic ventures like Arctic drilling. And that's for starters. Basically what you guys, Bryant and Tonyjuggler, are saying is that we simply have to accept tobacco companies applying for and getting permission to put cigarette machines in cancer wards. Or soda vending machines in schools where over half the kids is overweight and destined for a life of obesity and diabetes misery. Because that's just the way it goes, and anyway, it doesn't mean all that much in the grander scheme of things. No, we don't have to accept that. We draw a line and defend it. Drilling in the Arctic is nothing short of insane, and a humiliating slap in the face. It needs to be stopped.
Toggle Commented May 14, 2015 on Bill McKibben nails it at Arctic Sea Ice
Mckibben saying Obama is denying climate change is over the top. Shell will be subject to strict regulations, which doesn't give a whole lot of reassurance, but I think Bill is going overboard a bit here. I try not to post entire articles, so that people follow the link and provide the source website with a page hit, but here's what McKibben writes in the last paragraph of the article to explain what he means with Obama's denial: This is not climate denial of the Republican sort, where people simply pretend the science isn’t real. This is climate denial of the status quo sort, where people accept the science, and indeed make long speeches about the immorality of passing on a ruined world to our children. They just deny the meaning of the science, which is that we must keep carbon in the ground.
Toggle Commented May 14, 2015 on Bill McKibben nails it at Arctic Sea Ice
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This simply has to be shared, as Bill McKibben expresses my thoughts exactly. This sentence just about says it all: "It’s as if the tobacco companies were applying for permission to put cigarette machines in cancer wards. And the White House gave Shell the license." I haven't seen such a... Continue reading
Posted May 13, 2015 at Arctic Sea Ice
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Something wild in the Beaufort Sea? Yes, wild. :-) And forget that I said this: (perhaps later melt onset in Hudson Bay, which was very cold this winter) Perhaps large amounts of snow dampened ice growth?
Toggle Commented May 13, 2015 on 2014/2015 Winter analysis at Arctic Sea Ice
I don't believe there's a correlation between ENSO and Arctic sea ice, let alone a causation. At least, not in the short term. As for what next week is going to bring? I wouldn't know. IJIS SIE is lowest on record right now, so one would expect things to level off (perhaps later melt onset in Hudson Bay, which was very cold this winter). At the same time, something wild could be going on in the Beaufort and Chukchi.
Toggle Commented May 13, 2015 on 2014/2015 Winter analysis at Arctic Sea Ice
Wayne, like I said: Good news (maybe) and On the condition, of course, that the Earth's oceans and atmosphere stop warming up.
Jump in whenever you feel like it, Rob.
People might find this of use. "An Early Warning for Summer Sea Ice Crashes?" http://dosbat.blogspot.co.uk/2015/05/an-early-warning-for-summer-sea-ice.html That's a great post, Chris. I want to try and nail this 'melting momentum' thing this year. PS, Neven, coincidentally three days ago I had to ban one from my blog. Must be the state of the moon or something. Nope, it's an expression of the wish by climate risk deniers to apply the hiatus-tactic to Arctic sea ice loss, like David Rose has been doing for two years now on behalf of his GWPF banker masters. If this melting season ends outside of the top 3, let's say on 6th or 7th spot, like the two previous years, there will be much cheering and jeering. Even though it will take much, much more to get back to the average. Arctic sea ice loss is a huge, huge problem for climate risk deniers (one of the reasons I started this blog) and so I'm sure their hands are itching for applying their spinning and disinforming talents to it, like they did after 2007. But the Arctic will decide in the end. Remember who lied to you, everyone.
Toggle Commented May 11, 2015 on 2014/2015 Winter analysis at Arctic Sea Ice
Your response to the same evidence was to throw a hissy fit. Which is why Cincinnatus is banned. 12 hours too late, for which I apologize. Some of the things he said, were useful to debunk. But there's a limit to everything. A well-intentioned person would have toned it down after the incredibly dumb ice age 'misinterpretation' (those bloody scientists frauded him into it), but climate risk deniers know no shame, even though they know everything. I want everyone to know that I won't allow any of this BS during the melting season. This was just an exception. So, back to the melting season. Kara and Beaufort still warm, the rest very cold:
Toggle Commented May 11, 2015 on 2014/2015 Winter analysis at Arctic Sea Ice
If anyone with reasonable bandwidth and a reasonably enquiring mind would like to see a range of animations of Arctic sea ice thickness and age try clicking on this one too. Thanks for reminding me of those videos, Jim. I've added them to the blog post.
Toggle Commented May 11, 2015 on 2014/2015 Winter analysis at Arctic Sea Ice
No, you think about it, because you obviously don't have a clue what that map is showing. It's showing ice age, not thickness, dummy. The animation shows how the ice from different ice age categories has moved around. Notice the mix of FYI and MYI that has moved all the way into the Chukchi? That's one of the interesting aspects of the initial sea ice state that we're discussing here, not your sad attempts at misinformation based on blatant misinterpretation.
Toggle Commented May 10, 2015 on 2014/2015 Winter analysis at Arctic Sea Ice