They don't file by candidates and the Delegates aren't selected by candidate preference. So there are no results from the local caucuses.

Yeah, its the ultimate bubble talk. The abortion rights people thought they were being smart by getting it down to a word like "TRAP" but now most people have no idea what they are talking about.

Alice, there is a link to all of her events above, you can go through one by one to verify this. We did not claim she has never gone to South Arlington, only that she has not had a campaign event there.

Gail, with all due respect that is absurd. There are over 75,000 people that live in south Arlington, the vast majority of which have never heard of Lander. There is no excuse for doing 25 events in north Arlington and 0 in south Arlington.

That's the point- they all pledged to use their safe seats to help OTHERS. None of them are endangered this year in the least.

No complaints? The Fairfax Chair Cesar del Agulia was very upset that Fairfax was not allowed to have its own voting location. I could fact check your other statements also, but you seem to live in an alternate reality universe.

Craig- you are getting more and more absurd. You accuse me of "manufacturing" this issue. I was contacted by this young lady- who I had never spoken to before- because she wanted to tell her story publicly. You must not understand what the word manufacture means. I understand you are upset that you made an inappropriate comment to a young woman. Don't shoot the messinger- try taking a look in the mirror. Meghan would not have complained if she had not been seriously offended by what was done to her. A gentleman would have apologized immediately.

I don't believe relationships are a conflict of interest in the YDs when the state allows family to run elections. Someone should be removed from this position if they try to skew the results regardless of relationship status. By the way- one thing about relationships is you don't always know who is in a relationship with who. The only way you could avoid this entirely would be to have YDs sign an oath of chastity to be in any positions overseeing elections. Of course those types of oaths haven't worked well for Catholic Church.

"Granted, it's probably unreasonable" You probably should have stopped there and realized your comment was stupid. You don't need to monday morning quarterback a young girl in a youth group that did nothing wrong.

Concerned Virginian- why would you hold the YDs to a higher standard to public elections? I remember when Larry Byrne was on the Fairfax Electoral Board while Leslie was running. Jerry Kilgore's mom was the registrar in Scott County when he ran. Again, that line of attack on a young woman is absurd.

Again Dan, as I said above, if that was the reason they "took action" it did not require any mention of her relationship status. That alone tells us there is much more at play here than Shaunica's email.

Craig, let me explain this to you if you still don't understand: You called up a girl, more than a decade younger than you, recently out of college and casually dropped into that conversation a mention about her current relationship status. That has a sexual aspect to it as well, in that friends can have a "relationship" and no one has ever said someone's friend can not serve in a position like this. For example, you are friends with Gonzi, Meghan is friends with Matt- the implied difference is sexual in nature. If you still don't understand what you did there, I can't explain it any more simply. That's why this young lady that I have never met or spoken to before yesterday would want to call me and have this story go public. Your behavior was predatory and clearly she wants to ensure that it is called out so it won't happen again to another young woman. I couldn't agree more and am proud to have written this interview on her behalf.

Shaunica, What I find interesting about this is how a legitimate and professional concern that you raised could turn into questions about a relationship. If this issue was truly about your email, why would her ex-boyfriend be questioning her on a conference call about her current relationship status. Why would a guy in his mid 30's (Craig) be raising her relationship status in phone calls with her? That makes it very hard for me to believe that it was about your issue- because as Craig has admitted here and as Meghan told me when I interviewed her- the questions raised to her were not about email lists, but her relationship status.

For the record, two points. 1) Meghan called me about this story, so Craig calling her a "victim" of my posting this interview is really funny. It's also libelous and posted at 4:37 p.m. Craig is a City employee of the locality I live in- and it concerns me that he is posting a long comment like that (with libelous allegations) during regular work hours. 2) When I interviewed Megan she indicated that Craig had also discussed/questioned her personal life in the call they had. I left that out of the original story, but clearly it needs to be noted after Craig's comment.

Check out their press releases on the transportation bill.

James, yes he was from out of state. But he was working in the RPV office in Harrisonburg- one that Suzanne Obenshain described herself as the "den mother" for before this all happened.

You still have hope. For 2014.

Kenton, your comment ended up in spam- just found it and fished it out. You are absolutely and totally incorrect when you say "These assumptions that we can predict individual behavior based on aggregate data are forms of the ecological fallacy." There is no fallacy involved whatsoever. In fact Kenton, this type of formula (based on the demographic results of neighboring states) is exactly what Nate Silver used in predicting the outcome within a point of all the 2008 primary results. It is a fallacy to say you can predict any *individual* voters preference- but not to extract the overall results from a data set that has the toplines.

Thank you NJSM. On absentees, the following formula generally turns out results for districts that when added together comes within a couple of votes of the full absentee precinct results: [District XX.XX% of vote on election day + (XX.XX% of absentee percentage for candidate - XX.XX% of countywide results for candidate)] x total number of absentee votes cast in district Obviously there is a margin of error with any formula but the initial returns there are almost always within a couple of votes of the real absentee totals to be compared against.

I don't understand what you are asking for. You need to create a demographic model along with active voter splits to accurately split precincts and calculate absentee results, neither of which you all have done. I offered to share all my data with you on Jan 1st and you replied back and said you were not even planning to do the district calculations. Instead a couple months later, you just put up half baked results that are incomplete and misleading. Not trying to rip apart your organization, but this is really bad stuff which is why I took the time to offer to share that data with you in January.

JerelWilmore- They did tell the police that night about the phone (hence the police report). They did not inform the police of the value of the phone, allowing the police to mistakenly think it was a misty- when in fact it should have been charged as a felony. Hence they dropped the issue.

Paul- I think the line is $200 in Virginia. No question Bell thinks his data is worth $200, right?

Mshapiro- The FEC actually has a cost system you have to use similar to the way the IRS calculates miles driven on taxes. For example, an email list of donors is assigned one cost, while email volunteers are a lower cost, and generic email addresses and the lowest cost. I will try to dig up the training docs somewhere and send them to you on email.

Chris, since you say this is easily purchased at Hallmark or a Party Store, can you point me to a link of such an item for sale? I doubt they would sell a backwards Irish flag with rectangles going the wrong way and shamrocks on them- but would be happy to be proven wrong if you can provide evidence. As Gretchen said above, there are reasons a manufacturer would be unlikely to produce such a product besides its closeness to an Indian flag, so I'm not ready to buy this.

LOL Dan. She's run one campaign- that lost- for City Council in Vegas and was run out of town. Then she went to Ohio to take an *entry level* type of job before coming here. If that's a rising star, what a joke. This really isn't about Lauren vs. Clark, but about the real political people who couldn't run away fast enough.