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You make a major elementary mistake regarding causality in your Israel interpretation. You made no attempt to figure out if the people who say Israel is an important issue would have been for Turner anyway (e.g., they're already Republicans and conservatives); no attempt to find out if the issue has pulled people away from Weprin who would otherwise be for him. Polling 101: coincidence isn't causality.
Toggle Commented Sep 12, 2011 on Turner poised for big upset at Public Policy Polling
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Sep 12, 2011