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This recent World Bank study would seem to suggest the type of structural change you observe in other African countries does not apply to Uganda:
http://dl.dropbox.com/u/5403055/Inclusive%20growth-Feb%252011.pdf
Overall, poor within sector productivity growth has been compensated for by 'good' intersectoral shifts. On closer examination (table 7) however, this is driven by construction and real estate - sectors which have high levels of productivity but have recently experienced negative productivity growth, raising the question of how sustainable the reliance on such structural change can be.
More on growth-reducing structural change
In an earlier post, I presented some preliminary results on what I called “growth-reducing structural change.” This refers to the highly anomalous and puzzling phenomenon whereby labor moves from high- to low-productivity activities. In joint work with Maggie McMillan (Tufts and IFPRI) we have n...
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Mar 3, 2011
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