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Reuben
Princeton New Jersey
Entrepreneur/Exec/Dad/Hubby . Interested in how past present and future affect each other
Interests: Storytelling - Futurism - Antiques - Eccentrics - Music - Film
Recent Activity
Visualizing the Future #18: What If? Second Lives and Alternate Realities
Posted Dec 13, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
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Reuben added a favorite at Visualizing the Future
Nov 18, 2011
Visualizing the Future #17: Amusing Ourselves to Death?
Posted Nov 17, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
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Sunday Night Thoughts from Visualizing the Future
Posted Nov 13, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
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We're there! Announcing the New York IPG Media Lab
Posted Nov 11, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
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Baptiste - wow, now that's a serious set of extrapolations! Not sure I get the "23 works as a cosmic trigger" - it was just the # of days between start and 11/11/11. Afterwards, I realized that it's the same # of pairs we have in a DNA strand. ;-)
Visualizing the Future #15: "What Happens Next?"
I said in the last post that this post would be a continuation of my thoughts on the Singularity. I've changed my mind for a few reasons: The topic has humbled me. When I signed up to do a series of 23 daily posts called "Visualizing the Future" 11/11/11 , I had no idea what I was getting myse...
Visualizing the Future #16: Stories: Beginning, Middle and End
Posted Nov 9, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
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Visualizing the Future #15: "What Happens Next?"
Posted Nov 5, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
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This is an amusing piece on the significance of 11/11/11 - Lots of theories, some say bad luck omen, others say good. In general, a great example of apophenia, the brain's desire to see patterns in data and try to create meaning, even when none exists. Usually this helps, sometimes it creates confusion and superstition. Sometimes (and best) it allows for imagination and dreamy thinking, seeing faces in clouds etc. My kids are more inclined to it than most grownups.
http://www.lifeslittlemysteries.com/meaning-date-11-11-11-2145/
Visualizing the Future: 23 posts leading to 11/11/11
I gave a talk with this title on Saturday. My old friend Kurt Kratchman had invited me down to Savannah to the International Digital Media and Arts Association's annual conference. IDMAA's members are amazing; they teach digital media at universities around the world and they're really the fol...
Once an ARG conspiracist, always an ARG conspiracist. Where others see idiocy, you my friend, see agency, a brilliant mind at work.
Sadly, there is no Brian. The cigar really is just a cigar. Then again, if there was a Brian, if that Brian was the name of our collective intelligence, if Monty Python made a movie called the Life of . . . . Ah, screw it, it was a typo.
But you've given me some ideas. . .
Visualizing the Future #13: Is the Internet Becoming a Global Brain?
Let's begin today with a backwards glance. We're just over halfway through the 23 part series; so far we've covered quite bit of ground. Here's a quick graphic review: Today's topic is a fun one, but before I start, here's BLATANT SCREAMING DISCLAIMER: (The title of today's post is intend...
This is so awesome Michael.
Can you help by explaining this part of little more. I'm pretty sure I know what you're saying, but I like to be sure for me and for readers. (If I don't hear from you within an hour, I'll come down to Coney Island and have the folks at your local bodega explain it to me)
YOU WROTE " Consider a lottery that takes half the money and pays out the other half to the winner. The nominal "expected value" of a $1.00 ticket is $.50. But a lot of people would consider being a millionaire now (from the lottery) ten times more valuable than being a millionaire at age 72 (from the compound interest on the money otherwise spent on lottery tickets)"
Visualizing the Future #12: Ponzi Schemes or Financial Progress?
Tonight's post involves some sleight of hand. If you've ever watch a shell game or 3 card monty, you know that being told you're going to be tricked doesn't help at all. You're still the shill and you always pick the wrong shell. So I'll explain the trick quickly. Tonight, I will give you...
Jao - I agree that it would be amazing. Whether or not it's feasible I'm not sure, though with sufficient time and money, anything can be done.
But you're right, all the component pieces already exist to make this work very nicely. The trick now, as it was then, would be to do it in a broadly available way. Back then, the issue was both the limits of the browser and the lack of broadband. Now, both are largely solved (NOTE, Second Life, which was started roughly the same time OneCosmos ended, did what they did by creating a custom viewer which limits the audience size). Now, you'd probably use a plugin like www.unity3d.com - still would be a large development project, but what could be more fun.
Final and most important question would be how to allow users to create their own content. Some sort of system would need to exist that allowed for Google Earth/Sketchup style layering - if for no other reason that to delineate between scientifically accurate data and conjecture.
Visualizing the Future #8: "To Infinity and Beyond!" Space and the Story of OneCosmos
Yesterday's post ended by concluding that future optimism often overlooks social changes by focusing on technological advances. Clearly, progress is multifaceted but today I'm going to begin where we left off. The 1939 World's Fair marked the beginning of 30 years of global mood swings. From ...
Visualizing the Future #12: Ponzi Schemes or Financial Progress?
Posted Nov 1, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
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True. It interesting to ask what the odds of one company's success vs. another's. Cliches here abound, right? "Ideas are a dime a dozen - execution is everything", is one that was really popular in the Valley recently. Kinda true, but kinda bullshit. There are great ideas and dogshit ones and which you pick matters - no matter how many pivots you do.
The VC's job of divination is impossible. (My last post links to an article on the misplaced arrogance of foresight by portfolio managers and investors). So few beat the market, but some clearly do. Why? Is it cause they bet on people vs. ideas? Do they "cheat" (not literally, but push advantages wrt deal access, terms etc.) Thoughts?
Visualizing the Future #10: Betting on the Future: The Earliest VC's
Where do companies that change the Future come from? These days the answer almost always begins with the seed of an idea, followed soon by an infusion of Venture Capital. Silicon Valley legend has it that the VC phenomenon is an American concept, a mid-20th century phenomenon that paired the ...
Visualizing the Future #10: Betting on the Future: The Earliest VC's
Posted Oct 28, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
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Visualizing the Future #9 : Outward Expansion is Over. Head Inwards, Young Man!
Posted Oct 28, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
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Jane - I agree and disagree. Without him, the work, which was amazing despite never having been released, would never have been done. His vision inspired belief from the VC's, excitement of his team and all around him. In many ways, he was a lot like the market in a bubble. The whole things is amazing and works until it people stop believing. Then it bursts. At the same time, innovation occurs that never would in the ordinary course of events.
It reminds me of a story (it's a joke, but I can't remember well enough to make it funny).
A scruffy guy is standing on the sidewalk, holding a cup. Someone puts change in it. He's a bum. Suddenly he starts to sing. Another person puts change in the cup. Now he's an artist.
Context is everything.
Visualizing the Future #8: "To Infinity and Beyond!" Space and the Story of OneCosmos
Yesterday's post ended by concluding that future optimism often overlooks social changes by focusing on technological advances. Clearly, progress is multifaceted but today I'm going to begin where we left off. The 1939 World's Fair marked the beginning of 30 years of global mood swings. From ...
OK Ann Greenberg. You just won the prestigious "COMMENT of the DAY" Award!!!!! on VTF.
Today's prize is an intro to Douglas Gayeton (trust me, this may seem like a silly thing, but it's not.)
I'm making the introduction in the public sphere because you both deserve recognition. Everyone, please check out Douglas' Project, "The Lexicon of Sustainability". www.lexiconofsustainability.com
Words really do have the ability to change our lives and Douglas is doing something about it, something passionate, heartfelt, profound, selfless and significant. Here's a gorgeous piece he sent last night about Modern Foraging http://vimeo.com/31169974
He can be reached at douglas AT gayeton dot com - please drop emails to offer help with the Lexicon Project.
Ann, I'll send email intro under separate cover, but consider yourself introduced. He's a real fellow traveler and story teller.
Visualizing the Future #8: "To Infinity and Beyond!" Space and the Story of OneCosmos
Yesterday's post ended by concluding that future optimism often overlooks social changes by focusing on technological advances. Clearly, progress is multifaceted but today I'm going to begin where we left off. The 1939 World's Fair marked the beginning of 30 years of global mood swings. From ...
Visualizing the Future #8: "To Infinity and Beyond!" Space and the Story of OneCosmos
Posted Oct 26, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
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Visualizing the Future #14: What's Ray Kurzweil Smoking?
Posted Oct 26, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
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Visualizing the Future #13: Is the Internet Becoming a Global Brain?
Posted Oct 26, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
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Visualizing the Future #11: Rolling the Dice and the Power of Chance
Posted Oct 26, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
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Visualizing the Future #7: Optimism for the "World of Tomorrow"
Posted Oct 25, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
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Visualizing the Future #6 : Is Pessimism the Key to Happiness?
Posted Oct 24, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
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Visualizing the Future #5: Idiocracy is for Idiots
Posted Oct 23, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
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