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Elvis Dumervil. Not a bad player. He only led the NFL with 17 sacks last season. Thrived in conversion from 4-3 DE to 3-4 OLB. Would be a great pickup and only 26 yo. But as a RFA, will be unlikely to pry away from Denver.
It depends on the team. All those teams you mentioned were veteran teams with players getting older or coming back to earth after career seasons. Marlins are a very young with players just starting to develop. And only player on team who may have overachieved last year was Chris Coghlan. Can probably expect similar performances from Hanley and JJ. But several players can show improvement. Not all of them will. But if enough do, without much regression from rest of players this *COULD* be an improved team. Let me run through the names. 1) Ricky Nolasco. Had AWFUL start to season before settling in. If more consistent might add an extra 2-3 wins by himself. 2) Chris Volstadt. Big sophomore slump. Became homer prone after never showing that tendency in minors or rookie season. If rebounds to groundball machine ways, can be big improvement. 3) Cameron Maybin. Awful start to season, then spent most of year in minors. When came back looked like much improved player. If can play like that or even grow, can be big improvement all of the Jeremy Hermida games played. Defense definitely improved. 4) Dan Uggla. Showed good power and patience last season. But seemed to have a lot of bad luck considering his very low BABIP. If he gets back to normal levels on BABIP while keeping other metrics steady could be a monster year. 5) Gaby Sanchez\Logan This will be a new player from last year. Morrison. Not sure if will improve on Nick Johnson's production at end of year. But should have some more power. And should be HUGE upgrade over the 100+ games of Emilio Bonafacio starting. 6) Jorge Cantu. Had solid year, but wrist injury sapped away all the power he displayed year before. If healthy may see power resurgence 7) Andrew Miller\Sean West\ Anibal Sanchez. Not sure if will get improvement from these 3. But possible. Miller will have chance to refine new delivery. Sanchez hopefully will stay healthy. And Sean West has more experience. 8) Bullpen. May be the teams biggest wild card. Lidstrom is gone who wasn't very good. But so is Kiko Calero who was very good. A lot of young arms will be competing for spots here (Ryan Tucker is very promising), but will they be ready to contribute right away. Does Leo Nunez develop more consistency as full time closer? A lot of questions in this group and they may make-or-break the season. So lets not get too down on this team. Still has a lot of promise. Starting to see some cornerstones signed to long-term deals. And all the teams in our division have some weaknesses: 1) Phillies. Are great team but have big holes in bullpen. Ibanez and Moyer began to show age last year) 2) Braves. Pretty good staff, but lost Javier Vasquez who was great last year. And still need a couple more bats in lineup. 3) Mets. Don't have starting pitching after Santana who is coming off injury. After Beltran (injured for 1st month), Bay, Reyes, and Wright a lot of question marks in lineup. 4) Nationals. They are still the Nationals.
The lack of depth among the pitching prospects is probably one of biggest reason Marlin's may trade Dan Uggla and\or Jorge Cantu. While I'm sure Loria and Samson would love the cash money savings, they won't make a straight-up salary dump. Front office knows we don't have our usual pitching depth in minors and need to build it up. Last years draft tried to address that, but those players are a long way from MLB. We will need depth especially considering that Nolasco, Miller, and Sanchez are all on similar arbitration paths.
1) Cut JP and resign JT. 2) Cut G. Wilson and replace with Clemons or draftee 3) Cut Ayodele and sign Karlos Dansby 4) Sign new NT. Wilfork if not franchised (unlikely). Otherwise 1. Hapmton (PIT) 2. Pickett (GB) 3) A. Franklin (SF) 5) Draft R. McClain for MLB. If he is ready to start right away, can cut Crowder for cost savings or maybe consider moving Dansby to SOLB. After that can use draft to add more depth at OLB, DB, etc. But if get chance also need to look at some improvement on offense. Biggest are bigger threats at WR and\or TE. But could also use depth on OL and maybe a young RB to groom to replace Ricky (retiring after next year) and Ronnie (will become a FA and has been injury prone).
I agree wholeheartedly. Would like to see JP go and Dolphins put effort on bringing back JT. JT and Cameron Wake can share the WOLB spot. Can then look at either Charlie Anderson at SOLB or maybe sign someone like Karlos Dansby to take that spot. Really wish we still had Matt Roth.
How are reports on Marlin's AHL prospects. Will guys like Matthias, Repik, Ellerby ever be significant contributors? Anyone else worth keeping an eye on. I personally would like to see Panthers clear some of the lesser players like Kreps and let the kids give it a try. For a team that is never going to bust the bank on signing a big name FA, we need to find out what the younger guys are capable of.
I agree we could use a better closer. But really there is no free agent available who really is an upgrade on what we have. You want to sign Kevin Gregg? Maybe as year goes on we trade for a Heath Bell or some other teams closer. But for now, why not wait and see if someone steps up. Maybe Leo Nunez improves his command. Maybe Ryan Tucker comes back blazing. But the key to our bullpen is going to be our starting pitching. If you look back at last couple of seasons, our bullpen has actually started out really strong. Problem has been that too many 4-5 inning outings (or shorter) by our SP has worn out the pen by all-star break and they take an inevitable late season swoon due to overuse. If our SP's can get more consistent and deliver 6-7 IP each time out, we will see a big improvement in performance of pen.
Boni is just bad. Really needs to go back to minors and work on his hitting approach. Needs to learn patience and how to get on base. But even then, I have doubts on him ever being more than a utility player. Great speed. Can play every defensive position except 1B and C. But lacks on base skills. Maybin, I have much better expectations. Was even worse than Boni at start of season. But he went down to minors and seemed to refine his approach. Started striking out less and drawing more walks. Was a reduction in power but was compensated by higher OBP. When he came back up the approach seemed to stick. He may never be the star originally purported to become, but should be at least pretty good. And he is still young enough that maybe as he better commands the strike zone, can re-emerge with his power.
Don't be so negative. First of all the commissioner's office would never allow a trade that is a salary dump and the let the team shedding salary also ask for cash. Second, Marlins know that they need to sell tickets for 2012. Unlike now, they actually will be allowed to keep stadium revenues. That is an incentive to sell tix. Why may keep salary low leading in, if they trade Uggla, they will need to acquire some assets they believe will be able to contribute by 2012 if not sooner. I am actually quietly optimistic about the Marlins. Lineup is similar to last years. And that team actually did pretty well scoring runs. Without Boni batting every day and maybe some development by Maybin, this lineup might be even better. Key is development of young pitching. We know JJ is an ace. And if Nolasco avoids slow start of last year is solid at the #2 spot in rotation. Behind them young guys will need to develop. Good thing for Marlins there is A LOT OF TALENT. Problem is it is still very young and unproven. Chris Volstadt has potential to be another top of rotation starter. But after promising rookie year he had a sophomore slump where previous groundball machine became very homer prone. He never had any HR issues in minors or rookie year, so willing to trust is just an aberration as Volstadt learns to make adjustments. Sean West had a decent rookie year last season but still needs to improve. Anibal Sanchez has shown promise, but injuries have derailed a once promising career. Can he stay healthy and find the stuff that made him once very promising prospect. Andrew Miller probably has the most raw talent of any pitcher on the staff. But he seems to have issues staying focused throughout game and has battled command issues throughout young career. Hopefully changes in his delivery will sink in and help resolve these problems this season. The relief staff is also a mess, but team does have a lot of young candidates and only need a couple of them to really develop and join the likes of Nunez, Meyer and Sanches in the pen. But this is also where a trade of Uggla or Cantu may actually be BENEFICIAL to Marlins. Flexibility of someone like Chris Coghlan to play 3B and 2B as well as LF allows a lot of lineup flexibility. Trading one or both of these pitchers could help resolve pitching issues. This is especially true as Marlins organizational pitching depth in minors is not what it once was as they have focused on positional prospects for several drafts (Matt Dominguez, Logan Morrison, Chris Coghlan, Mike Stanton, Kyle Skipworth). Pendulum now needs to swing other way as team fills out pitching.
Marlin's will probably continue to investigate trading Uggla. But they are not giving him away. My guess: 1) Wait until trade deadline approaches or team has serious injury. With teams trying to build up with free agents instead of trades, this is going to be strategy to maximize Uggla's trade value. His numbers should also look better as he had a lot of bad luck last year looking at his ridiculously low BABIP 2) Look at Marlin's standings at deadline. If Marlin's are contending at deadline with Uggla being a big part, may be hard to trade him. As much as the Marlins want to save money., they don;t want to alienate all the fans they want to attend the new stadium. If contending any trade will need to include pieces that can contribute right away.
Nice to see they at least got most of players signed. The design of arbitration process can be very acrimonious between the player and team. Hopefully this years team can have some luck, no big injuries, and youth fulfilling its its potential (Coghlan, Maybin, Volstadt, etc).
Signing Uggla to 1-yr contract has *NO* impact on ability to trade him. Marlins could trade him today if they received an offer to their liking. My opinion on Uggla. He is *TODAY* one of the best 2B in baseball because of his power and run production. Over the next couple of seasons he could possibly be a key piece in helping us reach the post-season. That said, he is already over 30. His defense is not that good and could get worse rapidly with age. Player's of his skill profile have a tendency to age rapidly. While he should be good for at least a couple more seasons, can't really count for much more than that which would preclude Marlin's from offering a long-term contract. I would agree in that stance. If Uggla was 25, I would sign him to a 4-5 year contract. But at 30+, I do not make that long-term commitment. In ANY sport, you just don't make a habit of signing players to long-term contracts into their mid-30's. While there are exceptions, that type of behavior usually gets a team a player with declining skills and\or rising injuries while also tying up its financials. Not a good combination for long-term success. Taking the above into consideration. Marlin's should keep an open ear on trade offers. But don't give him away. If Marlins can maximize return by trading him now or at trade deadline they should do so. However if don't receive sufficient quality in return, the Marlin's should then continue to go year-to-year with Uggla and ultimately receive the compensation draft picks that will come when he becomes a free agent in 2 seasons.
Alan, I agree with your comment. Wish they would have done that early in Miguel Cabrera's career. But please tell me. With JJ and Hanley now signed, is there any Marlin on the roster who has similar potential to Braun\Longoria and deserves similar treatment? Uggla is too old and Coghlan does not have same upside. Maybe in a couple of years Mike Stanton will deserve that treatment, but he is still too raw and stuck in minors. Noone else in Marlins organization would I put in that context.
Kreps needs to go. Campbell showed some potential last year, bit BIG step back this year. Maybe injuries and chemistry issues with linemates changing so much. Can live with him a 4th-line C as he is cheap and will allow money to go after other players. Would like to see Matthias replace Kreps right away though. We need to figure out what we really have in him. That way we can figure out if we need to add in another C next season or dow we add scoring on wing and improve back line. Don't have money to address everything in free agency.
I agree in general with philosophy of Marlins being cautious with long-term deals. Only player they have traded away in recent memory I wish they extended was Miguel Cabrera who would look great at 1B. My biggest issue with Marlins though has been unwillingness to spend on short-term deals.They can raise the payroll with significant increases to risk. Every year there are always a few players who later in free agency are willing to take a 1-2 year offer to build up future free agency value. Players like Bobby Abreu, Orlando Hudson, Brad Penny, and Adam Dunn come to mind. Maybe even an injury risk like Ben Sheets or Erik Bedard. Players of this type can fill in holes on roster temporarily while younger replacements develop in minors. I do not have a problem if Marlins want to eventually trade a Dan Uggla or Jorge Cantu because they don't fit long-term plan for age or projection profile reasons (Uggla is over 30 and type of player who can age quickly). Just make sure you trade away these players for baseball value (prospects and other players) and not just payroll relief. As for what other players I would like to see extended. Only one I might consider immediately is Ricky Nolasco. But I would not go more than 3 years with him and at reasonable cost. Would give us a nice 1-2 punch for opening day in new stadium. Other players to watch as season progresses and may be worth investing long-term deals: Chris Volstadt: Has considerable upside of if can get rid of the sudden spike in homers allowed he had last season. His rookie and minor league #'s suggest he should not be homer prone. Probably just needs to get more consistent in his mechanics in keeping the ball down in strike zone. He is mot likely candidate for extension after the season. Andrew Miller: Still has great potential, but must pitch SIGNIFICANTLY better. Must find consistent mechanics in throwing strikes. Longshot for long-term deal. Chris Coghlan: Must prove rookie year was not a fluke as many analysts suggest. Is he all-star caliber player or just a solid one? If stays in LF does he develop more power? Only a 2nd year player so free agency still a way off making extension less likely. Not a superstar talent likely to lock early. Cameron Maybin: Still far away from service time to become free agent like Coghlan and did not have anywhere as good a season. But his raw tools allow for a lot more super star potential and also very young. If this is the year that everything clicks for him, could see extension in works as a building block for future. But would need to have a GREAT year for that to happen. Jorge Cantu: A pretty good but not great player. Defensively better at 1B given arm\throwing issues. Bat profiles better at 3B though. With Matt Dominguez and Logan Morrison so highly touted, doubt a long--term deal will be given. At best maybe a 2-yr contract after season to carry into first season of new stadium, but still leaving him tradeable if kids are ready to take over. Cody Ross: With Michael Stanton and some other OF prospects would say in same boat as Cantu. At most a 2-yr contract. But he has trade value that Marlins may cash in if young OF's are ready to play soon. At most a 2-yr deal as transitional player. More likely than Cantu as our OF prospects are more raw and less ready for majors. But then again OF is easier to fill in than 3B. Other talented players like Sean West or Anibal Sanchez are either too young or too injury prone to consider, especially as pitchers. Noone in bullpen is worth long-term deal. Can go year-to-year with any of them.
Nick Saban is #1 with a bullet and worth all 5 spots. Earns it for being a liar and the way he left Dolphins. Just a bad human being. Don't agree with comments about Wanstedt, Spielman and Cameron. They were all AWFUL with Dolphins. but they were all also honest good people. Never want to see them as coaches\GM down here again. But if just as fans I have no problem with them. Spike Lee and Fireman Ed should NEVER receive courtside\prime seats from the SFL teams. Those should be reserved for fans who will cheer on the SFL teams, not our most hated rivals. I would also say Allen Houston and Doug Flutie should be on the list just they way they tortured ours teams.
People forget biggest important expense beyond payroll that is just as important (if not more so): PLAYER DEVELOPMENT. This includes scouts, minor-league coaches and instructors, minor-league salaries, and international baseball academies, and bonuses paid in signing amateur players (draft and international free agents). For small-market teams, this expense is probably the more worthwhile investment. Doesn't make sense paying $8-$10 for back of rotation starter like bigger teams do, so Even when our payroll reaches the $70-$90 mil (if it does) range will need to still add in a lot of cheap talent from development to supplement whatever star players we develop and re-sign.