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Glen,
World class. Classic. thanks.
Black Swan, White Swan, they are all Swans, you just have to look for them
Jurgen Appelo's post on Black Swans, Broken Windows, and Magicians, brings up an important point in the discussion of technical and programmatic risk. Technical and programmatic risk are amenable to mathematical models. These models are well developed ranging from Monte Carlo Simulation to Bayes...
Clark,
I also feel stung. Cool. What did you change to change back? What menu?
Swapping between US and UK Kindle stores
A few weeks ago I switched from the US Kindle store to the UK Kindle store. The amazon screens had been nagging me to do it ever since they started selling Kindles in the UK. To be honest, I felt like I was being nagged / bullied and after I’d switched I felt (rather than knew) like I was missi...
"It didn't work for me, so it can't work for you."
I like that. So right.
EV, Techncial Performance Measures, and Good Deployment
The post on The Value of Earned Value, brought out several comments that need pictures to address. Elisabeth Bucci mentioned that she's not seen Earned Value Management properly in place. The National Defense Industry Association (NDIA) Earned Value Management Intent Guide (EVMIG) is the startin...
JR
I recently had the unexpected pleasure of completing a four-day PRINCE2 course. I say unexpected as I never was impressed with PRINCE2 having seen it implemented. PRINCE2, as you know, is often used in software projects. At least that's how it was in the very-large-financial-institution in which I was involved in software/technology projects/programmes. They also told me how EVM was not appropriate and did not work. I didn't have the political clout to change their view. They had PRINCE2, though, and PRINCE2 didn't have any form/document which prescribed EVM. Thus, since would never work anyway, and because there was no form, spreadsheet, or PowerPoint project control document which required it, they did not have anything close to EVM. They also had projects that did not come close to getting done, much less within budget, schedule, or quality.
I mentioned PRINCE2 and the courase I took. To late to help with the above institution. But I learned the framework/basis of PRINCE2, which I was pleased to learn fit in quite nicely with the framework/basis of EVM.
Both PRINCE2 and EVM will work on software/technology projects; but only if the people on those projects allow it.
EV, Techncial Performance Measures, and Good Deployment
The post on The Value of Earned Value, brought out several comments that need pictures to address. Elisabeth Bucci mentioned that she's not seen Earned Value Management properly in place. The National Defense Industry Association (NDIA) Earned Value Management Intent Guide (EVMIG) is the startin...
Yes, you have been travelling too much! :-) Where's "da Vinci Code in that list?"
(Full disclosure: I'm going to find the two risk references for reading on my upcoming trip to USA)
Reading Materials on the Road
I've been on the road too much in the past 2 months. Between our office here in Denver and two client sites in Phoenix and Albuquerque, I've had time to catch up on reading. Here's some materials that have kept my attention: The Essential Exponential: For The Future of Our Planet, Albert A. Bar...
Understand. "Virtual Communication Channel" is an oxymoron.
Quote of the Day
The further backward you look, the further forward you can see - Winston Churchill Those talking about the "new" generation of project management (PM 2.0) processes will be well advices to come fully to terms with what the conventional approaches have to say. These include the immutable processe...
I'm choking on a small after lunch glass of wine ... I support the idea that great tools are at the heart (amongst other components) of great communication. Tools are essential (but, truth be told, probably not necessarily the tools that I understood are advocated by PM 2.0).
Quote of the Day
The further backward you look, the further forward you can see - Winston Churchill Those talking about the "new" generation of project management (PM 2.0) processes will be well advices to come fully to terms with what the conventional approaches have to say. These include the immutable processe...
@Chart,
I fully support this idea. Tools are at the heart of the communication process. Often we debate Methodology vs. Tools--which I think absurd debate, but it is a debate none-the-less--but it really is that the methodologies require/expect communication and tools facilitate that.
Quote of the Day
The further backward you look, the further forward you can see - Winston Churchill Those talking about the "new" generation of project management (PM 2.0) processes will be well advices to come fully to terms with what the conventional approaches have to say. These include the immutable processe...
Glen,
First, I don't work there anymore. It was a "very large but now crashed and shrinking" international financial institution. Left before the crash, but saw it coming. Got tired of the mediocrity.
: internal projects
: cap is on spending and schedule. Cost and schedule achievement is essential.
: sadly, yes it's the company's resources they spend
: key planning tool is PowerPoint supplemented with Excel (with lots of these files sent around in email).
The visible deliverables are of course delivered on time and on schedule. I over simplify, of course; but scope for technology and internal process projects can be shed easily when compared to aircraft, highways, petrochemical, dams, etc. Think of that character from Peanuts comic strip, Pig-Pen, who walked around with dust following him. That's what unfinished projects look like.
Can this realy be true?
The self proclaimed leading voice of PM 2.0 says... Traditional project management software applications, like MS Project, were created to support the waterfall project management style and are file-based. All the data on different projects are stored in various disconnected files and are usuall...
PM 2.0 people tend to have experience/careers in industries and on projects where scope is fungible. Careers based on project success where the political trick is to shed scope to remain on budget/schedule are then self-replicating.
(I fondly remember the day I figured this out, at least from my perspective. Worked really hard to get a good (not great due to time pressures) plan/schedule together for a new employer. Heading for a major presentation with a very senior executive who had lots of project experience. We didn't have time to do much more than provide summary screen shots from Microsoft Project for the overall schedule including the cost estimates. Second phrase out of the executive's mouth was "You apparently used Microsoft Project--I hate Microsoft Project". It and the project went downhill from there.)
Can this realy be true?
The self proclaimed leading voice of PM 2.0 says... Traditional project management software applications, like MS Project, were created to support the waterfall project management style and are file-based. All the data on different projects are stored in various disconnected files and are usuall...
FYI, the whole chapter published in London Sunday Times last weekend ... so its "out there".
All Right. One More. I Gotta Correct the Record...
Steven Dubner writes: >Global Warming in SuperFreakonomics: The Anatomy of a Smear - Freakonomics Blog - NYTimes.com: Much of the outcry was made by people who had read Romm but not our book — which isn’t surprising, since the book isn’t out until October 20. As the noise grew, Romm added on the ...
Glen,
Not yet read it, but will. Agree combining the two is a risk. Everything in live is a perturbation!
(Like I said ... I'm just happy when when we can disentangle reality from probabilities). after that my brain hurts.
First Pass of PMI Practice Standard for Project Risk Management
I've started through the PMI Practice Standard for Project Risk Management. First my biases in general. The absolute best book on "risk" is Ed Conrow's, Effective Risk Management: Some Keys to Success. I have read and reread this book dozens and dozens of times. It that kind of book. Each read b...
Glen,
As always, thanks for this.
I'm going to say that I like the idea of risks and opportunities being considered at the same time. My experience is that it is not IT-centric--in fact the IT people I tried to get to consider this way of thinking repelled the idea.
I like the idea for a few reasons:
: Unlike Issues, both risks and opportunities are "probabilistic". They only "might" happen and won't happen unless something is done to make them happen.
: Accordingly, it takes the same way of thinking about "possibilities" to identify them, e.g. brainstorming. Further, it probably takes the same management process to figure out what to do and then do it.
: Often lurking behind a risk is an opportunity. Often, what at first glance is "bad" could be "good". Further, for a single event, it just depends on which side of the fence you are on as to whether the the event coming true is good or bad. [For example, think of something which could happen could result in extra cost ... but the people receiving that money have an opportunity.]
If I have a battle to fight, I would put priority on making Issues and Risks separate and distinct. But risks and opportunities ... I like they are mushed together a bit.
First Pass of PMI Practice Standard for Project Risk Management
I've started through the PMI Practice Standard for Project Risk Management. First my biases in general. The absolute best book on "risk" is Ed Conrow's, Effective Risk Management: Some Keys to Success. I have read and reread this book dozens and dozens of times. It that kind of book. Each read b...
Glen: terrific post. I have a classic story where I was helping a project "in distress". It was in a bureaucratic organisation who required submission of "issues and risks" every week to the Program Office. The PM focused on this of course (you get what you measure). As time passed, for various reasons, about 75% of their time was being spent on "fixing risks". Risks were anything that were on the list. Deliverables had been forgotten. But Issues and Risks were under control. I did two things (which took a long time to get agreement by the PM): 1. Killed the weekly submission of issues and risks by spreadsheet attachments to the PMO and got them on SharePoint. Funny enough, the three columns Josh was at the heart of the new new risk reporting. 2. I made it a rule that they were not allowed to talk about Risks and Issues in the sentence, same meeting, same day. Mondays were for focusing on Issues (and work them during the week), and Fridays were for thinking about risks and thinking about which ones we would actually do something about (and to "do" something required a CR and funding). The Friday conversations in time became discussions at the pub.
Made all the difference.
Project still late. They never could recover the time lost. But they did agree they became more productive and stopped wasting a lot of time.
Risks and Issues Are Not The Same
Josh has a nice post on his PMStudent blog from Susan de Sousa speaking the "Contingency Plans." A bit of reading reveals this is actually about risk management. Risk Management is of course part of project management. Tim Lister's quote... Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects is the go...
Glen,
Terrific post. I'm going to be able to use that in my discussions with a potential client who is working with no plan (far as I can tell) and feel they don't need one. Spending more than $20 million on in resource exploration. Their view is putting deadlines into a spreadsheet which gets pasted into PowerPoint is sufficient to direct the large organization spending the money. Thanks for reminding me of the PERTChart Expert as I suspect that might interest them.
--rms
Long Live the Gantt Chart
There is usually a post somewhere blasting the use of Gantt charts, Mr. Gantt, his philosophy and approach to management. Oh throw in Taylor as well for good measure. Many times these rants are for the right reasons, most times not,especially when the ranter is on the outside looking in,...
Glen,
Terrific observation about how risk gets mixed with with issues. The root causes are
1. The collective noun "Risks-and-Issues" roles off everyone's tongue so smoothly in meetings. Management/executive potential is recognised by those who drive their teams towards "risks and issues".
2. Issues are easy to work. Risks take a bit of innovative thinking. Innovation is hard.
3. People think they can indeed *manage* risks.. since there is a profession and sometimes departments called "Risk Management".
4. Because risks are perceived to be manageable, they are fodder for the other bureaucraticly required object called "Risk Register". Careers are protected by putting enough on the list to look like you are managing risks, but it's important to *manage" things off the list so that we can forget about the risk since we *managed* so that it can't possibly happen, or if it did happen it would have absolutely no impact.
... I could go on.
I once worked with a project team who was so focused on risk and issues and for the reasons above about the time they were 1 year into a 2 year programme, 60% of their work was being spent on "risks" and little attention was being placed on the promised deliverables. You can imagine (they couldn't) the *risk* to their programme.
We had to seperate risks and issues. While it took a while to get agreement to do this, we made a rule that in the Monday morning mgmt meeting they took "risks" off the agenda. Discuss only "issues"--real things. We put risks (imagined things) only on the Friday mgmt meeting, with a rule that issues were not to be discussed until Monday. It worked.
Avoid Knee-jerk decisions about what they were going to ACTUALLY do about risks and issues by defering decisions on each until the next meeting.
Risk Management
There have been several posted recently about "management of risk." Many times risk gets mixed up with issues. The best place to start to understand how risk management is performed, is to look at how it is performed in the world where risk is always present and the consequences of not "hand...
Nice post.
(It's ExxonMobil, not ExxonMobile.)
Gas Prices??
I almost never make a political comment. But having been born, raised and schooled in the Texas Panhandle where crude oil, refining, and petrochemicals are part of the culture I have some knowledge of the macroeconomics of gasoline. The cost structure of a gallon of gas goes like this: ...
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