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Recent research shows that many human factors and traits are affected by the effects of poverty-induced stressors, so all other things being equal, regardless of initial IQ at birth, we stack the deck against poor people. An argument for greater distributional equality.
Genes & the left
Does intelligence or schooling matter? These are two questions raised by the recent furore over Toby Young’s now-rejected appointment to the OfS. Good people have fiercely opposed Young’s “progressive eugenics”, and rightly so. But I fear they haven’t sufficiently acknowledged the germs of truth...
On a par with Senator Graham claiming that people who work for a living at shrinking wages aren't saving money because they are spending it on wine, women and song (I suppose the women are spending it on wine, men and song, but in Graham's world, there are no women except those who can be bought).
Why Hammond's wrong
Philip Hammond is copping flak for blaming the productivity slowdown on disabled workers. He said: It is almost certainly the case that by increasing participation in the workforce, including far higher levels of participation by marginal groups and very high levels of engagement in the workfor...
Yes, having done scientific research AND studies economics as an undergrad. I found out that mainstream economics ignores tons of reality-based evidence (they pick their paradigms); and science ignores results that don't confirm the current paradigm (in the publish or perish world).
Selecting for groupthink
Stephen Buranyi says the scam that is academic publishing “actually holds back scientific progress”: Given a choice of projects, a scientist will almost always reject both the prosaic work of confirming or disproving past studies, and the decades-long pursuit of a risky “moonshot”, in favour of...
Gosh, who would have thought that a proto-Trump "fever" in GB would have brought out a proto-Trump?
Vote in haste, repent at leisure
May's groupthink
I don’t think commentators have drawn the right inferences from the mess May made over social care policy. The problem is not that she made a U-turn: if you’re heading in the wrong direction, a U-turn is a good idea. Instead, the episode reveals a fundamental failure in how May makes policy. The...
Of course! Cut foreign aid! Cut services for the poor! Twaddle and stupidity all around. Why not cut spending on defense? Or in the case of the UK, all the egregious spending on the aristocracy? Why not raise taxes?
Instead of the stupid "there's not enough money for this tiny expenditure because we want to lavish it all on the rich" mind set, how about we do some real analysis. Let's look at the ROI on building enough hospitals, schools and other projects in terms of increased well-being and health. Of course, if you like to think that it would be better by far to have decreased health and well being in the middle and lower classes, you need to state this as a premise. For instance: all money spent in health care except for big insurance plans for the wealthy is a waste, since poor people just are basically obnoxious and if they die off, all the better. All money spent on roads that don't lead to manors is wasted because poor and middle class people can figure out how to dodge potholes. Etc etc.
Of course, to say this out loud is "not done". So it is said between the lines while the rich mouth piously about the poor always being with us blah blah blah
"Not enough money"
On the Today programme this morning John Humphrys repeated an ancient ideological trick of the right. He asked (1’24” in): Why should the British taxpayer when they see that there’s not enough money for instance for hospitals or schools…why should they be expected to [spend on foreign aid]? Bu...
I hope you meant "unconvincing" in your 2nd note.
The sporting life, & taxes
One question that was doing the rounds on Twitter over the weekend was: would you rather have a big trust fund or sporting ability that enabled you to earn similar money? The question makes sense because a trust fund and athletic potential are both things we inherit from our parents. Both are, i...
Potemkin BLS
and jobs
How to run a country a la Putin
Reagan, Trump, and Manufacturing
Paul Krugman: Reagan, Trump, and Manufacturing: It’s hard to focus on ordinary economic analysis amidst this political apocalypse. But ... like it or not the progress of CASE NIGHTMARE ORANGE may depend on how the economy does. So, what is actually likely to happen to trade and manufacturing ov...
C-suite execs are also regarded as competent: they tell everyone the stories everyone expects to hear, so they must be true
On Tory "competence"
A poll in the Independent shows that voters think Theresa May and the Tories would do a better job than Jeremy Corbyn of managing the NHS. Which poses the question: how can Labour be so weak on what should be its core strength? Let’s start with the statistics. Since 2010, real spending per perso...
Only in people's fevered dreams are managers more productive. If their underlings are vanishing, who is doing the underling's highly productive work? No one. The managers are doing the poor job they have always done plus they are swamped by little tasks that their underlings used to do (streamlining doesn't mean better, it just means fewer hands to the task). Then the managers' productivity falls off since they can't concentrate on what they are supposed to produce
and productivity falls off
On job polarization
Job polarization is a big problem. This is one message I take from figures released yesterday by the ONS showing employment by occupation. These show that in the last ten years we’ve seen big rises in “professional occupations” and in managers, directors and senior officials – up by 23.3% and 15...
Matt: economic life is all about coercion. What voluntary trade? Take this job and kiss up to the boss and maybe he won't cut your wages or benefits to "compete" in the global economy. Right wingers would like people to work or starve, and would prefer to have slaves rather than employees, Their behavior and the capitalist drive to "efficiency" and robotics show this.
Politics is an effort to control the nastiness and venality of the economic world. That we elevate nastiness and venality to power is a reflection of our lack of understanding of how coercive economic laws actually demean human beings
Left & right: a common aim
The difference between the left and the right is that the left wants to change the electorate whist the right wants to change the workforce. This thought struck me whilst reading this. Among the cliché-mongering, Marian Tupy says: millions of Britons will need to be retrained and their movement...
Stuart:
"We can be confident that most small businesses supported Brexit."
Please explain with some sort of data.
The strange death of the business vote
To those of us who grew up in the 70s and 80s, there’s something odd about politics now. It’s that no main party is, or seems to want to be, the “party of business”. What I mean is that back then, the Tories were emphatically on the side of business, exemplified by Thatcher’s union-bashing and t...
I think you deliberately present only the most superficial of measurements of achievement. Freedom is not the sine qua non of happiness. If the majority of people are in fear of losing their jobs, how free are they? If opportunity shrinks and humans work just to survive, even if the survival is relatively better than before, how free are they? If the rewards of their work largely goes to the upper classes, are they not still psychologically enslaved? A longer life won't help if the financial means to do what we want aren't there.
The Utopia paradox
Laurie Penny says we need more utopian thinking. For me, this raises a fascinating paradox. To see it, put yourself in the shoes of a worker in the 1840s - say a Chartist - who is transported to today. You'll see that workers have most of the political rights you agitated for; that real wages ar...
Productivity is usually assumed to be high for those who get highly paid, a fallacy of course, since at best a CEO leverages other people's productivity, at worst a CEO merely prances about talking while others produce. A "meritocratic" star uses other people's work to bolster his/her product. The president of a university certainly isn't productive unless (here in the USA)you count the ability to hornswoggle donors into paying big bucks for the football stadium, which is of dubious value for the university in general. And so on.
Marginal product, & incomes
How do you convert ability into income? This is a question promoted by Ann Bauer's claim that novelists often need subsidies from their family. Her point broadens. Many artists struggle to get by: I suspect Jolie Holland speaks for many when she says she barely makes a living. A novelist, academ...
Give everyone including the rich a basic income (you didn't spell this out in your article). Make sure taxes are progressive enough that no one has a cliff effect where all of the sudden all BI disappears. It should disappear at some comfortable (food, shelter, medical care) level.
The BI, of course, is the entrepreneur society allowance. Remove fear of losing subsistence and you release people's ability to vote with their feet, away from dead end stupid jobs into new creative enterprises.
Basic income: some issues
I try not to watch politics programmes on TV. Andrew Neil's interview with Natalie Bennett about a basic income reminds me why. I'm appalled by Natalie's inability to answer his first question: how to pay for it? The Citizens Income Trust has set out one way (pdf)* to do so: quite simply, abolis...
If you read Dillow's blog, you incessantly see people claiming that the wealthy MUST be smarter, better and everything than the rest of us. We need only cast our gaze at the Romney family, where one smart guy unleashed a family of self-congratulating non-entities on the world through the marvelous luck of inheritance (and that smart guy was not Mitt)to see why this may not be true. If upward mobility is decreasing, it means that the wealthy are ipso facto less and less deserving. In fact, the very smallness of upward mobility and its quiet demise argues against merit and for luck. However, people are blinded by the Horatio Alger myth, thinking at some point they too will be wealthy and all it takes is some great idea on their part.
The world is full of great ideas, and mediocre ones too.
'Not Seeing Luck'
Chris Dillow at Stumbling and Mumbling: Not seeing luck: I claimed the other day that those of us who are in the global 1% are apt to under-estimate our good fortune. There is, in fact, quite robust evidence from other contexts that we tend to under-rate luck and over-rate skill and causality...
"Seriously doubt" as in "I Don't Know But Will Make a Bigoted Statement and Will Do Nothing to Verify the Truth of It". Don't do research or let facts get in your way. Why would poor parents in the US be worse parents than in the UK? Trust me, they must be otherwise whatever I believe would not be a fact.
'Poorer Parents are Just as Involved in Their Children's Activities as Better-Off Parents'
This seems worth noting: Poorer parents are just as involved in their children's activities as better-off parents, EurekAlert: Poorer parents are just as involved in education, leisure, and sports activities with their children as better-off parents, a new study has found. Dr Esther Dermott and...
Steve Jobs made his own luck: he luckily made himself get adopted into a well-to-do family. He luckily made himself acquainted with the brilliant Wozniak. He luckily lied about his work and others luckily awarded him with bounties for lying. He luckily made a fortune off the misfortune of people overseas. Yep, he made his own luck.
The 1%, c'est moi
I tweeted yesterday that there are more Guardian readers in the top 1% of the global rich than there are billionaires. This is because net wealth of $798,000 (£528,000) gets you into the top 1% (p99 of this pdf). This means that many people who have enjoyed 20 years of London house price inflati...
So, Luis, we should simply ignore unemployment, increasing poverty etc? And the fact that 30 year mortgages will get more and more expensive relative to their original costs? You are bizarre.
Deflation: why worry?
Should we worry that the euro zone is in deflation (pdf)? Certainly, deflation is a symptom of a severe problem - that of weak demand which has resulted in almost one-in-four (pdf) young people being out of work. And the very fact that deflation is unfamiliar might create uncertainty which itsel...
The great difficulty here is that we have to create a better world, drag people kicking and screaming into it (voir all the social revolutions,the "end" of slavery, women's rights etc) and once there, the people never know how they got there, so they assume that this new world is the norm. Until a new norm comes up and the process is repeated.
Our distorted priorities
There's something I find depressing about the response to my post on Russell Brand - that it has received far more attention than almost all my other posts even though many of those are on what I'd regard as more important matters. Now I know that writing about your blog traffic is, to paraphras...
This article is the latest horrible iteration of the materialistic notion of productivity. This is the sort of thinking that created unions, where squeezing the worker as much as possible finally leads to worker rebellion. Productivity is not really a very useful measurement in our world anymore, although that is what is monetized. At some point we will need to reward creativity and ingenuity, so that we can continue to survive on this planet, instead of rewarding ant-like behavior and giving the queen ants all the stuff we produce and grovelling thankfully for the privilege of handing over the fruits of our labor.
'Looking at Productivity as a State of Mind'
Sendhil Mullainathan: Looking at Productivity as a State of Mind: Policy makers often fret about the pace of worker productivity. But each of us also frets about the pace of our own individual productivity. Type the phrase “being more” into Google: The autocomplete function suggests “being more...
We can discuss economics and politics all we want. but the real answer is: the super rich are hoarders. They are mentally ill. if they hoarded cats or newspapers, we would force them to clean up their mess. Hoarding causes health and other issues. There are tons of externalities involved in hoarding, and the rich should pay for that. let's list a few externalities: money hoarding gives them disproportionate power to corrupt governments and individuals, creating governmental dysfunction and the destruction of trust in government works; money hoarding drives the rich to policies that destroy the environment in order to allow the rich a few more dollars to hoard; money hoarding creates a desire to avoid paying for common facilities (police, armies, roads, etc) which either don't get paid for or get privatized to further the hoarding, thus creating an unsafe environment for the rest of the citizens surrounding the hoarders; and I could go on.
Let's call them sick and work on fixing the disease.
'The Rich Have Advantages That Money Cannot Buy'
Larry Summers says: The rich have advantages that money cannot buy, by Lawrence Summers: ... There is every reason to believe that taxes can be reformed to eliminate loopholes for the wealthy and become more progressive, while also promoting a more efficient allocation of investment. In areas ...
Justifiably cranky....it's like they never saw what deficit reduction has done
'America's Debt and the Economy: A Hard Look at Public Spending and Finance'
This session, as I thought it would be before it started, was annoying: America's Debt and the Economy: A Hard Look at Public Spending and Finance: With mandatory programs consuming 13.6 percent of GDP and rising, security spending at 5 percent, debt service at 1.5 percent (under benign inter...
Exactly
Why Is the Job-Finding Rate Still Low?
From Liberty Street Econmics at the NY Fed: Why Is the Job-Finding Rate Still Low?, by Victoria Gregory, Christina Patterson, Ayşegül Şahin, and Giorgio Topa: Fluctuations in unemployment are mostly driven by fluctuations in the job-finding prospects of unemployed workers—except at the onset of...
This is what happens when you make corporations and money into human beings. Then you can compare rounding up tax dollars by the IRS the same as rounding up Jews by the Gestapo
'Obama and the One Percent'
Paul Krugman: Obama and the One Percent: Another week, another outburst by a one-percenter comparing progressive taxation to Nazi atrocities. I particularly liked the end: Kristallnacht was unthinkable in 1930; is its descendent “progressive” radicalism unthinkable now? Because it’s just obvi...
Of course, neither the minimum wage nor the EITC address things as elegantly as a guaranteed income with aggressively progressive taxation would: everyone gets a basic living, the rich have it taxed away, small businesses could afford to hire people for what they could/would pay (I am sure some unionism would be desirable here), no one could say that they were deprived (a la middle class whining about they pay taxes and poor people get the benefits). There would be more people willing and able to do some adventurous businesses, because they wouldn't be terrified of starving if they fail. Children wouldn't be punished for their parents lack of earning capacity.
God would be in heaven and all would be well on earth.
The EITC versus The Minimum Wage
Brad DeLong in 2004: ... I like the EITC. Come the Day of Wrath, my best pleading will be the role I played in 1993 in the Clinton administration in expanding the EITC. But the EITC is a program that uses the IRS to write lots of relatively small checks to tens of millions of relatively poor pe...
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