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Harry Fulton
London
Moderate Libertarian
Recent Activity
"Last week an Angus Reid poll found that only 83% of Tory voters would support a Coalition candidate" - an intriguing use of the word 'only'. In a general election all we would need was 83% of 51%... Let's face it - the REAL tory grass roots voted Lib Dems in their droves in the recent by-election. Puts paid to the myth that Conservative Home actually represents Tory voters.
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Hear Hear ! I am considering removing CH from my Favourites. Is there is a website for giving the coalition a decent go?
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I think we were just unlucky. The television debates essentially weakened Tory challenges in the South West with the Lib Dems and also our challenge in the North with Labour. The You Gov poll taken on the date the election was caled was 40,32,17 - actual votes were split 36, 29, 23. Long essays and continual over-analysis is not required - the TV debates shifted around 5% to the Lib Dems (in actual percentage terms that it is very significant 40% down to say 36% represents a loss of one tenth of your rating). Any other analysis is simply placing your own blue tinted lens and playing to your own particular prejudices. Sometimes it can just be bad luck - although there is an argument to say - a TV debate should have been resisted. But that's life.
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"Bob F" - you are wonderful!
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It is nothing to do with 'views opposed to my own'. I am quite comfortable with entertaining different ideas - I am very uncomfortable with certain forms of expression. So for example the use of expletives to make a point. In this particular case he was referencing a sex act on a public forum - and I am still unclear how he made his causal argument. If I had entertained his view - I would have said it was unsupported - but that was not my complaint.
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Rupert Brooke's posting @ 10.35am should be removed. In all the time I have followed Conservative Home I have never come across this type of lurid language. It may befit the contributor - but not CH.
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I think Laws is almost certainly out. It might be more interesting to discuss a replacement. Someone mentioned Jeremy Browne - who as I type is already on BBC News 24 staunchly defending Laws. I have always liked Ed Davey - he could be moved to Chief Sec.
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"We need an independent voice as Chairman of the '22 but not someone who will be voicing every thought to the nation's newspapers and broadcasters" Spectator: "Mr Brady says that the Lib-Con deal has changed everything. ‘A majority government can largely presume the consent of its MPs,’ he says. ‘A coalition government cannot." Someone with the mild manners of a Howe and the loyalty of a Tebbit.
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I accept the point you make about your purchase of shares (to a point). However, employees are receiving share options free under Revenue approved plans - then buy shares free of income tax - getting a large CGT exemption - and then getting the 18% rate or indeed lower. Swathes of top earners are avoiding 40% and the additional rate by taking their rewards in the form of options. It is a massive loop hole - where people are avoiding both CGT and Income Tax. In closing any loop holes there are winners and losers. You also seem to be making a general point that capital accumulation is morally better than income accumulation. If you take your money and invest it in a bank account - any interest attracts 20% and 40% rates of tax. So, by your reasoning, to be consistent, you would want this lowered to 18% also. In the context of sorting out a projected 1.4 trillion GBP debt your beliefs we simply do not have that money spare.
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Just for note: it was the last Tory administration which essentially treated capital gains as no different from income - and taxed them as a slice on top of income - attracting basic rate and higher rates of tax. It was Labour that reduced the rate of tax to 18% with the rather bizarre entrepreneur's relief tacked on. There is a reason for it to return to the old Tory treatment and tax it as income at marginal rates of 20% and 40% - i.e. everyone has been converting income rewards into capital rewards and therefore avoiding 40% (and soon 50% tax) to enjoy the 18% rate - which, if you pardon me for saying is the *real* outrage. The Lib Dem proposal is a sensible one. One thing we should not do is return to Indexation or Taper though - it was very confusing for unrepresented taxpayers - and I am unclear why it is necessary (per se).
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Although - it is now academic. Cameron has blinked... This does not augur well!
Toggle Commented May 10, 2010 on Gordon Brown to resign as Labour leader at LeftWatch
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"snowballs chance in hell of any Labour MP rebelling, and potentially putting themselves out of government" - which is where I disagree with you. I can easily see them putting themselves out of government to block PR. If they did not they would be consigned to Lab-Lib pacts for eternity - and they love power in their own right. That is why Labour has flirted with PR and always pulled out at the last moment. Quite apart from that, the Labour benches are not so easily whipped anymore - they have lost all their discipline.
Toggle Commented May 10, 2010 on Gordon Brown to resign as Labour leader at LeftWatch
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But... Labour are not promising full blown PR - they are offering AV+ - and it is unclear if the Labour Parliamentary Party can even pass that bill (in fact as I understand it LPP are between a third and a half against PR - and there are over ten MPs very much against AV+). Let the rainbow disaster unfold. A stronger Conservative Party is in the country's interest - and a Lib-Lab disaster is all that we need to secure it.
Toggle Commented May 10, 2010 on Gordon Brown to resign as Labour leader at LeftWatch
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Call his bluff! A rainbow coalition will be a disaster - and would properly wreck Labour and the Liberal Democrats. In six months David Cameron can lead us to a terrific victory - we just need to hold our nerve!
Toggle Commented May 10, 2010 on Gordon Brown to resign as Labour leader at LeftWatch
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Congratulations on Conservative Home's snap poll - it was mentioned when Channel 4 News lead with this as their *main* story. The C4 headlines only changed with the sad announcement of three British soldiers dying in Helmand - someone in the C4 news hub must have realised that this was an actual news item which demanded some attention. We should get rid of people over something substantive - not over silly, jokey remarks. When we are in Government we are going to get a lot more than this thrown at us - especially when the cuts kick in. We need to develop resilience. Duncan has shown poor judgement, but, in my own view, he should be given a second chance.
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Whereas, Boris Johnson on the other hand...
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Henry - you deserve the traditional "lol" for that comment.
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I am confused at your confusion. I thought I heard him on Radio 4 this morning saying that localism was fine - it was the incorrect raising of expectations that was the problem. That's what he was campaigning against - the Government had promoted a message of everyone being entitled to 3 IVF cycles - but this was not happening on the ground. The argument was that by raising expectations it caused emotional distress. Maybe it was not him (and I need my ears cleaned out)!
Toggle Commented Aug 6, 2009 on Localism - or postcode lottery? at CentreRight
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You see, it is not what Cameron needs to do - it is what the Conservative Party needs to do. The Cameron effect on our polling has been demonstrably good. The reason why people are still unenthusiastic about the Tories is nothing to do with Cameron and everything to do with the Party. If we still have constituency associations that do not know how to follow the rules on selection we will still not reflect the nation we hope to lead.
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At the very least this local association is showing an astonishing lack of discipline - they had enough female candidates to follow the selection rules - so can't they do the arithmetic and get half men/half women? Maybe then need Carol Vorderman.. oh wait!
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I'm with Sally on this - I like the second from the right ;o) The 'sex' factor does still work - Cameron's charisma is not just down to being a good orator. Cameron, Osborne, Fox... not sure about the rest though...
Toggle Commented Jul 25, 2009 on Vote for the beach party? at international
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Not to be a damp squib - but - didn't we lose a 6% vote share? Although we did spread our vote around a bit better and therefore did well? 38% vote share when we have a disintegrating government and a severe economic recession does not exactly put a smile on my face.
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Apart from it being very divisive for the Labour Party - it will be interesting to see how long a Johnson bounce will last. If Brown's bounce lasted five months - isn't that more than enough time to have a quick election?
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* sings o/ ~ "Things can only get bitter!" o/~
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Great news that the Conservative Party has received the luke warm endorsement of the UK's foremost comic porno mag.
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