Seen some crazy stuff over the years, but 15 unanswered runs are crazy even for this rivalry.. I don't know. Still early in the year, early in everything, no one wins the world series in april..

I didn't watch the beginning (came in at 9-0).. was it really that much of Bobby V's fault?

I was obviously rooting for this, but man, this must be disheartening for you SFs..

Man, I'm such a fan of Bobby V.. now I have to hate him, haha..

Just not meant to be, I guess. Plenty of opportunities, outscored them in the series, but not clutch.

Ya, I have tickets to game 2 and is still waiting for them to announce it.. weird..

Another way to put it is, the win probability of Rays down 7-0 and the win probability of Rays down 7-6 with 2 outs are not independent -- you can't just multiply those!

I have much respect for Nate Silver and what he's done, but his math on that "1 in 278 million" is awful. If the Sox's playoff odds was 99.7% at one point.. then the chance of what happened with 0.3% of the time, or 1 in 300, roughly. Sounds about right. If you want to use the independent events of the 2% - Paps blowing it and Dan Johnson hitting a HR, then it's a simple 0.04%, or that at that particular moment, Red Sox had a 99.96% chance of making the playoffs. Or what happened had a 1 in 2000 chance of happening. Also reasonable. None of this 1 in 278 mil bullshit. This is pretty fundamental probability 101, I don't know how he could get it so wrong.

What a ten minute sequence for the Rays/Sox fans..

I think that's okay, the unwillingness to use Mo, at least in the regular season.

Yes, there's always a risk involved, but in real life, you do something wrong, even unintentionally, you might get picked up by the law. Just hit Ortiz and move on.

I don't know if it's an insult, but hitting too many HRs thing just means the team as a whole might have a high volatility, which in theory pulls them toward .500. But who knows.

The Yanks close one. Another day of excellent pitching. Man, the recent run kind of remind me of the good old days. The obvious question is whether they can keep it up..

Line drive double play, a mark of luck. Will take it!

Alright Joba giving up back to back singles. Let's not blow this.

The Yanks actually lead the league in.. first order wins, second order wins, and third order wins, which is to say they have been slightly unlucky in *actual* wins, though if they had just won those two against Seattle, they would've been as expected, or much closer to it. Tex actually hasn't been as good as advertised, though he puts up great traditional numbers. Mostly his batting average is down.

But the Yanks did not capitalize on that one. Just one run.

Reyes is challenging them with 90-mph fastballs, hoping either to sneak them by, or the Yanks to get them out. If that's all he has, with his other pitches not really spotting, this might be a quick day for him.

And sometimes things stack. Aaron Hill with an error.

28 RBIs for Granderson batting 2nd. That's pretty insane.

*hope. Grandy drives in Jeter with a double, I guess that was a nice pitch to swing at, even at 2-0.

Reyes is wild in the early going. Let's up the Yanks do not help him out.

8-4 now. Is this a game yet?

Logged in just in time for this. Nice. Just in time for the Red sox series.

Here we go again, bah.