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NegativeNAO
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4.5
It's what I had, and it's what I'll keep. For better or for worse, for warmer or for colder.
Commented Jul 13, 2013 on Crowd-Source Prediction of September Sea Ice Extent (July report & call for August predictions) at Arctic Sea Ice
Crowd-Source Prediction of September Sea Ice Extent (July report & call for August predictions)
In mid-June through early July, participants on the Arctic Sea Ice (ASI) blog posted 82 individual predictions for the mean NSIDC September Arctic sea ice extent. The median value of these 82 predictions was 3.2 million km2, with an interquartile range (approximately the middle 50% of prediction...
4.5
Graphs and reality are jagged and toothy. Trends hold, but there are always new teeth to come and bite us along the way. We'll give 2013 "new tooth" status and let it go at that.
Commented Jun 16, 2013 on Crowd-Source Prediction of Mean September Sea Ice Extent (July update) at Arctic Sea Ice
Crowd-Source Prediction of Mean September Sea Ice Extent (July update)
Each June, July and August, the SEARCH Sea Ice Outlook (SIO) collects predictions for the mean extent of Arctic sea ice in September. These predictions come mainly from scientists but also some other people, drawing on a variety of modeling, statistical or subjective methods that each contributo...
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