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bay_area_phan
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Ok, I'll cop. I sometimes read Tal's posts. It's not like I bookmark his page or go searching to find his posts. But, whenever I drop by Beerleaguer, his post is usually the only thing here, so I figure I might as well click on it. That said, I join those who say that you (Tal) have crushed whatever infinitesimal amount of life that Beerleaguer had left in it. It's not because you link to your posts (which doesn't particularly bother me, though it bothers some). It's because whenever anyone criticizes you or disagrees with you, you show up 20 seconds later to tell us about your burgeoning reputation as a blogger, and your dozens of sophisticated readers. Then, when your critic responds to your post, you show up again 20 seconds later and remind us about your burgeoning reputation as a blogger, and your dozens of sophisticated readers. There hasn't been anything resembling a baseball discussion on Beerleaguer for about 3 months. Every discussion is about you -- and it's largely because you make every discussion about you. Beerleaguer is/was a baseball blog. It's not a blog for you to live out your fantasy of being a baseball-GM-turned-world-renowned-pundit.
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It's "working" in the sense that you can still write a post. But, with no new content & no one monitoring the place to keep out the trolls & fake posters, there's nothing here anymore that lends itself to interesting baseball discussion. Not to mention that the Phillies, themselves, don't exactly provide much fodder for interesting discussion.
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TTI's Google alert doesn't seem to be working today.
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Not that the numbers really matter but Harang is the obvious No. 3. After that, it's pretty wide open among the motley crew of Williams, Buchanan, MAG, Billingsley, & conceivably even someone like Slowey.
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"I think the original MAG offer was an outlier. Ruben Jr. and Monty were in full public relations mode, trying to prove that they could go crazy over a Cuban, any Cuban." I absolutely believe this is true. It's like my friend who decided he was going to marry the next girl he dated: RAJ/Monty were going to sign the next Cuban, no matter who it was, because they knew it was a bad look for a big-market team to be letting everyone else sign them all. Alas, the next Cuban happened to be the worst of the whole lot.
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https://twitter.com/GTown_Dave/status/559918887069032449 I know he had his detractors, but Beerleaguer sorely misses commentary like this. Come to think of it, Beerleaguer sorely misses commentary, period.
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Posting on Beerleaguer isn't really worth the effort at this point. Without a "Jump to new comments" button, it takes 5 minutes just to get to the posting page. And when you finally get there, you find that no one has posted anything new in the last 48 hours. Writing a post is like talking to the walls in your house. I haven't really warmed to TGP, as the site is absolutely dominated by front office apologists, many of them humorless. But at least there's discussion.
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The best part of that Fangraphs article is in the comments section: "How long before that annoying guy comes along with the “JOHN MIDDLETON FELONY FRAUD” crap?"
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The Reds' prospects don't excite me either but, then again, we're talking about Marlon Byrd, not Cole Hamels. Even if you trade Byrd to a team with a deep minor league system, you're still not going to get a great prospect.
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Raise your hand if you think Kevin Slowey will make at least 20 starts for the 2015 Philadelphia Phillies.
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"I'm starting to think that this offseason is less re-building and more salary shredding." The need for rebuilding gave ownership the perfect cover for doing what they planned to do all along: slash payroll to make up for lagging ticket revenues. Rebuilding and slashing payroll often look kinda the same, so ownership could just say, "We plan to rebuild," & gullible fans would assume that's exactly what they were doing when they proceeded to shed the $33M in salary which they've shed so far. But the owners have given themselves away one too many times. First, they've let 2 young foreign-born free agents go to higher bidders -- even though both went for decidedly less money than was predicted. Second, they spent months letting it be known how much they like Tomas, only to back out of the bidding at the last minute with a bullsh*t last-minute excuse about his defense. Third, they let it be known to the media that they have to slash even more payroll to make a run at Asdrubral Cabrera, a 29-year old who is one of the few MLB FAs that could potentially help the rebuilding effort. Fourth, they literally haven't spent a penny on a single new major league signing in the off-season. Fifth, RAJ stupidly came right out & said that they think Ryan Howard makes the team worse but they won't release him. If they were really committed to rebuilding, and doing so in the 2-3 time frame promised by Gillick, they'd have to take a shot on someone like Kang or Tomas. There's literally no other way to expedite the rebuilding process, especially when your minor league system is as thin as ours is. But they're not committed to rebuilding in that time frame. What they're committed to doing is making as large a profit as possible for ownership, even in a time of declining ticket sales. To the extent that there's a rebuilding plan, it's more like a 15-year plan than a 3-year plan.
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"Do you want Andres Blanco at the minimum, or Nick Punto at the minimum?" Is there even the slightest bit of difference between the 2?
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lorecore: I get all that and, for that reason, I wouldn't trade Hamels for Myers either; there has to be more. But put aside the abstract concept of "trade value," and just ask, "Who do you think is going to be the better hitter: Wil Myers, Mookie Betts, or Blake Swihart? My answer, without hesitation, would be: Wil Myers -- even though the others may have more trade value. And what the Phillies need, more than anything, are some good hitters. I agree, however, that it would have to be Myers +. A package of Myers & Rymer Liriano would be getting much closer.
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"Padres couldn't get Hamels if they tried, I don't think. Just moved most of their valuable pieces, specifically Grandl." How about Wil Myers? See MLBTR.
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The Padres' pitching still kinda sucks, but their stadium allows them to consistently get strong numbers out of average pitchers. Problem is, it works the same way for the opposing pitchers, which raises the question: how will Upton, Kemp, Norris, and Myers hit in Petco?
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In the last 5 days, the Padres have acquired Matt Kemp, Wil Myers, Justin Upton, and Derek Norris. I, at least, give them an A for effort, though I don't think they have the pitching to hang with the Dodgers.
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I can give you a quick synopsis on the Sixers' roster: they all suck. But enjoy the game nonetheless.
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Wow, it's back up. I actually thought this was the end.
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Rotoworld says the Astros are a sleeper team in the Cole Hamels sweepstakes. Get ready for it: Cole Hamels for Jonathan Singleton, Domingo Santana, and Josh Zeid.
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jbird: Either that or RAJ backed out at the last minute, after deciding that Windle & Eflin aren't toolsy enough for his liking.
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To bring up a point that one of the posters at TGP keeps making . . . does anyone find it odd that nearly 4 full days after the Jimmy Rollins trade, there still hasn't been an actual Jimmy Rollins trade? There has never been any official announcement & Rollins is still listed on the Phillies' roster while Windle & Eflin are not. Why do I have this nagging feeling that the hold-up is due to one of those administrative gaffes, & that, as a result of the gaffe, the return on the trade will end up being much worse than the one that has been reported?
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"While the Phillies surely don't care about WAR, the last 10 years of drafting isn't an example of a situation where certain stats can be cherry picked and show that they weren't the worst team in the league over the span of time." Exactly. If you sorted the draft picks by career RBIs, I'm sure the Phillies' picks would still come out last.
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"This one makes me nauseous. Imagine how a Stanton, or for that matter, a Zimmerman or a Freeman would have helped to put the breaks on this disaster." Freeman was still in the minors when we extended Ryan Howard, so he would have been blocked. With nowhere to play him, RAJ would have thrown him into the Hunter Pence trade as an inducement for Houston to throw in an additional utility infielder.
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