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Fatalotti
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Coming to this blog is like walking into a house that caught fire 2 months ago, the rain put it out, but no one has been in the house since. Everything is burned and nothing is salvageable. So you just leave and never come back.
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I'm fascinated by what the Padres are doing. The Matt Kemp trade struck me as buffoonery. The Myers trade struck me as intriguing. The Upton trade now makes me completely interested in whatever it is they are doing. Definitely the most interesting team of the offseason, so far.
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Hey, I'll be joining Liberty Ballers at the Sixers game tonight. Seeing as we're all Phillies fans, there might be a few Sixers fan who frequent this site. I'm not an active contributor at that site, but I read it often, and I hope to learn more about the current roster and maybe meet a few nice people. If anyone wants to join me, let me know. Information: http://www.libertyballers.com/2014/12/18/7415419/lb-at-the-sixers-night-is-tomorrow
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That Chase Utley video was awesome. Thanks for pointing me in its direction, GBrett.
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Just discovered the BL "crash". My bookmark (still my second bookmark after my email, so BL still has a very high place in my heart and I plan on returning on a more consistent basis in the future) was sending me to CSNPhilly, but a quick Google search got me back to my old stomping grounds. I was very sad for the brief time that I thought this place was dead. Thankfully, its eulogy has not been written quite yet.
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Merry Cliffmas, Happy Halladays, Roy to the World and Cole in Your Stocking!
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Crashburn Alley is basically doing a love-in for Rollins on their site. I recommend reading the Retrospectives.
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Rally Red, great post! Jimmy is a player the likes of which Phillies fans may never see again. He will be sorely missed.
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Jimmy is the greatest shorstop this franchise has ever known, and possibly the most entertaining player the team has ever had. Speed? Check. Power? Check. Great defense? Check. Flare? You better damn believe it. Every time a ball was hit to shortstop, my senses heightened. Just watching him gobble up even a routine ball, set and flip it with that cannon across the diamond was always a sight to behold. Sometimes, though, you'd get the flash across the middle with the 360 degree spin and the snap throw to second base, or you'd get the backhand deep in the hole, where he'd rear back and throw an absolute laser at Ryan Howard's chest. The man is just fun to watch play baseball. He's oozing with athleticism from head to toe, and every play he makes is a testament to that incredible athleticism. And yes, he wasn't the on-base specialist that many would have liked him to be, but a career league average hitter, with 216 career homeruns playing shorstop for your club for over a decade. You could do a hell of a lot worse. I hope fans of the team are mournful tonight, because the Phillies just lost a bedrock player, and although he's nearing the twilight of his career, I'd argue he'd still comfortably an above average shorstop, and I think 3 of his last 4 seasons would make that argument for me just as much. Goodbye Jimmy.
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TTI, I think we're in agreement, but not sure. I think Stanton and Heyward are nearly similar players in terms of overall value, but the market pays a premium for offense, and historically has underpaid for players whose value is significantly or primarily derived from defense and baserunning. To wit, it would surprise me greatly if Heyward approached a contract in the same stratosphere as Stanton. In years, sure, since he'll be entering his age 26 season, but in AAV? No way.
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BAP and awh, while WAR similarly values Stanton and Heyward, I don't think the market does. While Stanton is getting a $25 M AAV, I doubt that Stanton will get more than a $20 M AAV, even though he and Stanton will likely provide their teams with similar value over the next 10 years. There's obvious downside to this deal for the Cardinals, but I think the upside more than makes up for it.
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Certainly could be a great deal for the Braves. But, I like this move for the Cardinals a lot, since I think they'll lock up Heyward at a discount.
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Hey, would you look at that? Another smart move by the Cardinals. What a shocker. Advanced stats say Heyward is a 4-6 WAR player, but the Cardinals will only ever pay him like a 2-4 WAR player. Either WAR overvalues him and the Cardinals pay him what he's actually worthy, or it doesn't and the Cardinals get a hell of a deal when they lock him up. Smart franchise.
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BAP, you're right. Martinez had a fantastic season. All year long I was waiting for him to regress, but he just kept mashing. If he wasn't such a liability on the bases, he'd have clearly been the best offensive player. Conway, you know that to cloud the writer's views, you have to, at the very least, get to the 100 RBI threshold. This is just common knowledge, man. And I will admit that Kershaw (deservedly) winning the MVP, the the second pitcher to do so in the last 3 years, does militate against my argument.
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BAP, I'm not losing sleep over it, at all, since the importance of the MVP award lost a lot of its luster years ago, but Victor Martinez was second in OPS+ to Jose Abreu and 3rd in wRC+ to McCutchen and Trout, so while he was one of the best hitters, he wasn't such a better hitter than then the rest of the field that his laughable baserunning and complete lack of defensive value should be overlooked. And Brantley was just an example. So was Bautista. Alex Gordon and Donaldson were better and more valuable players than Martinez. I just sometimes feel like the baseball writers haven't made any progress (I know they have, but that's how I feel) when it comes to evaluating the sport, and since that's their only job, I'd expect them to be really good at it.
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Mike Trout finally got the award he’s deserved his entire time in the majors, even with his third season being his worst. If I may, though, I must point out that Victor Martinez finishing second shows that there was no progressive step forward by the baseball writers this year. Mike Trout was simply the best by all standards, but if there were a hulking mass of humanity who moonlighted as a statue at a non-premium position (or worse, the non-position that Martinez plays) who had more homeruns and ribbies than Trout, Trout would have probably lost again. It’s simply that Trout had more HR and RBIs than anyone in the American League. Let me be clear, I like Martinez. He’s a great hitter, who had a fantastic season, DH or not. But when you look at the WAR leaderboards, he’s all the way down at 18. Now WAR isn’t faultless (far from it), but it illustrates just what’s wrong with the baseball writers. Take Michael Brantley for example: he was a 6% worse hitter than Martinez, but unlike Martinez who offered significant negative value on the basepaths and literally nothing in the field, Brantley offered a surplus of value on the bases, and while advanced metrics don’t love Brantley’s defense, offering acceptably negative value in CF, a premium position, is of far more value than that of a DH. Hell, even from their own blinded traditional perch, the baseball writers should have, at the very least, picked Jose Bautista who, you know, actually plays a position in the field, and had more HRs with the same amount of RBIs. Even in a year where the right guy won, they still can’t help but further de-legitimize the award. But Trout did win, so I’m happy.
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clout, I appreciate you thinking of me, but I've never responded to Rally Red as far as I'm aware. I think someone else made that comment.
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Wow, just awful news about Taveras. Reminds me of the Nick Adenhart death. Terrible when a young man who looked like he was going to be a huge boon to baseball dies so early.
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Really thought the Royals were going to be able to hold this one down. But then the Giants just pummeled Vargas and their relief into submission. By the way, Pence and Sandoval back-to-back has to be the most awkward, free swinging middle of the order that baseball's ever witnessed. Those two will swing at, and hit, anything.
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These danged new-fangled advanced statistics for quantifying dumbassery! What happened to the old-school, traditional ways of telling if someone were a dumbass? I miss those days.
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"Pat Gillick has 3 WS rings." This statement, devoid of context, might be the dumbest post in the history of Beerleaguer. Posted by: clout | Saturday, October 25, 2014 at 04:55 PM I wished we'd been assigning posts a "Dumbness Quotient" (thinking 1-100 scale), and could actually quantify clout's assessment. I wonder where I'd rank.
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Really enjoying reading this. Haven't seen anything about pitch counts quite yet (not done, though), but still highly enjoyable: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=22156
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