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Paul, I think the missing element is human conflict. You referred once to Chinese droughts and 29% of the world population being undernourished.
Personally, I'd guess an increasing population and agricultural output being down by 20-40% causing a lot more than 29%, but if we feed more people and fewer animals, perhaps not.
Still, hungry people go to war. Current conflicts such as Syria can be traced in part or whole to climate change.
Gwynne Dyer put it as well as anyone: "People always raid before they starve"
Two obvious areas of conflict are India/Pakistan as the glacier-fed Indus river dries, and China/Russia as the Chinese breadbasket desertifies.
The day the ice cap died
The title of this blog post is actually the title of a piece of science fiction, a short story written by Paul Briggs. Just like a couple of weeks ago when I was asked for advice on an idea for a novel, Paul asked me for some feedback on his short story. I figured posting it here, will generate...
Sofouuk, I have to disagree.
While Jevons paradox may have been based on observations when originally conceived, believing that it will always happen this way is indeed a matter of faith.
Miscellanea
I have collected a couple of interesting news articles and interviews over the past few weeks, and now it's time to share with those of you who haven't seen them. I'm posting what I found the most interesting excerpts, follow the links if you want to read the rest. First up, an interview on Sci...
JC, I'd like to point out that taking the average continental US temperature anomaly isn't going to tell us much about a wandering jet stream.
Think like the statistician with a foot in boiling water and the other in ice water saying 'on average I feel fine'.
To do an analysis like that you'll have to at least break the temperature down into regions and look for both high and low anomalies by region. I think the real mark of a meandering jet stream is simultaneous high low anomalies in different regions.
FWIW, my $.02, YMMV, etc.
Decreasing Arctic albedo boosts global warming
A new paper in PNAS, called Observational determination of albedo caused by vanishing sea ice, reminds me of scientific work Peter Wadhams published a year and a half ago wherein he showed Arctic ice melt is 'like adding 20 years of CO2 emissions'. He based this assertion on calculations, as ca...
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Feb 22, 2014
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