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Rally Red '67
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Rally Red '67 is now following Willard Preacher
Dec 16, 2014
...With nowhere to play him, RAJ would have thrown him into the Hunter Pence trade as an inducement for Houston to throw in an additional utility infielder. Posted by: bay_area_phan | Saturday, December 13, 2014 at 12:55 PM This would be really funny if it didn't have a sickening ring of truth about it....
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...Halladay crumbling so quickly and essentially being a worthless starting pitcher after '11 had a far bigger impact on this club's fortunes than Howard. Also not being able to trade aging veterans and hitting on a single prospect from either the Lee/Pence trades. If they had gotten one solid player out of each, this team wouldn't be quite behind the eight ball right now. Posted by: MG | Friday, December 12, 2014 at 03:34 PM Wow. Why did I think Roy Halladay was Nolan Ryan; able to toss a no-hitter well into his 40s? Seeing him so gassed on that hot day in Chicago was really creepy. MG may have uncovered the proverbial 800 lb. gorilla in the room.
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From the NY Times: Dodgers’ Transformation Started With Front Office His general manager, Farhan Zaidi, was Billy Beane’s assistant in Oakland until going to the Dodgers in November... I've been beating the Zaidi drum for ages - what better FO talent to direct a ground-up rebuild of a team with money? Surely - after the dead money purge has been completed - the Phils' operating budget exceeds Oakland's. Maybe my zeal for Gillick is misplaced. Surely Zaidi - a younger man who's worked side by side with Beane knows all there is to know about Sabre-smart baseball. And he's snagged by the bleepin' Dodgers. The rebuild has begun. Second-guessing myself, I hope like hell Gillick's up to the task. If he even has authority. God, is this team a mess.
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Fata - much appreciated! Go Phils. Sooner than later! Hope springs eternal...
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This may or may not make sense. However, I just realized Jimmy Rollins was my favorite Phillie. Jimmy Rollins took 110 years of largely futile baseball and brought us all into the light. After establishing himself as a premier NL shortstop - God forbid, I bring this up, 'cause it was part of the brilliance of Gillick's Abreu-centric dump - Jimmy became the heart and soul of the winning attitude that defined the Philadelphia Phillies. Could Chase Utley have "jump-started" that '05 team - just missing a WC spot - into the dynamo evolving into the '08 Champions? Could Ryan Howard have, with all his thunderous lumber? Could Cole Hamels have; with his reserve; his sense of place? I don't believe any of those players could perform what Jimmy did from 2006 on. Who else had the righteous arrogance? The incredible swagger? The fearless plod into the media nuthouse to announce in '07: "We're the team to beat."? Jimmy Rollins was incredibly good at baseball. What broke him out from the pack was his supreme confidence; his sense of the pulse of the game he played. What the hell am I talking about, you might be saying? it's called leadership, friends. Jimmy had it; with his charm, charisma and incandescent smile he used it; and when he knew that it made not a whit of difference, he moved on. God bless James Calvin Rollins.
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Thank the dear Lord for locked down handles!! Post more, GTown... it is a lot of fun here since the site's locked down. BTW, your Twitter site is pretty good - share some of it here! Back to reality. TGP nearly had a collective meltdown when rumors of the Utley trade were hot. I had to listen a bit to WIP today as I was glued to a set of screens that block general internet access. The JRoll audio highlights were priceless - Harry Kalas' call of Rollins first ML hit (a triple!) gave me chills.
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Can NEPP remember how to unravel the endless italics? There's a trick to that - must be traded exclusively by webmasters...
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...3 WAR per 600 PAs sounds good except that the only catchers who ever get anywhere remotely close to 600 PAs in a season are the few like Buster Posey, who hit well enough to move to 1st base or DH on their many rest days. That's kinda what I mean by moving the needle. Most catchers don't play enough, or hit enough, to make significant impacts.... Posted by: bay_area_phan | Tuesday, December 09, 2014 at 05:59 PM if this is true - and I can't prove it's not - the WAR cited by b_a_p is a flawed statistic. WAR should compensate for the players' position as well as home field. We note that Fangraphs does compensate for both. From Wiki: Fangraphs The Fangraphs formula for position players involves offense, defense, and base running. These are measured using weighted Runs Above Average, Ultimate zone rating (UZR), and Ultimate base running (UBR), respectively. These values are adjusted using park factors, and a positional adjustment is applied, resulting in a player's "value added above league average". To this is added a scaled value to reflect the player's value compared to a replacement-level player, which is assumed to be 20 runs below average per 600 plate appearances. All four values are measured in runs. fWAR = wRAA + UZR + Position + \tfrac{20}{600}*PA The positional adjustment is a value dependent on the players position: +12.5 for a catcher, −12.5 for a first baseman, +2.5 for a second or third baseman, +7.5 for a shortstop, −7.5 for a left fielder, +2.5 for a center fielder, −7.5 for a right fielder, and −17.5 for a designated hitter. These values are scaled to the number of games played by the player at each position. Strange there does not appear to be a compensatory factor in bWAR arising from a player's fielding position or home park (also taken from Wiki). It was my understanding bWAR and fWAR had reconciled their differences. Someone please correct me if my spin on bWAR is incorrect.
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... My prediction is that he'll get a minor league contract or, at most, the type of one-year, $2.5M deal that the Phillies gave to Jerome Williams. Posted by: bay_area_phan | Friday, December 05, 2014 at 12:30 PM Guess where KK signs? Just guess - could it be to a team suffocated by dead money and chaos in the FO; unable to assemble a workable, let alone a sound rotation? If Hamels is traded and Lee's shot they'll need warm bodies to take the ball. Sans the mild concussion and other small injury issues, KK always shows up. Subject to the "settling in" of the FO with a coherent plan - of course, after cleaning house - if KK is in a jam, and he needs a quick fix, 1-year, $2mm with the Phillies with incentives. Book it. Damn, this is depressing!
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CT: ...If Lee comes back and is healthy, he can replace Hamels as our ace. That's a huge "if" though, and I'd bet on less - not more - Lee than the 13 starts we got last year.... appears now to apply solely to the '15 trading deadline. I'm sure Lee's just dying to hop on with a winner - the sooner the better. Unless there are stipulations to the Comcast contract arising from wins = $$$, we're screwed. I agree with MG that even '17 might not be the breakout year. I hope like hell that the FO gets it together, soon because the draft is a vital part of this team's revival. The Marlins and Astros "took their medicine" and now look like they might compete sooner than later. If Jose Fernandez gets better and the rest of the Marlins pitching continues to evolve, I like the Marlins a lot as early as next year. if only we did not "double down" in '14, we'd be that much closer to a young, hungry team. Bummer.
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The front office's capacity for purposely misleading their fans should not be underestimated. Monty is absolutely obsessed with the team's public image -- as he made clear in that Philly Magazine article a few years ago. And Ed Wade was the Phillies' Director of PR before he became GM - which is precisely why Monty likes him so much. Remember, too, that the Phillies' owners are like the mafia when it comes to secrecy; nothing is leaked to the media unless the owners want it to be leaked. In other words, every leak to the media is coming from the top and they're all calculated to make the front office look like it's taking bold steps to improve the team. It's all a bunch of total BS. I tried to post something similar yesterday evening, but it got dumped into the ether. I really wish they'd upgrade this ancient blog format - you can still do preview/corrections in single-threaded posts. Regardless, it's clear the front office is a mess. It's my guess that Monty's made it clear he's contractually in charge of the limited partnership and what he says, goes - hence the squelching of the Howard release talk. Further, Tomas was waaay too rich for Monty's blood. That kind of dough spent on a player without a single ML RBI probably seemed absurd. Amaro, knowing where his bread is buttered, was in lock step. Lousy defense? A reason not to sign a big bat? HA HA. Explain Delmon Young, Mr. Amaro! What's worse, I'm sure John S. Middleton has not dumped his wish to either dissolve the partnership or wrest control away from Monty, once and for all. Hence, would Middleton agree to anything sensible - such as a shorter, more profitable Tomas deal? No, because if acquiring Tomas is successful, it solidifies Monty's stranglehold on the team. Finally, anyone note how Pat Gillick has gone silent? Another chilling piece of evidence the "old guard" - the Monty/Amaro axis - is again firmly in charge. Damn, this is one h8ll of a conundrum. A FO in chaos, and an immediate need to rebuild - and rebuild smart. IMHO, things were looking up – a lot of good things were said, anyway – when Gillick spoke, Now, not so much. Happy Thanksgiving!
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Mike Schmidt’s one smart guy: Schmidt: Stanton's contract too rich, too early? Unless this was ghost-written – and it’s written like he talks, so that’s not likely – he put’s a nice spin on the Stanton deal. The Phillies need about a dozen more Mike Schmidts. He’s a special player – remaining completely relevant after a historic career and brutally honest - quite a rare combination.
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Phillie: Good points - based on the evil Jeffrey Loria's inactions and overall malfeasance. However, Stark has unequivocally stated: ...They have two really bright, personable baseball men running the operation, in Michael Hill and Dan Jennings.... Why would such a preeminent baseball journalist care to mention this? It's my guess that Loria's looking to punk the NL East once again - this year or next, max. Loria's an evil SOB. And crazy like a fox who's survived a dozen fox-hunts.
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Hey, to anyone who called the former cu_fbl poster a jackass for admiring the Marlins team model – maybe take a gander a former Phils’ phantic Jayson Stark ESPN article/blog post: Stanton's megadeal makes perfect sense To wit: …He clearly was told that at some point in the next three to six years, the Marlins will have a sweet new TV deal and a lot more revenue to pay for talent in the back end of the contract -- but they needed to free up dollars if they were going to spend on the front end. And he still responded by asking: "Where do I sign?" So now he's put up on his end. It's time for the Marlins to put up on their end. He invested in them. Now they'd better invest in him, and the team around him. Or they don't deserve to have a franchise. Period. Never in Marlins history have they been better positioned to operate like a real baseball franchise than they are right now. They have the ballpark. They have the young talent base. They have two really bright, personable baseball men running the operation, in Michael Hill and Dan Jennings. They have a legit, charismatic 22-year-old ace to front the rotation, in Jose Fernandez, once he returns from Tommy John rehab in midseason. And now they have Giancarlo Stanton -- wrapped up, signed up and fully engaged in doing what he can to make them great…. All you geniuses who eviscerated the former poster - have the courage of your convictions and email Jayson and tell him what an ass he is. The Phillies are 5 years away from being a year away.
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...Batjis? We don neet no steenkin' batjis... Give us your moaney! All at once a terrifying yet hysterical part of one of Bogey's greatest movies. Not even 5' 10", he could command a black and white screen like no one else. Back to baseball. If we are again subject to the world of baseball as viewed by David Montgomery - as reported by Zolecki? - all the learned baseball prose here is garbage. Who knows what might happen. At least with Gillick at the helm - as not less than president of baseball operations - we had someone who steered several ships into championship ports. With Mr. Montgomery: again, who knows what is his pleasure? It damn sure has not been winning baseball since the hapless Ryan Howard went down in 2011. That seems like a dozen years ago.
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***above interview heard on the deathstar WIP***
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It's astonishing how Truth Injection and clout belittle Gillick. What is not to like? Only a stupid person does not adopt to changing market conditions - it's my guess Gillick's not stupid, and has studied organizational rebuilds at length. The proof's in the pudding, feller's. Jim Salisbury stated Gillick was clearly in charge at the GM meetings - to quote: ...he had a spring is his step... We'll see how this rolls. Loser buys the drinks.
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...If they are truly looking to enter rebuilding mode, Hamels needs to go while his value is at its peak. Hemming and hawing about finding the right deal because the Phils didn't need to trade him -- like was done with Cliff Lee -- just invites the disaster that befell Lee. This isn't to say that Hamels needs to go for a bag of golfballs or the haul from the Bobby Abreu trade. Merely that, if the Phils can find an acceptable haul or can make it happen by kicking in more money than would otherwise be prudent, they should take it rather than punting to the trade deadline or next off-season. Juums - can't say it better. Problem is, bad teams don't need Hamels; the "best" bad teams must keep their best prospects. Alternatively, why would a really good team want Hamels; except, perhaps at the ’15 deadline? The Phillies have to wait this one out. Hey The Truth Injection - calm down. I could give a rat's a$$ about what Gillick's prior team rebuild performance was. I - in concert with MG - honestly believe he's running the show now. Anyone who was an integral part of three WS winners ain't stupid. Pat Gillick - if he's in charge, and there's no concrete evidence of that - will figure out how to fix the Phillies. Hell, it's my guess that men in their late 70's still retain their smarts and are successful. Just ask Carl Icon - a man in his 80s - or Oklahoma oilman Harold Hamm. Despite one of the biggest divorce settlements in history, it's my guess Mr. Hamm's cash flow is still pretty good. You could look it up. Geesh.
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Dickie - can't forget: SPEND DODGER DOLLARS Really, really odd - he did a number on the html post size limit right before he was banned. Hundreds and hundreds of lines of what appeared to be random text. Whew. Sure is quiet around here! Too bad there's no hard evidence John S. Middleton is in charge and going to do something? anything? to shake up the "status quo".
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RR67, is the difference between the Dodgers and the Giants in the postseason the difference between Clayton Kershaw and Madison Bumgarner? Posted by: awh™ | Thursday, October 30, 2014 at 11:46 AM Probably awh™. However, i'm scuffling with work and studying for a professional registration test, so I missed 95+% of all the Dodger playoff games. I did buy into the Bumgarner hype. But in this case (Game 7), there might be something to it. Ah yes, to be young, left-handed and to possess a 92 mph fastball (after what, 300 pitches in 3 games?) that comes out of Lord knows where. To see the KC batters slobber all over his high heat meant (to me, anyway) Bumgarner had real deception in his motion? pitches? Amazing stuff. BTW, I know TGP's layout is really hard to follow. However, it can be done, and prevents the use of the <'i><'ul> indent/italic syntax to prove who you're talking to. The Phils need a ground-up rebuild and 5 consecutive 95-win seasons so we can have a better Beerleaguer. Is that too much to ask?
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I really, really hate the San Francisco Giants - how could I not - I'm a Phillies fan! That said, Madison Bumgarner is a flat out effin' stud. What an arm; what a sense of "staying in the moment". I have not seen a pitcher that unflappable; maybe ever. In the words of a Seinfeld character: "He's Batman". Bumgarner is 25 years old and left-handed. Leftys develop late (gulp!). Hard to believe how good he could be; next year, the following year and 10 years after that. Wow.
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Also, I had no idea that RR67 was our old C_F. Or maybe I did but forgot? Am I alone in this? Posted by: Phillibuster | Monday, October 27, 2014 at 01:01 AM Philli - true - I worked with JW and whomever to have my old handle banished. It was spoofed unrelentingly, with countless explicit homosexual porn references. What's creepy is the lengths the troll went to use that handle as an alias at TypePad. My last efforts to protect the banished handle using TypePad were useless. Shortly thereafter, TypePad was blitzed with DDOS attacks. Creepy stuff. Don't bother using that handle under any circumstances - as far as I know, it's banished. See my occasional thoughts under my old handle I used here at The Good Phight - a very sabre-centric site with a highly rigorous anti-harrasmsent policy. It's enforced, too. My feeble brain links my handle here with a Rally Red '67 Corvette coupe as an avatar at TGP. Amazing how that GM paint color matches Phillies red.
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