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Maurits Pino
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Absence of BS detectors? Some evidence from a totally different source: Sacha Baron Cohen doesn't get much traction from liberals but the grifter class is ready to say just about anything on a suggestion of someone supposedly on their side.
Yes, Republicans Are or Are Pretending to Be Easily Grifted Morons: The Theory of Relativity: Is It Time to "Teach the Controversy"?: Hoisted from Seven Years Ago
It is now 24 years since my default hypothesis became that that the conservative wing of the Republican Party is composed exclusively of people who have completely disabled their bullshit detectors, and were, as a result, easily-grifted morons. That default hypothesis has served me very well. O...
Nice post. Two questions/observations.
In the US south, slave owners, especially ones owning a small number, and their slaves would live in very close proximity day in day out. The sympathy and justice argument line didn't work very well there.
On work place separation, I guess you're right. And with respect to the cleaner, this is often an outsourced job who disappears in the course of the morning and won't join the office party.
But I have the impression that my grammar school (early '80s) was a lot more heterogenuous that my father's ('50s) and our universities as well.
On class separation
The Times obituary of Lord Carrington says: More commonly, he found himself sleeping in a hole beneath his tank with his four crew who came from poor backgrounds and had suffered hardship during the pre-war years. The experience shaped his politics, he said later. “You could not have got a fine...
England, Croatia, Belgium, France. Is Eu-membership a necessary condition for making it to the semi finals?
What Southgate teaches us
Whatever happens next, this has been a great World Cup for Gareth Southgate. What does this tell us? The first thing is that, as William Goldman said, nobody knows anything. When Southgate was appointed, the reaction was underwhelming. Nobody said “this guy will take us to our best World Cup per...
Totally off-topic: will you devote a blogpost to the Finnish basic income experiment? Thanks!
The media closed shop
I suspect that Owen Jones gets even more abuse when he’s right than when he’s wrong. So it has been with his claim that national newspapers and broadcasters are “full of people who made it because of connections and/or personal background rather than merit.” This is true. As he points out, there...
Trevor Noah has a nice take on this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4VhgRttiS7M
The highlight is when TN reminds Peter Cvjetanovic, a white supremacist participant in the Charlottesville rally, that with his last name, "it's fun hanging out with Nazis now, but you're up in round two, my friend".
"White Ethnicists" and Boston in the 1980s: Note to Self:
**Note to Self**: _"White Ethnicists" and Boston in the 1980s_: Whenever I look at pictures of America’s “white ethnicists“ (one thing they certainly ain’t is American nationalists) on parade, from the openly neo-Nazi to the more "genteel" _Atlantic Monthly_ “the Democrats triggered this by pus...
Facebook and other large private players can effectively play censor. A large number of private players coordinating their censorship can do the same. Under McCarthyism very few people were censored or prosecuted by the state, many were forced to stay silent or lost their jobs through coordinated private efforts.
The free speech dilemma
What role should social pressure play in the policing of free speech? Two things I’ve seen recently pose this question. One is the racist harassment of Rufaro Chisango at Nottingham Trent University. I like to think that in better places and times those racist twats would have been swiftly suppr...
Smacklet
In Vox (https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/trump-administration-policymaking-expertise-by-j--bradford-delong-2017-11): "... John Taylor was a leading contender. Taylor is known for having developed his own guideline (the “Taylor rule”) for how central banks should set interest rates."
I thought the Taylor rule was first of all a description of how the Fed (and other central banks) approximately set rates. That it would be a good idea to follow Taylor's equation - assuming it doesn't come up with a negative number - is chapter two.
Monday Smackdown Tickler: I Am Begging...
I am begging for links to _high quality_ smackdowns of arguments that I have made... If I never change my mind because of evidence, I never get any smarter. So, please, send 'em along. I want to get smarter. And I do very much want to get smarter. I _could_ always use Monday's "Smackdown" featu...
Nice to draw the distinction between the domestic and the international approaches of the US. Of course on the domestic side, with slogans like "race mixing is communism" communism hasn't failed so badly; the war against trade unions went better; and, with the US rates of religiosity, equating communism with atheism was a victory against communism as well.
But Chris' interest was, I believe, on the international side. Was the west really afraid? Was there a justification?
Some points in addition to the ones mentioned above:
1957, Sputnik, suggested to many people that the Russians were capable of vast technological improvements.
Well into the 1980s NATO officials feared a Russian invasion ("48 hours to the Rine") and CIA estimates of Russian and WP GDP were enormous. Hilarious? Sure. Biases to enhance their own importance? Sure. But nevertheless.
Capitalist triumphalism: a brief history
Ken Burns’ history of the Vietnam war is getting many plaudits. What’s not been noted about it, though, is that it reminds us of something we’ve forgotten – that the victory of capitalism over communism was not generally regarded as inevitable at the time. The idea that it was owes more to the h...
"What can be done to help young people buy them?" Unless you take that question literally and design policies that would badly hurt the rest of the population, the main solution is to work on the housing stock - build more, even if that takes a while. If every young family should have its own decent house or apartment, the housing stock should be adjusted, not the number of families or the standard of what amounts to a decent dwelling.
Legislation to discourage houses left empty and to discourage people owning and living in multiple houses may help a bit as well (if it's crucial that young people buy rtaher than let, then for others to own many houses should be discouraged).
On cutting house prices
Ian Mulheirn, echoing Kate Barker, writes: It is very unlikely that the perennial wish of housing commentators to simply ‘build more houses’ will make any meaningful dent in prices. Many people think this is counter-intuitive, so I’ll try to explain why it’s not. It’s because flows of supply a...
(2) Access to capital
Partnerships seem to work most often in businesses that require little capital – the law firms etc. that require little more than office space.
Perhaps all sorts of capital market developments will benefit worker owned organisations – the availability for lease (in all sorts of variations) many types of capital equipment seems to increase which provides a solution of sorts.
But the question remains why it's difficult for partnerships/worker owned businesses to have access to capital markets. Is the legal environment inadequate (for them)? Are banks reluctant because of the unusual legal set up?
For a genuine worker owned organisation, it's of course very bad if new capital can be raised only from its workers as they shouldn't expose their life savings as well as their salaries to the same shocks.
(maybe this is a key reason that workers aren't that keen on being co-owners despite all the alleged advantages; of course, there's something to be said for not being too implicated in your work in the first place).
"the ones that don't fail, sell out": think of Goldman Sachs - now that was a great idea for the last generation of partners. Not so sure if it was for the company.
Newt troubles
Why has the UK suffered weak economic growth for years? Is it because falling profits have choked off investment? Is it because there’s a dearth of good innovations? Or because of fiscal austerity? Or because the Bank of England has failed to target money GDP growth? Or because bosses are lazy m...
Dear Caradog,
I hope to reply with a series of short posts.
First on lawyers and doctors (and university faculties and some engineering,a ccountancy etc firms). Yes, they are hierchical but they are organisations where decisions are made by people who spend a substantial part of their time doing the company's work and who have done so for easily a decade. That's Chris' Hayekian argument for worker control.
The people making decisions aren't the types who've never operated the machine and have their noses up in the air for the work. Of course, this doesn't make them nice & great egalitarian employers.
BTW, a quick look at the numbers: Allan & Overy, Clifford Chance and Freshfields have around to 500, 400 and 400 partners respectively (concluded from https://www.thelawyer.com/issues/online-july-2014/201314-financials-a-decade-in-figures-at-the-magic-circle/); from their websites or wikipedia, 2800 lawyers, 3300 lawyers, 1660 associates/4900 employees respectively. Compare that to Walmart or Shell or VW ...
Newt troubles
Why has the UK suffered weak economic growth for years? Is it because falling profits have choked off investment? Is it because there’s a dearth of good innovations? Or because of fiscal austerity? Or because the Bank of England has failed to target money GDP growth? Or because bosses are lazy m...
Chris doesn’t defend himself particularly well against Caradog’s charge.
Why doesn’t Chris start a worker run / worker owned company?
To start with, there are some worker owned companies of a substantial scale: John Lewis in the UK, Coop Norden in Scandinavia and Mondragon in Spain are 10bn turnover companies owned by their employees. And there are many legal and medical partnerships are as well (although typically only some of the employees are owners, others aren’t). So it is possible.
But there are lots of difficulties:
The legal setting is just not very favourable although it’s different from one country to another (you see the same with cooperatives that are far more prevalent in some countries than others (also between different traditionally capitalist countries)).
Capital providers are reluctant both because they’re not used to this and because of the legal problems.
Cjcjc mentioned here that no worker run place would fire its employees. Well, law firms do get rid of partners. But the problem is more, as you can show in a simple model, that worker run firms have a big incentive to hire too few workers for a given capital stock (compared to a profit max firm; which is in itself perhaps an argument against worker run companies – in any case, this was a big problem in Yugoslavia where this was supposed to be the institutional set up).
Newt troubles
Why has the UK suffered weak economic growth for years? Is it because falling profits have choked off investment? Is it because there’s a dearth of good innovations? Or because of fiscal austerity? Or because the Bank of England has failed to target money GDP growth? Or because bosses are lazy m...
It's nice to be reminded of Red Plenty in this and other posts it was a really interesting and unusual book.
Maybe Davies is a bit negative about the hopes of some of the red mathematicians but there's something that doesn't work at all with his review. High growth of Singapore since the 1950's and of China (since the 1980's) goes hand in hand with extremely high saving rates via a mechanism that is easy to understand in terms of Solow (1956?) so "because the economic growth and the repression of domestic consumption were the same thing" is not a valid complaint, IMO: yes, saving rates >50% mean a lot of consumption is postponed but is it consistent with enormous gdp/capita growth for decades and decades so that may well be worth it.
Weekend Reading: Daniel Davies (2012): New Ideas From Dead Political Systems
**Daniel Davies** (2012): _[New Ideas From Dead Political Systems][]_: >Back in the days before I had realised that a guy who takes five years to deliver a simple book review probably ought to rein in the ambition a bit when it comes to larger-scale projects, I occasionally pitched an idea to p...
The Economist: The consent of the governed the hole at the heart of economics (http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2016/11/consent-governed?fsrc=rss) makes some observation on the importance of institutions and norms and how important "it just isn't done is". In the very middle of the article, the follwoing: "We were all tying ourselves in knots working out whether the multiplier on infrastructure spending was 0.7 or 1.2 or 2.5, when what we ought to have been asking was: what course of action is most likely to avert a crisis of institutional legitimacy that will leave everyone much worse off". Is the entire article an argument against a large stimulus in the depth of the crisis?
Links for the Week of November 27, 2016
**Most-Recent Must-Reads:** * **Ben Bernanke**: _[Sebastian Mallaby’s Biography of Alan Greenspan][]_: "Mallaby’s argument that Greenspan should have known that a tighter monetary policy was appropriate in 2004-2005 (if that was in fact the case!) strains credulity... (W) * **Daniel Nexon**: _[Sc...
"Slaughter the Fatted Calf!" is that a biblical reference or a reference to Maria Comella's former boss?
**Live from the Republicans' Self-Made Gehenna**:...
**Live from the Republicans' Self-Made Gehenna**: In which we welcome Lost Sheep Maria Comella home! Slaughter the Fatted Calf!: **Claude Brodesser-Akner**: _[Former Top Christie Aide: I'm Voting for Clinton over Trump][]_: >TRENTON — One of Gov. Chris Christie's most trusted and closest former...
Shouldn't there be jokes out there referring to makers and takers?
The Trump Campaign Is Now Claiming That Michelle Obama Plagiarized Twilight Sparkle!
**Live from the Cleveland Dumpster Fire:** **Melania Trump:** "We want our children in this nation to know that the only limit to your achievements is the strength of your dreams and your willingness to work for them…" **Michelle Obama:** "We want our children—and all children in this nation—to k...
Re John Quiggin: Reaping the Whirlwind - Quiggin argues that Brexit is a reaction against neoliberal policies. His reasoning makes a lot of sense but there are at least two problems with it: Tories have denounced the EU for long as a sclerotic, non-innovative, too much state dependent if not down right socialistic etc etc institution (ie not neoliberal enough); and among Tory-voters the % of brexit voters is higher than among Labour-voters (*) The social-democratically inclined Scots preferred to remain while the more pro-market English voted out.
(the majority of Londoners, for Bremain, fit Quiggin's story better)
(*) Lord Ashcroft polls: 58% of those who voted Tory in 2015 voted for brexit now; for UKIP 96% (surprise); Labour and SNP voters preferred bremain (63%, 64%), as did the LibDems(70%) and the not exactly neoliberal Greens (75%).
Links for the Week of July 3, 2016
**Most-Recent Must-Reads:** * **Ryan Avent**: [Everything Is Not OK](http://equitablegrowth.org/?p=27735) * **Kevin O'Rourke**: [Markets and States are Complements](http://equitablegrowth.org/?p=27732) * **Laurence Silberman**: [West Virginia Sues Federal Government for Trusting West Virginia](ht...
Just read that Osborne argued that Brexit would cause a drop in housing prices in the UK. Perhaps so. But he uses it as an argument to stay in.
The trouble with the Brexit debate
How should the Brexit debate be structured, and presented in the media? Two things I’ve seen today pose this question: Vote Leave’s anger at ITV inviting Nigel Farage to debate against David Cameron; and the letter from 196 economists in favour of Remain. These raise two general issues, which I’...
As a criticism of the neoclassical theory, the football comparison makes little sense, IMO.
W=MP because a price taker in the labour and goods market expands the workforce and production until the condition holds (or reduces it until ...). With team size fixed (at least: the number of players in the field) that doesn't work very well.
Limits of marginal productivity theory
It’s fitting that Mervyn King should have been a director at Aston Villa – because that job, like his previous one, has given him a close-up view of the failure of mainstream economics. I’m referring to the idea that wages equal marginal product. Aston Villa’s wage bill this season was higher t...
Grift, grifter, griftest?
**Live from the Roasterie:** Back in 2011 I was...
**Live from the Roasterie:** Back in 2011 I was uncertain as to whether Rex Sinquefield was a con artist or a mark, a grifter or a grifter. It seems clear now what he has chosen to be: a con artist and a grifter. I certainly see none of the enthusiastically-promised and much-claimed boost in Kans...
The problem doesn't exist, it can't be dealt with, it would be too costly to deal with it. Straight out of The Rhetoric of Reaction: Perversity, Futility, Jeopardy - Albert Hirschman.
**Must-Read:** That Miles Corak describes the...
**Must-Read:** That Miles Corak describes the three aspects of rising-inequality denial as "a common storyline" is a measure of who completely divorced from reality even so-called policy professionals in the right-of-center echo chamber have become. Sensible technocratic dialogue is thus going to...
Michael Burda wrote "It is disingenuous to expect individual sovereign countries to engage in aggregate demand policy for the benefit of others". Actually, the European treaties expect Members States to do just that, i.e. to engage in economic policies for the whole of the EU. (Article 121 TFEU): "1. Member States shall regard their economic policies as a matter of common concern and shall coordinate them within the Council, in accordance with the provisions of Article 120."
By emphasising the openness of Germany and other Member States, he suggests that multipliers are small. But if you look at imports plus exports of the eurozone (just over 50% of GDP, much lower than for Germany), eurozone-wide multipliers are not as weak and his argument against aggregate demand policy loses most of its strength.
Links for the Week of August 31, 2015
**Links:** * Yael T. Abouhalkah**: [Woeful new jobs figures should embarrass Govs. Sam Brownback and Jay Nixon](http://www.kansascity.com/opinion/opn-columns-blogs/yael-t-abouhalkah/article28005712.html) * **Yuriy Gorodnichenko**: Infrequent but Long-Lived Zero-Bound Episodes and the Optimal Ra...
Nice post!
"I don't like this word "credibility" because it's horribly ambiguous. It can mean four things."
1) "Credible" can be time consistent. But for 2), 3) and 4) you refer to "not credible", it seems (not credible because vague, bad or unacceptable to the WMB).
That fourth use of not credible should of course be "not serious" - always using quotation marks and ideally referring to Krugman.
The C-word
One of the more irritating memes of the Labour leadership election has been the use of the word "credible". For example, Gordon Brown says "the best way of realising our high ideals is to show that we have an alternative in government that is credible." Yvette Cooper says: "We have to have a rad...
CD: there's more wisdom in gardening than in politics.
President: "Mr. Gardner, do you agree with Ben, or do you think that we can stimulate growth through temporary incentives?"
"As long as the roots are not severed, all is well. And all will be well in the garden"
The Cushnie principle
There is, understandably, a backlash against the government's proposal that women who want to claim tax credits for a third child must prove they have been raped. For me, this highlights the importance of the John Cushnie principle. Mr Cushnie was a star of Gardeners' Question Time whose reply t...
"...." Keynes wrote in 1931, after the boom years of the 1920s had given way to the Great Depression. Except that in Keynes' Britain, the twenties had not been boom years with unemployment >6% for every year since 1921.
Why Small Booms Can Cause Big Busts
[Over at Project Syndicate](http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/why-small-booms-cause-big-busts-by-j--bradford-delong-2015-06): As bubbles go, it was not a very big one. From 2002 to 2006, the share of the American economy devoted to residential construction rose by 1.2 percentage points ...
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