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pantaraxia: Will Israel "sanction" Brazil? Laughable. I suspect the Chinese would be happy to sell Brazil military equipment.
Natanyahu vs the Goyim
I am struck by the unrelenting hostility of the present Israeli government to Sweden and the UN. Can the rest of us be far behind? I would like someone to write on this. Volunteers? pl
johnf: The Israel Lobby was/is the master of small stakes. The amount we give to Israel is miniscule when you consider the overall size of the USG's budget. And Israel had no opposition in Congress. (Has any American politician ever lost a race for being anti-Palestinian?) So we have a committed minority of Jewish and Christian Americans who "care" about Israel and.....what? Arab Americans who are divided and give little money to political campaigns? No wonder Israel was able to push on that open door. It was a one-sided fight over small stakes.
Today, the stakes are different. Israel asks us to do dangerous and expensive things--like go to war with Iran. The Israel Lobby raised the stakes too high for the Indifferent Majority to just mindlessly go along. It's one thing to bum a dollar off a friend. But try borrowing $10,000....
Natanyahu vs the Goyim
I am struck by the unrelenting hostility of the present Israeli government to Sweden and the UN. Can the rest of us be far behind? I would like someone to write on this. Volunteers? pl
Barish: Yes, but were the Turks treating Al-Nusra fighters in Israeli hospitals? Talk about the Israeli pot calling the Turkish kettle black.
Natanyahu vs the Goyim
I am struck by the unrelenting hostility of the present Israeli government to Sweden and the UN. Can the rest of us be far behind? I would like someone to write on this. Volunteers? pl
PB: Thanks for another wonderful post.
I wonder if anyone has any thoughts about (1) Syria's manpower reserve and how that number will (possibly) increase with more victories; (2) does Assad have any "day after" plans with Russia and China and any idea of what type of rebuilding Syria needs/can accomplish on 2-3 year timeline; and (3) what type of political reorganization will come with an Assad victory. Frankly, a lot of Syrian families have lost children fighting for the government and you would expect would envision benefits to being an SAA veteran in a post-rebellion Syria. And what about the rebels and their families?
I have no answers to any of these questions.
SYRIA SITREP: Rebel Defences Crumbling In Latakia Province
By Patrick BAHZAD It happened over the weekend. SST had predicted this outcome a while ago, but until it materialized on the ground, our forecast seemed to the Borgist preachers like the distant proposition of a bunch of ex-military guys who couldn't see the big picture. Reality is a bitch t...
Cynic: So much better for the whole world, actually.
Fill in the [many] blanks. A few more blanks....1/29/16
What's going on here? This morning's (1/26/16) NYTimes has an editorial reporting that the U.S. and some European allies are about to take on ISIS in Libyia. And yes, (even!) the Times is suspicious. Quoting General Joseph Dunford, head of the joint chiefs, the editorial reports: "that mili...
Thomas: Compared to the Saudis, Kaiser Wilhelm II was a foreign policy genius.
SYRIA SITREP: Rebel Defences Crumbling In Latakia Province
By Patrick BAHZAD It happened over the weekend. SST had predicted this outcome a while ago, but until it materialized on the ground, our forecast seemed to the Borgist preachers like the distant proposition of a bunch of ex-military guys who couldn't see the big picture. Reality is a bitch t...
TTG: And when the happens, Mike "common touch" Bloomberg will enter the race and "save" us from Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump?
To my mind, both Trump and Sanders share one very attractive quality: They terrify the Davos Crowd.
Clinton has serious criminal exposure for the E-mail caper.
"In one e-mail, Clinton pressured Sullivan to declassify cabled remarks by a foreign leader. “Just e-mail it,” Clinton snapped, to which Sullivan replied: “Trust me, I share your exasperation. But until ops converts it to the unclassified e-mail system, there is no physical way for me to e-m...
"Biden stands in the wings, 'licking his chops' in anticipation of fulfilment of his life long dream. PL
Armed of course with a new Neil Kinnock speech and a bust of Wolfe Tone for the Oval.
Clinton has serious criminal exposure for the E-mail caper.
"In one e-mail, Clinton pressured Sullivan to declassify cabled remarks by a foreign leader. “Just e-mail it,” Clinton snapped, to which Sullivan replied: “Trust me, I share your exasperation. But until ops converts it to the unclassified e-mail system, there is no physical way for me to e-m...
Trey, this article quickly synopsizes the Borg's worldview. See http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2016/01/alexander-litvinenko-russia-putin/425157/#article-comments
The basic attitude is: We have a foreign policy. Our opponents just bully others.
"Syria opposition rules out talks before end to Russian air raids" Reuters
"In a barely veiled swipe at one of the Middle East’s leading powers, the United Nations’ special envoy for Syria accused Saudi Arabia of undermining his efforts to bring a broad slate of Syrian opposition groups to upcoming peace talks designed to end Syria’s brutal civil war. In his confid...
Col: Do you think Putin is disappointed by this? Gives him and his allies a few more weeks to move against Aleppo and Idlib.
"Syria opposition rules out talks before end to Russian air raids" Reuters
"In a barely veiled swipe at one of the Middle East’s leading powers, the United Nations’ special envoy for Syria accused Saudi Arabia of undermining his efforts to bring a broad slate of Syrian opposition groups to upcoming peace talks designed to end Syria’s brutal civil war. In his confid...
Col: Congratulations. Proving that hard-hearted empaths have a large audience. Although I think the more precise term should be "one who sees the world as it actually is not just as one wishes it to be."
13 million lifetime views for SST
Count'em. pl
PB: Any insight into this? See http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/19/world/middleeast/in-surprise-move-bitter-political-rivals-in-lebanon-announce-deal.html?smid=tw-share
Hopefully, a sign of waning Saudi influence.
SYRIA : THE FALLACIES OF THE PERCENTAGE WAR
By Patrick Bahzad (source: IHS Conflict Monitor) The year 2016 has only just begun, but to the Neo-Cons, Neo-Wilsonians and other R2Pers, future developments in Syria already seem pretty certain. The only noticeable exceptions to this unanimous media landscape are the rather refreshing a...
hemeantwell: If the Anti-Assad forces can claim a victory--any victory, even a mythic one--it will still facilitate a negotiated peace.
SYRIA : THE FALLACIES OF THE PERCENTAGE WAR
By Patrick Bahzad (source: IHS Conflict Monitor) The year 2016 has only just begun, but to the Neo-Cons, Neo-Wilsonians and other R2Pers, future developments in Syria already seem pretty certain. The only noticeable exceptions to this unanimous media landscape are the rather refreshing a...
Turks to the rescue. See http://sputniknews.com/middleeast/20160120/1033456296/turkey-jarablus.html
What comes next?
SYRIA : THE FALLACIES OF THE PERCENTAGE WAR
By Patrick Bahzad (source: IHS Conflict Monitor) The year 2016 has only just begun, but to the Neo-Cons, Neo-Wilsonians and other R2Pers, future developments in Syria already seem pretty certain. The only noticeable exceptions to this unanimous media landscape are the rather refreshing a...
Patrick: This will be the last stand. See https://twitter.com/KenRoth/status/689719257874206721
As the rebels collapse, expect to hear of an "emergency" need to protect "civilians" in rebel areas. And by civilians, I mean women, children, and armed rebels.
We will be told that we "failed" Syria just like we "failed" Rwanda.
SYRIA : THE FALLACIES OF THE PERCENTAGE WAR
By Patrick Bahzad (source: IHS Conflict Monitor) The year 2016 has only just begun, but to the Neo-Cons, Neo-Wilsonians and other R2Pers, future developments in Syria already seem pretty certain. The only noticeable exceptions to this unanimous media landscape are the rather refreshing a...
Col: Donald Trump recently tweeted that Iran was going to buy 114 planes from Airbus, but expressed shock that they would not be buying from us.
I guess refusing to sell Iran spare parts for their civilian airliners might just have left a bad aftertaste.
Fortunately, the Israeli market can absorb another $100 billion in Boeing sales, can't it? (Sad Trombone sound.)
The Washpost is trying to escape USG censorship?
"Russia’s military intervention in Syria is finally generating gains on the ground for Syrian government forces, tilting the battlefield in favor of President Bashar al-Assad to such an extent that the Obama administration’s quest for a negotiated settlement to the war suddenly looks a lot le...
Col: At least in Texas, low oil prices means trading high paying energy sector jobs for lower paying jobs elsewhere.
Whether low oil prices will be a "good" thing might depend on how many financial instruments have been linked to the energy sector. We could see a cascade of bond defaults.
"... 12-Year Low and Are Likely to Plummet Further." Time.com
"The world economy is bracing for a glut of oil that could send prices tumbling even further as demand cools while supplies of already-prevalent crude increase as sanctions are lifted on Iran. With demand from a contracting Chinese economy falling and Iran to resume exports, “unless somethi...
BM: And don't forget the Barzani family. Apparently, they understand democracy just like Mahmood Abbas. Once elected, never hold (or recognize) another election.
Open Thread - 19 January 2016
pl
Saudi Arabia sure knows how to deploy the diplomatic firepower: Bahrain, Sudan, Djibouti, and the Comoros Islands. See http://gulfnews.com/news/africa/comoros-becomes-latest-country-to-sever-ties-with-iran-1.1654175
Surrender now, Persians. Surrender now.
Open Thread - 19 January 2016
pl
MM: Hopefully, right after March 1st, when Super Tuesday will mercifully end the candidacy of "No Fly Zone" Christie.
"Syrian endgame could begin with Aleppo" al-monitor
"The give and take over which opposition parties and individuals are represented in the peace talks may in the end be a sideshow for the real trend in Syria, which is the progress of the Syrian army, backed by Russia and Iran, in retaking territory from the Islamic State (IS), Jabhat al-Nus...
PB: Did the Syrian government ever offer the fighters in Madaya a deal like that offered to the fighters in Homs?
"Syrian endgame could begin with Aleppo" al-monitor
"The give and take over which opposition parties and individuals are represented in the peace talks may in the end be a sideshow for the real trend in Syria, which is the progress of the Syrian army, backed by Russia and Iran, in retaking territory from the Islamic State (IS), Jabhat al-Nus...
The Samantha Power indicator, Kenneth Roth edition. See https://twitter.com/KenRoth/status/688910876720672768
So the rebels hold civilians hostage and the Syrian government must lift its siege?
"Syria regime prepares for ‘biggest military operation’ of war in Aleppo" Rudaw
"As fighters in the city dig-in and try to consolidate their positions, those fighting on the regime’s side are cutting off supply lines along seven fronts in a bid to cut-off the eastern part of the city, ahead of the upcoming offensive. The Syrian military and its allied militias have on...
The Samantha Power Indicator is the most accurate measurement of developments in Syria. See https://twitter.com/AmbassadorPower/status/687797231924154369
The "humanitarian concerns" rise in direct proportion to rebel setbacks.
Twilight of the rebels south of Damascus
"In a pivotal step reflecting the changeability of military and political deals in Israel’s neighborhood, Jordan has almost overnight agreed to establish a shared war room with Russia for the concerted conduct of their operations in Syria. This represents an extreme reversal of Amman’s policy...
A new balance of power is arising? See http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/01/11/russia-is-arming-hezbollah-say-two-of-the-group-s-field-commanders.html
Syria After The Destruction of ISIS - By Walrus
While the usual disclaimers apply including the fact that I am no military or political expert, I wonder if it would be useful for SST members to consider what a Syria reborn after the demise of ISIS might decide to become? I also wonder what the Geopolitical fallout of victory over ISIS mig...
Walrus:
1.
Syria After The Destruction of ISIS - By Walrus
While the usual disclaimers apply including the fact that I am no military or political expert, I wonder if it would be useful for SST members to consider what a Syria reborn after the demise of ISIS might decide to become? I also wonder what the Geopolitical fallout of victory over ISIS mig...
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