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Chris, it seems to me that it's a shame that you don't use google scholar ;-) The first link to the Swart (20159 paper is the right one: Have fun!
Toggle Commented Apr 6, 2015 on PIOMAS April 2015 at Arctic Sea Ice
LRC: The weather during the melt saison is for sure a factor for the amount of melting ice. Anyway, it's the elefant in the room? According to this: the AMOC has a big influence on melting. And it's in decline... The "0" in the linked diagram is 18.000 km³, this was the amount of lost seaice in 2010 and 2012 which were (negative) outliner during 1979...2014 for march-september. My tip: september volume 2015 between 4.9 tkm³ ( melting just like 2010) and a bit more than 8.4 t km³ ( melting like 2014).
Toggle Commented Apr 6, 2015 on The Ns are calling the maximum at Arctic Sea Ice
Bill, sorry 4 heart attack! :-) Indeed I used the "T" for 1000 km³. In German ( my native language) it's not unusual to use this big T for thousend :-). And yes, this was a hint to this: , where a scientist used a central figure with an exponential trend... with it you can also show ( by extrapolating into the past) that the arctic was also ice free at about 1935... and nobody was aware of this :-) . Cheers Frank... with the best wishes 4 a long life... without heart attack!
Toggle Commented Apr 5, 2015 on The Ns are calling the maximum at Arctic Sea Ice
The latest PIOMAS- data up to 31st of March 2015: The center is 18 T km³ because the volume-loss between March and September was so big in 2010 and 2012. In the last year we saw a loss of about 15 T km³. So an ice free arctic seems to be very unlikely in 2015.
Toggle Commented Apr 5, 2015 on The Ns are calling the maximum at Arctic Sea Ice
This figure shows the behaviour of the arctic sea ice volume (PIOMAS) as the relative anomaly vs. average of 2000...2013: Maybe it's more clearly presented than the figures in the post.
Toggle Commented Mar 14, 2015 on PIOMAS March 2015 at Arctic Sea Ice
Chris, I don't full agree with you ( weather...). Let's habe a look at the Volume-data from PIOMAS ( monthly) and the trend of the autumn data from 2000 on. . We see a slope of about -0.5 T km³ per year. Anyway, there is a great autocorrelation and so let's analyze the residuals: . The data of 2014 are a 2.4-sigma-event. The seaice-volume of SON is only located in the Arctic ocean, so I thing that something happend beyond weather.
Toggle Commented Dec 14, 2014 on PIOMAS December 2014 at Arctic Sea Ice