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Manuel Transmission
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Mel, Outlander was discussed around here a bit some time ago. We have been slowly inching along with the overall sense that it is really a bodice ripper and sadly around episode 8 or thereabouts, it definitely took on that, ah, flavor.
Toggle Commented 11 hours ago on That Was A Good Day at JustOneMinute
For those of you playing with the stats, WATTSUP has a pretty good post that shows the flu/total deaths for several years and bugs in the process. https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/04/07/coronavirus-correcting-recent-u-s-weekly-death-statistics-for-incomplete-reporting/ It reinforces my bitching about blaming flu for all the deaths swept under the rug. Pay attention to the early comments about some of the European observations.
Toggle Commented yesterday on That Was A Good Day at JustOneMinute
Cathyf @ 4:34. Spot on! I can’t believe how many things I’ve discovered/invented that involved everyone else looking under the lamppost. I’ve used variations of that many times in lectures/seminars. Jimmyk’s comment on analyzing imperfect data sets goes along with that. Re the placebo effect, I am always amazed that the medical crowd has to deal with that. In the racing world, they say: “the bullshit stops when the green flag drops.” There might even be cheating involved, but you never got close to the checkered flag if you weren’t damn close with all the right stuff. So a year or two from now, we’re going to have some Fauci type telling us that some different dose of C/Z would have been better/different? Not impressed.
Toggle Commented 2 days ago on Sunday Morning Open Thread at JustOneMinute
If daddy was still with us, he could have written this: FedEx still operating close to peak internationally, but we’ve slowed severely domestically. Balances out financially, as we’re still “above the line” (reference our last quarterly earnings statement). We’ve pulled 4 “semi-retired” FedEx MD-11s out of the desert and sent them to the Pacific (where I’ve been operating for the past 2 ½ months). Every run we’re flying there (between Honolulu, Sydney, Guangzhou, Osaka, Narita, Singapore, Thailand, Hong Kong, etc…) are maxed out. No one else flying, so all that residual cargo is being directed our way. That being said, every route is nearly empty, and every airport is completely full of parked jets. A couple of examples: Flew from Osaka to Beijing during 1 segment of a trip, and saw only 2 additional aircraft airborne the entire flight. During the time we fly that route (one of the busiest in the world), nearly 100+ additional aircraft are normally airborne. Silence on the radio, from the controllers, etc… most pacific airports have 1 controller that now covers regional approach, tower, and ground… ALL 3 of them. We landed in Beijing and were the only moving aircraft the entire time we taxied in, dropped our cargo, reloaded, and taxied out. Saw 2 other aircraft moving on the ground as we took off. But that was it. Literally 600+ aircraft parked in every square inch of concrete on that airport. Beijing (and most airports like it) are down to 1 runway, with all additional being used as parking lots for aircraft. Very eerie to see it like that. Was lucky enough to have a United deadhead back from Osaka to SFO at the conclusion of one of my runs. Osaka is one of the busiest international “jump-off points” in Japan, and FedEx has a great facility there. From the time I made my way from the FedEx aircraft we landed there, checked in through one of the largest customs facilities I’ve ever seen (at Osaka International), took an inter-airport train to the international terminal, and finally made my way to the only 1 of 6 lounges open to await my flight’s departure (United), I only saw 2 people in the entire airport terminal. TWO. That United flight was on a 787, and Polaris Business Class (which normally holds about 36 people) had 4 of us in it. The entire aircraft had about 40 people total… most were United employees (aircrew and attendants) repositioning back to the United States after their routes had been cancelled. This was United’s last flight between Osaka and SFO for a long while (apparently), and there were many hugs and tears with United personnel, Japan airport folks they knew, etc… And the entire United ground crew lined up in a formation to solute the aircraft as we departed… reminded me of Navy cruises when we were launching aircraft to head back to the beach after 6+ months. Global devastation and economic impacts are very apparent as one travels as much as we do internationally. This is going to take YEARS to recover, and return any semblance of “normalcy” (if that term is even relevant any longer) to many areas all over the globe. Incredible to see the lengths FedEx goes to, to keep us all healthy and protected through this mess. My hats off to our dispatchers, ground managers, and everyone on the team who’s making it happen safely for us all… as regulations and customs requirements literally change day to day… flight by flight.
Toggle Commented 2 days ago on Sunday Morning Open Thread at JustOneMinute
Oh, and BTW, even though my idea is partly snark, I guarandamntee that I could go raise a few mil, develop a device that ends up costing $50k, take ten years to get through the FDA and it would eventually be considered golden by the grandees — and all just something you can do in your kitchen. Pfft!
Toggle Commented 2 days ago on Sunday Morning Open Thread at JustOneMinute
Hey! Never heard anybody dismiss my solution. Soak it in Jane’s Tito’s, nuke it in a microwave. Change my mind.
Toggle Commented 2 days ago on Sunday Morning Open Thread at JustOneMinute
RSE, yeah, I vaguely recall that Bill’s mom was on a board, maybe Red Cross and some IBM bigshot was, too. Back room favor. Paul Allen was the brains, if you give them any credit at all. BTW a cousin of my mom’s lived across the street from Paul when he was a kid and Bill would come over to Paul’s and hang out. I think early HS. The cousin used to get invited to ride with Paul in his 757 down to games Paul’s team was playing (Trailblazers?)
Toggle Commented 3 days ago on Sunday Morning Open Thread at JustOneMinute
That figures: willowed. I’ll have to think a bit about the many folks we’ve met at elbow rubbing gatherings, but the two that stick out for their serendipity (and which I’ve prolly told before) are: 1) Elliott Gould who walked up to me and struck up a conversation at LAX. It was mid 90s and I was returning from one of my earlier trips to China. I had cleared customs and was waiting for my flight back to Cowlumbus. The attraction was a dragon walking stick I had hung over the handle of my luggage cart. He spotted that from the adjacent room and came over. After telling him how I acquired it (in a very remote part of southern China in a near aboriginal village), he brought up William Holden and waxed on for a bit on how Bill had a thing about China and spent a lot of time there. EG was at the airport waiting for his son who was arriving for some relatively nearby location as I recall. 2) Returning from another trip from China, this time by way of CYVR and a bus to Bellingham where I was waiting to be picked up in a helo by a friend, I’m waiting in the tiny FBO building about a block from the main terminal all by myself and in walks Bill and Melinda and their two younger kids. They take up a couple seats in the opposite corner of this tiny area about 8 ft away. I’m positioned to look out the window for my ride which is also looking directly at them. So this turns into me being at the zoo watching rare exotic animals, but without the intervening glass. It proved everything I already despised about them. Bill couldn’t give a shit about the kids. Kept his nose in a book. Mama exerted minimal effort keeping them busy. The kids maybe 8 and 5 had a blank fog like stare as though there was nothing humming inside. I think one might have had a coloring book, but the overall signal was these two little ones were doomed to be useless little rich drones. And of course, never any acknowledgement that I was sitting there during the 30-40 minutes they were there.
Toggle Commented 3 days ago on Sunday Morning Open Thread at JustOneMinute
I’ll have to think a bit about the many folks we’ve met at elbow rubbing gatherings, but the two that stick out for their serendipity (and which I’ve prolly told before) are: 1) Elliott Gould who walked up to me and struck up a conversation at LAX. It was mid 90s and I was returning from one of my earlier trips to China. I had cleared customs and was waiting for my flight back to Cowlumbus. The attraction was a dragon walking stick I had hung over the handle of my luggage cart. He spotted that from the adjacent room and came over. After telling him how I acquired it (in a very remote part of southern China in a near aboriginal village), he brought up William Holden and waxed on for a bit on how Bill had a thing about China and spent a lot of time there. EG was at the airport waiting for his son who was arriving for some relatively nearby location as I recall. 2) Returning from another trip from China, this time by way of CYVR and a bus to Bellingham where I was waiting to be picked up in a helo by a friend, I’m waiting in the tiny FBO building about a block from the main terminal all by myself and in walks Bill and Melinda and their two younger kids. They take up a couple seats in the opposite corner of this tiny area about 8 ft away. I’m positioned to look out the window for my ride which is also looking directly at them. So this turns into me being at the zoo watching rare exotic animals, but without the intervening glass. It proved everything I already despised about them. Bill couldn’t give a shit about the kids. Kept his nose in a book. Mama exerted minimal effort keeping them busy. The kids maybe 8 and 5 had a blank fog like stare as though there was nothing humming inside. I think one might have had a coloring book, but the overall signal was these two little ones were doomed to be useless little rich drones. And of course, never any acknowledgement that I was sitting there during the 30-40 minutes they were there.
Toggle Commented 3 days ago on Drafting Doctors?!? at JustOneMinute
Here is a snarky hit on the IHME modeling that appears justified. https://www.libertybell.com/number-of-icu-beds-used-in-new-york-prove-bill-gates-funded-ihme-models-wrong-again/ Birx on Gates board? Hmmm
Toggle Commented 3 days ago on Drafting Doctors?!? at JustOneMinute
Hal and Burt were roomies back then and I think Sally Fields was part of that group through some connection with Yakima Canuck who practically invented stunt work.
Toggle Commented 3 days ago on Drafting Doctors?!? at JustOneMinute
It was McQ. Seattle cop. Came out in 74.
Toggle Commented 3 days ago on Drafting Doctors?!? at JustOneMinute
Yeah, Hal and me were besties for a couple of weeks back in 72. That guy was nutz. Had no sense of pain, so being a stunt guy was perfect. After we tried to kill him about five times, he went on to shoot a movie with John Wayne who played a cop (IIRC). So Hal sets up a stunt where he races a cop car down a beach at about 60 and has a mortar buried in the sand that blows the car up into the air in a roll maneuver. Of course, he broke his back on that one. Stunts Unlimited was his operation.
Toggle Commented 3 days ago on Drafting Doctors?!? at JustOneMinute
As far as getting jimmyk and Peter out of NYC, that’s quite doable, but they can’t bring anything except their sweeties. No luggage. Weight and balance, ya see. Fast, but small.
Toggle Commented 3 days ago on Drafting Doctors?!? at JustOneMinute
JMH, we get our misty moments that can be Druidic, or Coastal Salish in their longboats. The archipelago nature is actually also rather Norsk which Is why my ancestors settled around here.
Toggle Commented 3 days ago on Drafting Doctors?!? at JustOneMinute
This may have already been linked, but it deserves a perusal for both the main article as well as the comments. It is Monckton of Brenchley taking his well thought out shot at the WuFlu situation. https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/04/04/are-lockdowns-working/#comment-2955112 In the comments, search for: LOL@Klimate Katastrophe Kooks April 4, 2020 at 10:22 am He has some pretty direct observations worthy of discussion as well.
Toggle Commented 4 days ago on Drafting Doctors?!? at JustOneMinute
JMH, we are ensconced right in the middle of the Salish Sea. The furreners think it is North Puget Sound, but we are north of the Strait of Juan de Fuca so that is the boundary. Deep and strong currents flush it twice a day.
Toggle Commented 4 days ago on Drafting Doctors?!? at JustOneMinute
As a follow up, Ginormous Research used to do about half their R&D for the guv. Now it’s not only majorly in that camp, but in a lot of spook stuff without necessarily stepping over the Class 4 bio lab crap. Re the silicon foundry stuff, what if a semi outfit got use of the foundry in trade for doing mil stuff for ‘free’? That can’t be that far from the old Bell Labs era in terms of back scratching.
Toggle Commented 4 days ago on Drafting Doctors?!? at JustOneMinute
Spengler left this comment under his last PJ column: The Asians subsidize capital intensive industry, we subsidize sports stadiums. Asia treats chip fabs and steel mills as quasi-public infrastructure. Now they have all the capital intensive industry. We will need public-private partnerships to compete. That's a national security issue. We used to subsidize basic research to the tune of 1.4% of GDP (nearly $300 billion in today's dollars) and the Pentagon funded big corporate labs, starting with Bell Labs -- all gone now. I'm for free markets except in wartime, and this is like war. That rang a bell or two for me.
Toggle Commented 4 days ago on Drafting Doctors?!? at JustOneMinute
AB - simple cost/benefit. What COD on this particular form pays us the most, or potentially costs us the least? As an outsider, I can almost guarantee that regular old flu has to be essentially invisible in that realm.
Toggle Commented 4 days ago on Drafting Doctors?!? at JustOneMinute
OL, I’m well aware of your getting punked. I was right behind you sending out near real-time notices to my homies as you updated us. My ex-healthcare CEO (also Marine) bud was quick to smell a rat.
Toggle Commented 4 days ago on Drafting Doctors?!? at JustOneMinute
As much as you guys are identifying the obvious punks that deserve a long walk over a short pier (on my list, too), I think you are missing the actual preference cascade mechanism. That no-name judge is the weak wildebeest at the back of the herd. Some local jamoke, maybe living next door decides he thinks the world needs open Hobby Lobbys more than it needs that worthless judge. Then another jamoke sees that as not too big a deal, given the dire straits we are all in and picks his straggler. Maybe that (fake) cop that arrested OL’s neighbor. See how that works? Not a seven days in May grand scheme.
Toggle Commented 4 days ago on Drafting Doctors?!? at JustOneMinute
James D. - reading about that judge, I had the immediate flash that that might be the beginning of the preference cascade that launches CW2.0. If a conservative popped that worthless POS and that led to another POS getting popped, etc. ... our collective short fuses might just say fukkum. We’re tired of this shit. Anybody else want a piece? It’s not like our lists aren’t getting longer, or anything.
Toggle Commented 4 days ago on Drafting Doctors?!? at JustOneMinute
Anyone heard from Hoyden in the last 2-3 weeks? Hope everything is ok.
Toggle Commented 4 days ago on Drafting Doctors?!? at JustOneMinute
Pneu!
Toggle Commented 4 days ago on Mask Up! at JustOneMinute