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macthenaif
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John Prine dead. Damn.
Toggle Commented 2 days ago on The Comeback Kids at JustOneMinute
Just dropped by to scan the views. Glad to be a Marxist of the Groucho variety.
Toggle Commented 3 days ago on That Was A Good Day at JustOneMinute
Oregon COVID-19 update (short version): We are down to 1 or 2 new hospitalizations per day. Looks like we peaked about 10 days ago. Governor Brown requested 140 ventilators from the Feds, got them, and sent them all to New York. Nuff said.
Toggle Commented 5 days ago on Sunday Morning Open Thread at JustOneMinute
Today's batch of Oregon test results was 6.7% positive, and the cumulative positive is now 5.3%. With 4 more deaths, that total is now 26, or 2.6% of confirmed positives. Our first COVID-19 case was confirmed on 12 January ... almost 3 months ago. Suspected COVID-19 visits to hospital EDs peaked 12 days ago at 6.5% of total daily ED visits and have held at 2% for the past 3 days.
Toggle Commented 5 days ago on Drafting Doctors?!? at JustOneMinute
Today's 1350 test results for Oregon (Pop: 4.3 million) was 5.4% positive, and the cumulative positive is now 5.2%. One more death, for a total of 22 and a 2.5% fatality rate (relative to confirmed cases). Cumulative hospitalization is 204 patients, up 16 from yesterday. The 104 year old WWII vet who recovered last week was nearly gone when his doc tried the malaria med plus Z-Pak. Dramatic improvement in one day. The doc used that combo on 8 nearly gone patients and lost only one of them.
Toggle Commented 7 days ago on Mask Up! at JustOneMinute
Today's test batch in Oregon was 7.40% positive, which looks to be the highest to date. Have no idea why. The cumulative positive rate is 5.14% and the fatality rate is 2.54%. One new death for a total of 21. To date, just 188 people have been hospitalized. The Institute for Disease Modelling (Bellevue WA) has advised the governor that Oregon is probably at its peak number of cases right now and should hit its peak hospitalization number in about a week. Much better numbers than our neighbor to the North.
Toggle Commented 7 days ago on Grim Forecasts at JustOneMinute
How large is your collection of butterfly wings?
Toggle Commented Apr 1, 2020 on Grim Forecasts at JustOneMinute
Today's batch of 1042 COVID-19 test results in Oregon is 4.41% positive, and the cumulative positive rate is 4.95%. One more death, with the cumulative fatality rate at 2.58%. The state epidemiologist estimates that enhanced social distancing (lock-down) has reduced the number of cases by 50-70%.
Toggle Commented Apr 1, 2020 on Grim Forecasts at JustOneMinute
Today's batch of 1549 tests in Oregon was 5.4% positive, and with that the cumulative positive rate has risen to 5.0%. With 3 more deaths, the cumulative fatality rate is 2.6%. Interesting anecdote. One of the Oregonians who tested positive last week was a 95 yr old WWII vet with kidney disease, congenital heart disease, and hypertension. He was hospitalized, but had mild symptoms and was released the next day.
Today's batch of 1457 Oregon test results is 4.0% positive, bringing the cumulative positive rate down to 4.7%. There are 3 more deaths, bringing the total to 16 and the fatality rate up to 2.64%.
The governors who have imposed "total lock-downs" are free to lift those whenever they see fit, no? They will be getting heavy pressure from both ends.
Toggle Commented Mar 30, 2020 on Saturday Evening Wind-down at JustOneMinute
Today's batch of 1254 test results in Oregon is 5.5% positive. Cumulative positive is now 4.8%. No new deaths, so fatality rate is 2.37%. I'll keep posting these for the helluvit and because it's my neck of the woods.
Toggle Commented Mar 29, 2020 on Saturday Evening Wind-down at JustOneMinute
Missed a key datum. We now have 140 confirmed cases. (29% of the state total.)
Toggle Commented Mar 29, 2020 on Saturday Evening Wind-down at JustOneMinute
Anecdotal. My county in Oregon has roughly 590,000 inhabitants, the vast majority of them in urban or very dense suburban housing. We had the first Oregon case of COVID-19 on 28 Feb and we our first COVID-19 death on 17 Mar. As of today, our fatality total is 3.
Toggle Commented Mar 29, 2020 on Saturday Evening Wind-down at JustOneMinute
If wikipedia is to be believed, Tom Massie previously crossed Trump on China, Israel, the southern border, and Justin Amash. Other than that, Mrs Lincoln ...
Toggle Commented Mar 29, 2020 on Saturday Evening Wind-down at JustOneMinute
Also, today's batch of test results here in Oregon is 5.2% positive, for a cumulative positive rate of 4.7%. Deaths are now at 13 (2.7% of those testing positive).
Toggle Commented Mar 28, 2020 on Good Intel From Tyler Cowen at JustOneMinute
Cuz I know ya'll hungry for more COVID 19 data. Iceland has tested about 4% of its population of 364,000. Can't tell if it's random or just approximately representative. Of the 14,635 test results, 6.6% are positive. OF those positive, nearly 50% are asymptomatic. Of the 50% with symptoms, the vast majority are minor. Only 2 deaths.
Toggle Commented Mar 28, 2020 on Good Intel From Tyler Cowen at JustOneMinute
Oregon's daily "% Positive" rate bumped up to 5.9% today, and the cumulative rate stands at 4.6%. The fatality rate stands at 2.9% (vs 4.6% across the Columbia in WA).
Toggle Commented Mar 28, 2020 on Good Intel From Tyler Cowen at JustOneMinute
Ig Obviously, I gave you the wrong stat last night from the Diamond Princess. Accurate, but not at all responsive to your question. The relevant stat is that nearly 50% of the positive cases were asymptomatic. TM's two links above include additional nuggets, including one Italian estimate of 50-75%. While the expert consensus seems to be that roughly 80% of infected individuals present with mild or no symptoms, there does not appear to be any consensus on what share of that 80% is asymptomatic. In any event, it looks to me like (1) a substantial percentage of those who have the virus present with very mild or zero symptoms, while at the same time (2) roughly 85% of those who present with symptoms and are tested do not in fact have the virus. This is why the epidemiologists are begging for more testing/data.
Toggle Commented Mar 28, 2020 on Good Intel From Tyler Cowen at JustOneMinute
I find numerous references asserting that 80% of COVID-19 "carriers" show only mild symptoms, or none at all. That said, I think Trump and his team have played it approximately right.
There were 3711 people on the Diamond Princess, a giant floating petri dish with communal dining and central air/heating. Only 712 (19%) tested positive.
Iggie Based on the SoKo and cruise ship data, it appears that only 15-20 of infected individuals show sufficiently serious symptoms to be tested.
Regarding the stupid little bug, the local press (Oregonian) has begun to pivot to "social distancing seems to be working and we may avert the previously inevitable doom".
Jeeze, da mouse is more infamous.