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By Tim Bradner What’s significant about the state 2018 state elections wasn’t who got elected – Alaskans have seen Republican governors and Republican-led Legislatures before – but rather how much of the campaign centered on how big the Permanent Fund Dividend will be. Instead of talking about challenges facing our... Continue reading
Posted Nov 19, 2018 at Alaskanomics
By Tim Bradner Those new oil discoveries announced recently on the North Slope are pretty remarkable. It wasn’t too long ago that we’d pretty much given up on major new finds, at least in areas open to exploration. Now billion-barrel new fields are being found. They aren’t super-giants like the... Continue reading
Posted Oct 23, 2018 at Alaskanomics
By Tim Bradner It will take a while for its significance to sink in, but the Legislature’s adoption of a plan to use certain Permanent Fund earnings to help support the state budget is a historic milestone. For the first time since North Slope oil revenues began pouring into the... Continue reading
Posted Jul 16, 2018 at Alaskanomics
As seen in Alaska Economic Trends, written by Neal Fried. Data for the fourth quarter of 2017 show Alaska is still in a recession, at least on the statewide level, but the employment picture varies widely around the state. While statewide average monthly employment is down by more than 10,000... Continue reading
Posted Jul 5, 2018 at Alaskanomics
Guest post by: Christian Muntean Alaska’s Baby Boomers stand on the threshold of what will be, for many, the largest opportunity in their careers. But most of them don’t see it. Or just aren’t ready for it. The few that do are positioned to win big. According to the U.S.... Continue reading
Posted Jun 21, 2018 at Alaskanomics
By Tim Bradner There is a little spring warmth, it seems, after a long winter. Several winters, in fact, of low oil prices and workforce cuts. The job numbers have not yet ticked up and in fact they’re still slipping, though modestly now, after big cuts made in 2016 and... Continue reading
Posted May 18, 2018 at Alaskanomics
As seen in the Anchorage Daily News, February 2018. The following speech was delivered by Ron Duncan, CEO and co-founder of GCI, at the Anchorage Economic Development Corp. economic forecast luncheon on Wednesday. It's been edited for length. There was a New York Times article this past weekend extolling the... Continue reading
Posted Feb 15, 2018 at Alaskanomics
By Scott Goldsmith Final data on employment thru the 2nd quarter of 2017 from the Alaska Department of Labor shows that all regions of the state lost jobs in the 2nd quarter compared to a year earlier. The statewide rate of decline so far has been 1.7 percent this year... Continue reading
Posted Jan 10, 2018 at Alaskanomics
By Scott Goldsmith Final data on Alaska employment by industry thru the 2nd quarter of 2017 (Alaska Department of Labor) shows the job loss slowing in the 2nd quarter. The slowdown in overall job loss is primarily due to reductions in job losses in the Oil and Gas and Other... Continue reading
Posted Jan 8, 2018 at Alaskanomics
By Tim Bradner Alaskans have chased the will-o'-wisp of a North Slope gas pipeline for decades. Several times the prize seemed within our grasp only to slip away, usually because of some unexpected, and adverse, market development. In recent years, the technical prowess and success of U.S. shale gas developers... Continue reading
Posted Dec 19, 2017 at Alaskanomics
By Tim Bradner After years of effort and hundreds of millions of dollars spent, are we any closer to getting a North Slope natural gas pipeline? A number of people are asking whether it’s worth continuing the effort including state legislators who have to pay the bills for work that... Continue reading
Posted Sep 22, 2017 at Alaskanomics
By Tim Bradner As the Legislature grapples with huge shortfalls in state revenues – the deficit for this fiscal year is estimated at $2.5 billion – there’s talk of new state taxes, which is causing discomfort among many. Never mind that citizens pay virtually no state taxes in Alaska and... Continue reading
Posted Jul 10, 2017 at Alaskanomics
By Tim Bradner, for the Alaska Journal of Commerce State officials will push new U.S. Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke for a revamp of Obama administration rules restricting oil and gas development in the National Petroleum Reserve-Alaska, state Natural Resources Commissioner Andy Mack said May 12. “We will be submitting a... Continue reading
Posted May 17, 2017 at Alaskanomics
As seen in the Alaska Dispatch News on May 9, 2017 Written by Tim Bradner Legislators in Juneau are closing out at least one chapter in a very creative, but also expensive, incentive program to stimulate new oil and gas development. The state's oil and gas tax credit program has... Continue reading
Posted May 11, 2017 at Alaskanomics
By Tim Bradner It’s easy to feel uneasy about our state’s petroleum industry right now. Let me cite some reasons: Crude oil prices are still down. They are slowly rising but conventional wisdom is that $60 per barrel may be a kind of price ceiling, the threshold where those prolific... Continue reading
Posted Mar 3, 2017 at Alaskanomics
By: Blythe Campbell The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has released some new estimates for 2015 energy consumption, prices and spending. Final data will be released in June 2017. Jet fuel estimates were updated in October 2016 for 2015. According to the Alaska Department of Natural Resources, in their December... Continue reading
Posted Dec 8, 2016 at Alaskanomics
By: Mouhcine Guettabi, Institute of Social & Economic Research A combination of declining oil production and low oil prices has left the state budget billions of dollars in the red. But how has that big drop in oil prices affected the Alaska economy so far? Mouhcine Guettabi, an assistant professor... Continue reading
Posted Nov 11, 2016 at Alaskanomics
By Larry Persily (Larry Persily, assistant to the Kenai Peninsula Borough mayor, was invited to participate in an LNG conference in Vancouver, B.C., and prepared this report as part of the borough’s ongoing efforts to share information about global LNG market developments. The conference paid the travel expenses.) A... Continue reading
Posted Nov 9, 2016 at Alaskanomics
By Scott Goldsmith: The Alaska economy contracted at a 1.4 percent annual rate in the first quarter of 2016 according to the final count by the Alaska Department of Labor. Employment was 4.5 thousand lower in the first quarter than the previous year. Growth slowed through early 2015 and turned... Continue reading
Posted Oct 13, 2016 at Alaskanomics
By Tim Bradner It seems inevitable that state of Alaska finances will soon be closely linked to performance of the state’s Permanent Fund. That has caused many Alaskans to look closely at how this change could affect the Fund’s management, and at the institutional protections for the Fund built into... Continue reading
Posted Aug 23, 2016 at Alaskanomics
By: Larry Persily Alaska LNG’s second round of draft resource reports Nos. 1 through 10 have been filed with the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission and are available on the Kenai Peninsula Borough website. Click here to select and download the reports. The project expects to file its last two draft... Continue reading
Posted Aug 5, 2016 at Alaskanomics
By Larry Persily July 20, 2016 Alaska LNG’s resource reports to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission are available on the Kenai Peninsula Borough website. Click here and select the report. As of July 20, Report No. 1 General Project Description and No. 10 Project Alternatives are available on the website;... Continue reading
Posted Jul 20, 2016 at Alaskanomics
By Scott Goldsmith The 2015 Alaska population was virtually unchanged from a year earlier at 737.6 thousand according to the Alaska Department of Labor. Natural increase (births minus deaths) was almost entirely offset by net out-migration of 6.8 thousand. This was the third year in a row that the number... Continue reading
Posted Jun 15, 2016 at Alaskanomics
As seen in the Juneau Empire By: James Brooks, State Reporter JUNEAU — After 137 days in regular and special session, the Alaska Legislature may be nearing an end to its work. “I know we’re not done yet, but I think we’re close,” Senate President Kevin Meyer, R-Anchorage, declared on... Continue reading
Posted Jun 9, 2016 at Alaskanomics
By: Scott Goldsmith Final 2015 employment data reported by the Alaska Department of Labor shows a clear trend of growth slowing over the year and turning negative in the last quarter. Even though the overall growth rate of employment for the year was .4 percent, by the end of 2015... Continue reading
Posted May 31, 2016 at Alaskanomics