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@NeilT: I've noticed that those people are right far more often than those who use only the existing material/techniques and analyse these data to death.
There is actually a good reason for that. The published estimates by the IPCC and other major organizations are deliberately conservative. They make statements based on things they can 'prove', not what they they suspect. For example, the estimates for sea level rise by the IPCC omitted any significant acceleration due to ice dynamics. And they said so.
In general, you will find that the IPCC estimates are nearly always optimistic vs actual events simply because there are more 'known unknowns' with the potential to make things worse than 'known unknowns' with the potential to make things better.
Arctic ice melt = 20 years of CO2 emissions
With records being shattered all over the place, some names in the cryospheric community are gaining in prominence. One of those names is Peter Wadhams, professor of Ocean Physics at the University of Cambridge, who has been predicting for years the things we are currently witnessing. He alrea...
@TenneyNaumer : The continued lack of a substantial slowdown in melting put me in mind of this old scene from Willy Wonka and the Chocolate Factory
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QJr-JYejg_0#t=207s
Record dominoes 8: NSIDC daily sea ice extent
There are several scientific organisations that keep an eye on the Arctic sea ice cover and put out graphs to inform us of the amount of ice that is left. You can see most, if not all, of them on the ASI Graphs webpage. I expect the record on most of these graphs to be broken in weeks to come. -...
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Aug 25, 2012
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