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D&B Country Risk Services
Marlow, Buckinghamshire, UK
The D&B Country Risk Services group is currently based at D&B’s European Headquarters in the United Kingdom
Recent Activity
Almost five years after the emergence of the sub-prime crisis that led to the 2008-09 global crash, the problems of the global banking sector continue to weigh heavily on the minds of regulators and politicians across the world. These experts are still grappling with the ‘too big to fail’ syndrome,... Continue reading
Posted Apr 19, 2011 at D&B Country Risk Services
Even allowing for the short attention span of the mainstream media, it seemed that it would take something extremely significant to grab the headlines after the earthquake, tsunami and nuclear problems in Japan; nevertheless, the bombing of Libya by American, British and French jets has managed to achieve this. The... Continue reading
Posted Mar 25, 2011 at D&B Country Risk Services
The news this week has been dominated by a stark and tragic reminder of Nature’s destructive potential, with the earthquake and a tsunami that devastated parts of Japan also giving rise to the prospect of nuclear meltdown. More prosaically, the reverberations of these events have been felt not only in... Continue reading
Posted Mar 18, 2011 at D&B Country Risk Services
Sometimes it’s nice to be proved wrong. When I wrote a few weeks ago that it was unlikely that the dominos in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) would fall, I got it at least partially wrong (as did most regional experts). It does now look as if a... Continue reading
Posted Feb 25, 2011 at D&B Country Risk Services
The aftershocks from the instability created by anti-government demonstrations in the Middle East and North Africa continue to reverberate around the world. As discussed last week, one of the side effects of these demonstrations was to hike oil prices to levels not seen since before the global financial crash in... Continue reading
Posted Feb 18, 2011 at D&B Country Risk Services
The events unfolding in Egypt continue to dominate the headlines across the world. While the number of articles and news stories spawned by the unrest at times seems to outnumber the protesters, little has been written on the wider effects. These effects could be highly significant, and I’ll discuss the... Continue reading
Posted Feb 11, 2011 at D&B Country Risk Services
Two weeks on from Tunisia’s ‘jasmine’ revolution, the politics of the Arab world look rather different. Protests have convulsed the Egyptian economy, with ports crippled, factories silent and banks shuttered. Opportunistic crime in the wake of the looting of police arsenals has brought a security vacuum, making trading conditions impossible... Continue reading
Posted Feb 4, 2011 at D&B Country Risk Services
Around this time every year the world’s business and political leaders gather in the exclusive Swiss ski resort of Davos, where the World Economic Forum (WEF) has become a must-attend occasion in the annual round of political and economic gatherings. Although many deals are struck back-stage during the conference, and... Continue reading
Posted Jan 31, 2011 at D&B Country Risk Services
Until recently, Tunisia was probably associated in most people’s minds with sun, sea, sand and maybe the odd Roman ruin. Not any longer. As has been widely covered in the Western media, a series of mass protests against poverty, unemployment, price rises and the country’s huge wealth disparities resulted in... Continue reading
Posted Jan 21, 2011 at D&B Country Risk Services
Most good stories need villains: characters who exemplify immorality or excess, and who throw the flawless behaviour of the rest of us into clearer relief. Since the economic crisis of 2008, banks and bankers have been cast as our villains, with politicians, newspaper columnists and the general public alike all... Continue reading
Posted Jan 18, 2011 at D&B Country Risk Services
Our outlook for 2011 foresees increased divergence between advanced OECD economies and emerging economies. The US, Japan and much of Europe will stagnate in the face of a difficult transition from public to private demand as fiscal stimulus programmes end. Meanwhile, many emerging markets, which remained relatively untouched by the... Continue reading
Posted Jan 13, 2011 at D&B Country Risk Services
You could easily believe that the world is spiralling down towards an era of currency wars and trade protectionism. Recent weeks have seen renewed quantitative easing in the US and UK (effectively, ‘printing money’), as well as accusations by US officials that the Chinese are deliberately keeping their currency weak.... Continue reading
Posted Jan 13, 2011 at D&B Country Risk Services
Given the frenetic nature of the Christmas and New Year holidays that have just finished, many of us might have missed the news that China is reducing its exports of ‘rare earths’ by 35% in the first half of 2011. And, amid the high consumption and atmosphere of plenty that... Continue reading
Posted Jan 13, 2011 at D&B Country Risk Services
Notwithstanding growing concerns over a fiscally-induced global recession, recent hikes in global food prices have re-emerged as another source of risk in the international market, stoking uncertainty in an already-fragile global environment. A minor supply shock, but greater price volatility The latest turmoil in the global food market was triggered... Continue reading
Posted Dec 23, 2010 at D&B Country Risk Services
The latest financial crisis highlighted the need for government and central banks to revise banking sector regulation. In recent months the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision has issued a series of documents with the aim of reviewing the existing guidelines. These rules, known as ‘Basel III’, will improve global financial... Continue reading
Posted Dec 23, 2010 at D&B Country Risk Services
Despite subdued demand in the US and the EU (the region’s traditional export markets), Latin America is set to record robust economic growth in 2010-11, providing significant opportunities for exporters and investors. Nevertheless, there are a number of significant risks that will affect doing business in the region, notably the... Continue reading
Posted Dec 23, 2010 at D&B Country Risk Services
Chinese demand is reshaping international trade, and will play a key role in determining which economies grow and stagnate in the 2010s. The trend has been for rising raw materials imports to satisfy China’s domestic demand, but such demand can be volatile, reflecting policy changes and cycles/factors specific to the... Continue reading
Posted Dec 23, 2010 at D&B Country Risk Services
In April and May 2010, European markets were thrown into turmoil as financial investors feared that several euro-zone countries (most notably Greece, Portugal, Italy, Ireland and Spain, the ‘PIIGS’) faced severe difficulties in financing their large budget deficits and growing public debt burdens. This triggered Euroland’s first systemic crisis, which... Continue reading
Posted Dec 23, 2010 at D&B Country Risk Services
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May 13, 2010