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Faster than forecast: the story ice tells about abrupt anthropocene climate change with Jason Box
https://www.youtube.com/watch?list=PL2c_ujuXhAvQO18KrtERRMjAkjgr-PQ1k&v=pSxO4ktvfDs
PIOMAS November 2016
Another month has passed and so here is the updated Arctic sea ice volume graph as calculated by the Pan-Arctic Ice Ocean Modeling and Assimilation System (PIOMAS) at the Polar Science Center: Do you see that 2016 trend line simply refusing to go up, ending at the lowest level on record for th...
Warm Winter Cyclone Damaged Arctic Sea Ice Pack
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MhF9nLdZ7ZY&feature=youtu.be
PIOMAS November 2016
Another month has passed and so here is the updated Arctic sea ice volume graph as calculated by the Pan-Arctic Ice Ocean Modeling and Assimilation System (PIOMAS) at the Polar Science Center: Do you see that 2016 trend line simply refusing to go up, ending at the lowest level on record for th...
For The Arctic Ocean Above 80 North, It’s Still Summer in November
It’s going to be the hottest year on record — by a long shot. Just ask Gavin Schmidt at a NASA that the climate change denying Trump Administration has now imperiled. But in one region — the Arctic — the rate of heat accumulation has been outrageously extreme. And it is there that this new record warmth could inflict some of the worst damage to an increasingly fragile Earth System.
https://robertscribbler.com/2016/11/14/for-the-arctic-ocean-above-80-north-its-still-summer-in-november/
PIOMAS November 2016
Another month has passed and so here is the updated Arctic sea ice volume graph as calculated by the Pan-Arctic Ice Ocean Modeling and Assimilation System (PIOMAS) at the Polar Science Center: Do you see that 2016 trend line simply refusing to go up, ending at the lowest level on record for th...
Lone Wati was right, Hell did come to breakfast.
PIOMAS November 2016
Another month has passed and so here is the updated Arctic sea ice volume graph as calculated by the Pan-Arctic Ice Ocean Modeling and Assimilation System (PIOMAS) at the Polar Science Center: Do you see that 2016 trend line simply refusing to go up, ending at the lowest level on record for th...
One of the key predictions of hypothesis , was an increase in extreme precipitation events, what is going on in Siberia now is clear proof of that very thing.
Districts like Abyisky and Srednekolymsky have faced five months of snow in just four weeks.
Link
Arctic sea ice minimum volume 1979-2016
Andy Lee Robinson has updated his PIOMAS sea ice volume minimum video:
Here’s how much of the Arctic you’re personally responsible for melting
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2016/11/03/heres-how-much-of-the-arctic-youre-personally-responsible-for-melting/
Arctic sea ice minimum volume 1979-2016
Andy Lee Robinson has updated his PIOMAS sea ice volume minimum video:
On the atmospheric response experiment to a Blue Arctic Ocean
Abstract
We demonstrated atmospheric responses to a reduction in Arctic sea ice via simulations in which Arctic sea ice decreased stepwise from the present-day range to an ice-free range. In all cases, the tropospheric response exhibited a negative Arctic Oscillation (AO)-like pattern. An intensification of the climatological planetary-scale wave due to the present-day sea ice reduction on the Atlantic side of the Arctic Ocean induced stratospheric polar vortex weakening and the subsequent negative AO. Conversely, strong Arctic warming due to ice-free conditions across the entire Arctic Ocean induced a weakening of the tropospheric westerlies corresponding to a negative AO without troposphere-stratosphere coupling, for which the planetary-scale wave response to a surface heat source extending to the Pacific side of the Arctic Ocean was responsible. Because the resultant negative AO-like response was accompanied by secondary circulation in the meridional plane, atmospheric heat transport into the Arctic increased, accelerating the Arctic amplification.
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2016GL070526/abstract
Arctic sea ice minimum volume 1979-2016
Andy Lee Robinson has updated his PIOMAS sea ice volume minimum video:
Before the Flood - Full Movie | National Geographic
Published on Oct 30, 2016
Join Leonardo DiCaprio as he explores the topic of climate change, and discovers what must be done today to prevent catastrophic disruption of life on our planet.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=90CkXVF-Q8M
Arctic sea ice minimum volume 1979-2016
Andy Lee Robinson has updated his PIOMAS sea ice volume minimum video:
Back to lighting strikes in the Arctic :
An extremely crisp shot of the Russian Tundra on fire –
Terra/MODIS
2016/208
07/26/2016
06:05 UTC
Fires and smoke in central Russia
Link
ASI 2016 update 4: breaking point
During the melting season I'm writing (bi-)weekly updates on the current situation with regards to Arctic sea ice (ASI). Because of issues with data based on the SSMIS sensor aboard DMSP satellites, I mainly focus on higher-resolution AMSR2 data from the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA...
Bill -
I know how you feel. Been watching this one closely over at RS, this mornings passes are grim. But it dawned on me about Neven's post
“The Anaktuvuk River fire, the biggest in North Slope history, burns across the tundra Sept. 10, 2007.”
http://coloradobob1.newsvine.com/_news/2007/09/29/992565-the-tundra-is-on-fire
Was caused by lighting.
Now look at today's morning pass
Aqua/MODIS
2016/201
07/19/2016
07:50 UTC
Fires and smoke in central Russia
https://lance.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/imagery/single.cgi?image=Russia.A2016201.0750.2km.jpg
Half of this image is burning tundra. Over some of the richest methane deposits in the world.
Iced lightning
From a children's book: "In The Legend of Lightning and Thunder, a traditional legend that has been told in the Kivalliq region of Nunavut for centuries, two siblings resort to stealing from their fellow villagers, and inadvertently introduce lightning and thunder into the world. This beautiful...
Scores of City-Sized Siberian Wildfires Spew 2,500 Mile-Long Plume of Smoke Over Northern Hemisphere
https://robertscribbler.com/2016/07/18/scores-of-city-sized-siberian-wildfires-spew-2500-mile-long-plume-of-smoke-over-northern-hemisphere/
Iced lightning
From a children's book: "In The Legend of Lightning and Thunder, a traditional legend that has been told in the Kivalliq region of Nunavut for centuries, two siblings resort to stealing from their fellow villagers, and inadvertently introduce lightning and thunder into the world. This beautiful...
Study finds Greenland lost 1 trillion tons of ice in just 4 years
Date:
July 12, 2016
Source:
Reuters
Summary:
Greenland ice loss has recently contributed to twice as much sea-level rise than in the preceding two decades. Ben Gruber reports. Video provided by Reuters
https://www.sciencedaily.com/videos/efce000f249c367917c116cbf3017919.htm
Iced lightning
From a children's book: "In The Legend of Lightning and Thunder, a traditional legend that has been told in the Kivalliq region of Nunavut for centuries, two siblings resort to stealing from their fellow villagers, and inadvertently introduce lightning and thunder into the world. This beautiful...
Arctic heat, plus lighting = fire
And they're really rolling & note all the silt in the Mackenzie river, and delta.
Fires and smoke in northern Alaska
SNPP/VIIRS
2016/197
07/15/2016
21:00 UTC
https://lance.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/imagery/single.cgi?image=Alaska.A2016197.2100.1500m.jpg
Russian fires –
Terra/MODIS
2016/200
07/18/2016
05:15 UTC
https://lance.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/imagery/single.cgi?image=crefl1_143.A2016200051500-2016200052000.2km.jpg
North and West of the last image –
Terra/MODIS
2016/200
07/18/2016
05:10 UTC
https://lance.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/imagery/single.cgi?image=crefl1_143.A2016200051000-2016200051500.2km.jpg
Yesterday’s passes, fires burning right next to Arctic Ocean in Russia –
Terra/MODIS
2016/199
07/17/2016
07:45 UTC
https://lance.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/imagery/single.cgi?image=crefl1_143.A2016199074500-2016199075000.2km.jpg
Iced lightning
From a children's book: "In The Legend of Lightning and Thunder, a traditional legend that has been told in the Kivalliq region of Nunavut for centuries, two siblings resort to stealing from their fellow villagers, and inadvertently introduce lightning and thunder into the world. This beautiful...
The extraordinary years have become the normal years’: Scientists survey radical Arctic melt
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2016/07/13/the-extraordinary-years-have-become-the-normal-years-scientists-survey-radical-melt-in-the-arctic/#comments
2016 melting momentum, part 3
Melting momentum, it's what I call the absorption of heat and solar radiation during May and June that does not directly lead to melt and a reduction in ice cover, but rather comes into play during July and August (I had a more wordy explanation last year). This is part 3 in the series. As we s...
The top half of Greenland , truly amazing images –
Aqua/MODIS
2016/193
07/11/2016
08:45 UTC
https://lance.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/imagery/single.cgi?image=crefl2_143.A2016193084500-2016193085000.4km.jpg
2016 SIPN Sea Ice Outlook: June report
The first Sea Ice Outlook of this year has been published. The SIO is organized by the Sea Ice Prediction Network (as part of the Arctic research program 'Study of Environmental Arctic Change', or SEARCH), and is a compilation of projections for the September 2016 Arctic sea ice extent, based o...
Some really clear shots of Greenland coming in today , the Northeast coast , blue water every where with lots of glacial milk in fjords …………….
Aqua/MODIS
2016/193
07/11/2016
05:30 UTC
https://lance.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/imagery/single.cgi?image=crefl2_143.A2016193053000-2016193053500.250m.jpg
2016 SIPN Sea Ice Outlook: June report
The first Sea Ice Outlook of this year has been published. The SIO is organized by the Sea Ice Prediction Network (as part of the Arctic research program 'Study of Environmental Arctic Change', or SEARCH), and is a compilation of projections for the September 2016 Arctic sea ice extent, based o...
Sorry, "anyone" , not "alone".
2016 SIPN Sea Ice Outlook: June report
The first Sea Ice Outlook of this year has been published. The SIO is organized by the Sea Ice Prediction Network (as part of the Arctic research program 'Study of Environmental Arctic Change', or SEARCH), and is a compilation of projections for the September 2016 Arctic sea ice extent, based o...
Some really clear images coming in from the Terra and Aqua satellites today and yesterday
Can alone tell me if this baby has a higher albedo than just open ocean ?
Huge algae bloom North of Russia
Aqua/MODIS
2016/193
07/11/2016
08:40 UTC
https://lance.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/imagery/single.cgi?image=crefl2_143.A2016193084000-2016193084500.2km.jpg
2016 SIPN Sea Ice Outlook: June report
The first Sea Ice Outlook of this year has been published. The SIO is organized by the Sea Ice Prediction Network (as part of the Arctic research program 'Study of Environmental Arctic Change', or SEARCH), and is a compilation of projections for the September 2016 Arctic sea ice extent, based o...
Siberian larch forests are still linked to the ice age
Press release from the Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research
June 24, 2016 - 8:35am - By The Arctic Journal
A new AWI study shows that the flora of the Northern Russian permafrost lags behind the climate often by several thousand years
A look into the past indicates: The colder the ice age was, the longer the vegetation needed to adapt afterwards to the new climate of the warmer period. "In analogy to these results, this means: Due to the fact that the most recent ice age, about 20,000 years ago, was extremely cold, the permafrost spread over a large area, and forced deep rooted trees such as pines and spruces far to the south. The shallow-rooted Siberian larch trees - which only require a summer thawing of the permafrost soils of 20 to 30 centimetres - were able to survive in protected areas in the region," explained Ulrike Herzschuh.
The larch forest however, with its dense carpet of roots protects the ice underneath from thawing. "We have observed many times in regions where the larch forest was cut down, that the permafrost melted faster than in other forested areas," according to the AWI researcher.
2016 melting momentum, part 2
Happy Solstice, everyone! Credit: NASA/Kathryn Hansen The previous post on melting momentum was running long, so here's an addition dealing with compactness, the final piece of information we have to assess the amount of melting momentum. Just before the start of July, the month of big melt. Fi...
UK-funded ice breaker in 'elite' Arctic tourism row
Starting in Alaska, the 32-day voyage will see the 1,700 passengers and crew travel 1,500km across the top of Canada, ultimately ending in New York.
Berths on the 14-deck luxury liner are not cheap, starting at around $20,000 per person and running up to $120,000 for a deluxe stateroom.
While the route is accessible to ships, it is not ice-free and the company behind the voyage has chartered an ice breaker, RRS Ernest Shackleton, from the British Antarctic Survey.
Link
2016 melting momentum, part 2
Happy Solstice, everyone! Credit: NASA/Kathryn Hansen The previous post on melting momentum was running long, so here's an addition dealing with compactness, the final piece of information we have to assess the amount of melting momentum. Just before the start of July, the month of big melt. Fi...
2016 Eastern Arctic ice melt weeks ahead of normal: Canadian Ice Service
Most of the ice on Frobisher Bay should be melted out by early July, says a forecaster with the Canadian Ice Service, as this year's melt in the Eastern Arctic is weeks ahead of schedule.
"The ice on the Northern Baffin Bay opened up earlier in May, maybe four or five weeks earlier than normal," said Jason Ross, a ice forecaster with the Canadian Ice Service.
"Elsewhere in the Arctic — Hudson Bay, Davis Strait and Labrador area — ice melted one to two weeks ahead of normal at this time."
Link
2016 melting momentum, part 2
Happy Solstice, everyone! Credit: NASA/Kathryn Hansen The previous post on melting momentum was running long, so here's an addition dealing with compactness, the final piece of information we have to assess the amount of melting momentum. Just before the start of July, the month of big melt. Fi...
This is What A Fossil Fuel Dystopia Looks Like — The Arctic Sea Ice is Breaking Up North of Greenland in June
https://robertscribbler.com/2016/06/20/this-is-what-a-fossil-fuel-dystopia-looks-like-the-arctic-sea-ice-is-breaking-up-north-of-greenland-in-june/
2016 melting momentum, part 1
Melting momentum, it's what I call the absorption of heat and solar radiation during May and June that does not directly lead to melt and a reduction in ice cover, but rather comes into play during July and August (I had a more wordy explanation last year). As important as it seems to be for th...
If that's not gun barrel, when the Chinese didn't invent gun power.
ASI 2016 update 2: closing the gap
During the melting season I'm writing (bi-)weekly updates on the current situation with regards to Arctic sea ice (ASI). Because of issues with data based on the SSMIS sensor aboard DMSP satellites, I mainly focus on higher-resolution AMSR2 data from the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA...
We've all read about the "methane gun" , well read this from the Siberian Times :
Big bang formed crater causing 'glow in sky': explosion was heard 100 km away
First accounts of the gaping fissure in the earth - found by reindeer herders, who were almost swallowed up by the crater - reported that it was around 4 metres in width and 'about 100 metres' deep.
Scattered over a radius of one kilometre were lumps of displaced soil, sand and ice which had erupted from the earth.
Now we can reveal significant new details about this remote crater on the Taimyr peninsula in Krasnoyarsk region, some 440 kilometres from dozens of other newly-formed giant holes.
Link
ASI 2016 update 2: closing the gap
During the melting season I'm writing (bi-)weekly updates on the current situation with regards to Arctic sea ice (ASI). Because of issues with data based on the SSMIS sensor aboard DMSP satellites, I mainly focus on higher-resolution AMSR2 data from the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA...
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