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2012 was the outlier year as evident from the graph of Septembers. That was primarily caused by very strong prevailing patterns causing record Bering Strait ice, see http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/IOTD/view.php?id=77461 Obviously that was at the expense of ice that could last through the summer of 2012, particularly the Barents Sea. 2013 is merely a continuation of the same downward trend shown in blue. MIght even come in a bit above the blue line, but it won't change the slope.
"2. Having an oddball year that we cant make sense of immediately is a great scientific opportunity." A great description of 2012.
Toggle Commented Aug 11, 2013 on ASI 2013 update 6: major slowdown at Arctic Sea Ice
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Aug 11, 2013