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PS - forgot to add - nice summary post Nevin, as usual. Thanks
2012/2013 Winter Analysis
The melting season is about to shift one gear higher, and so I thought it'd be useful to have a comprehensive look at this past winter (just like we did last year). As we saw in this recent PIOMAS update, it seems that this year's conditions for ice formation were better over on the Siberian s...
In theory, a system that is basically stable will "regress towards the norm" after an extreme event.
However, my gut feel about the Arctic these days is that so many factors have changed - less albedo, more current flow, less snow cover, more shoreline exposure, local methane concentrations, more wind/wave effects from more exposed open water...the list just goes on - that there is scarcely a "norm" any more - it has become simply unstable as a system. Anything goes!
I expect very low minimums from now on - and Maslowski is closer to reality than those who talk about 2030 for an ice-free summer!
2012/2013 Winter Analysis
The melting season is about to shift one gear higher, and so I thought it'd be useful to have a comprehensive look at this past winter (just like we did last year). As we saw in this recent PIOMAS update, it seems that this year's conditions for ice formation were better over on the Siberian s...
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Apr 28, 2013
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