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Semantics aside, there are real costs that are starting to accumulate. We are already seeing the harbinger of the Great Cull, 6000 boat people denied landing in the South China Sea. Some of them are from Bangladesh, one of the first countries that will experience the effect of sea-level rise. The Pacific Islands are a drop in the ocean (pun intended) compared to the 157 million people living at an average of 10m above sea level. When the Ganges Delta goes there will be an awful lot of people in boats looking for somewhere to run.
That will impact on us all, wherever we are, but by that time it will be too late to regret how we allowed ourselves to frogmarched into oblivion by a few short-sighted people whose only interest was to protect their assets. Drilling in the Arctic is another instance of that behaviour and Bill McKibben is right to call Obama out on this.
Bill McKibben nails it
This simply has to be shared, as Bill McKibben expresses my thoughts exactly. This sentence just about says it all: "It’s as if the tobacco companies were applying for permission to put cigarette machines in cancer wards. And the White House gave Shell the license." I haven't seen such a good m...
The butterflies are already on the move!
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/jun/11/continental-swallowtail-breeding-in-uk-for-first-time
Great article, when do we get the second part?
The day the ice cap died
The title of this blog post is actually the title of a piece of science fiction, a short story written by Paul Briggs. Just like a couple of weeks ago when I was asked for advice on an idea for a novel, Paul asked me for some feedback on his short story. I figured posting it here, will generate...
Here in the Canary Islands, (28.8 N 16.1 W), we've got a loop of the jet stream sitting over us for the last two days and only likely to move on Friday. It's brought more than the annual rainfall in one day and wind gusts of 70 - 100 km/hr. Stripped the leaves of our trees and broken lots of palm fronds. We're battened down for another day as I type this!
Arctic warming -> extreme weather debate
Andrew Freedman outdid himself on Climate Central with an excellent overview of the scientific debate on the link between Arctic sea ice loss and a wavy jet stream causing weird and extreme weather. Coincidentally (?) there's an "extreme kink" in it right now that just caused the warmest Decemb...
It's interesting to note that there is another indicator apparently "flatlining": global mean temperature over Land and Sea for the last 10 to 15 years or so.
Nonetheless, the signal at Mauna Loa continues to rise and the slope of monthly ice extent anomaly is inexorably negative so whatever is going on will one day, I'm sure, come back to bite us in the bum!
The Arctic pole re-freezing? Not for much longer if the data is to be believed.
ASI 2013 update 8: the end is nigh
During the melting season I'm writing (bi-)weekly updates on the current situation with regards to Arctic sea ice (ASI). Central to these updates are the daily Cryosphere Today sea ice area (SIA) and IJIS sea ice extent (SIE) numbers, which I compare to data from the 2005-2012 period (NSIDC has ...
To give further context to the size of Big Berg, it's bigger than the island of Tenerife, (2034 km2, pop. +- 1 million) part of the Canaries archipelago, where I live.
That's a large lump of ice.
Ice pack in full
Arctic Sea Ice Blog commenters come up with all kinds of ways to make sense of or visualize what's going on with the ice pack, tweaking satellite data, 'declouding' images or compiling animations. In this blog post I want to show a couple of those efforts. Commenter Danp opened a thread on the A...
Aaron Lewis: "I think the data flow and flood of ideas through this blog rivals the best academic venues."
I'll echo that: A-teams' post is a good example.
Baie dankie Neven.
More from Greenland
Greenland's glaciers and ice sheet have become an integral part of this blog. Perhaps it should be renamed to ASIGIS blog? ;-) This clip from the Chasing Ice documentary has been doing the rounds lately. It's showing the largest iceberg calving ever filmed, with 7.4 cubic km of ice crashing off ...
Karl, I suspect you are trolling. If I am wrong, then I suggest you go to a forum such as RealClimate to look at the factual information on AGW which is freely available.
This forum is about Arctic Sea Ice and the thread is about models. Let us not get diverted into defending AGW.
Models are improving, but can they catch up?
All models are wrong, but some are useful, as the saying goes. However, when looking at how Arctic sea ice decline is modeled, one might be tempted to say that all sayings are useful, but some are wrong. To be fair, I should be the last person taking a piss at climate models. Hundreds of brill...
Baie dankie, Neven.
It's been a great ride. And perhaps the greatest compliment to you has been the outstanding level of comment that you have attracted.
De Santa Cruz de Tenerife. Thank you once again.
A Farewell to Ar... ctic Sea Ice Blog
Well, not a final farewell. There's a good chance the blog will wake from hibernation when next year's melting season starts. In the meantime there will be one or several open threads for discussing the slow winter action (yes, even slower than summer action, or is it?), perhaps an update here a...
This should interest you Neven.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/jul/29/british-north-west-passage-ship
"British north-west passage ship found in Canada
HMS Investigator was abandoned in 1853 trying to find earlier mission searching for north-west passage across North America."
SEARCH September sea ice outlook: July report
The second SEARCH sea ice outlook has just been released: The July Outlook for arctic sea ice extent in September 2010 shows some notable adjustments from the June Outlook, with both downward and upward revisions from last month. Downward revisions reflect in part rapid ice loss observed during ...
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