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The blob of thick ice that seems to have detached from the Canadian Archipelago and started moving west. Normally this is the thickest patch of ice in the arctic and last bastion of safe ice. At 5m thick it will likely survive the summer, but once adrift in the Beaufort, it will eventually melt out (in 2016?), leading to a significant drop in volume. Another sign in my opinion that 2015 is preconditioning us for a bad year next year.
Check out the dark blob west of the 100 meridian: http://www7320.nrlssc.navy.mil/hycomARC/navo/arcticictn/nowcast/ictn2015072318_2015072400_040_arcticictn.001.gif
Beaufort and Northwest Passage videos
Over on the Arctic Sea Ice Forum commenter Jim Hunt from the Great White Con blog posted videos he made, showing developments since the start of the month in the Northwest Passage (where the blue ice is breaking up fast): Events since April 1st in the Beaufort Sea have been even more spectacula...
Is there a new link for the IJIS data?
Shock news!
There is no shocking news, really. I'm just emulating a way of news reporting as seen in recent months by folks trying to play down the long-term shocking news of Arctic sea ice loss. You know, paid climate science disinformers like Benny Peiser who claimed that the poles aren't melting, twisti...
Ghoshmm, they are there, but the link from the graphs page is out of date. This year's data is at: http://www.ijis.iarc.uaf.edu/seaice/extent/plot_v2.csv
PIOMAS February 2014 (upgrade to Version 2.1)
Another month has passed, but this time there is more than just a data update. It seems the whole PIOMAS version 2.0 has been upgraded to 2.1. As it says on the Polar Science Center website: We identified a programming error in a routine that interpolates ice concentration data prior to assimil...
Sounds like the Iqaluit storm is pretty spectacular:
From http://robsobsblog.blogspot.ca/ "That Iqaluit storm is one of the most intense storms I've ever seen in my 30 years following meteorology. To give you an idea how intense this storm is.. a meteorological "bomb" is defined as a storm which exhibits explosive deepening at the rate of 24 mb within 24 hours. The pressure at Iqaluit has dropped 36 mb within the past 12 hours.. so it's intensifying at 3 times the rate of a bomb. I've never seen a storm do that to that degree. Absolutely jaw dropping stuff. I suspect this may be the worst storm on record for Iqaluit with lots of damage."
Looking for winter weirdness 2014
There has been some stuff in the past 2 months that could be linked to erratic jet stream behaviour - which in turn could be influenced by Arctic sea ice loss - like a series of storms battering Europe's Northwest, such as the St. Jude storm at the end of October, followed in December by Xaver, ...
More winter weather weirdness: near hurricane strength blizzard in Iqualuit. http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/north/iqaluit-blizzard-brings-winds-up-to-135-km-h-1.2486725
Looking for winter weirdness 2014
There has been some stuff in the past 2 months that could be linked to erratic jet stream behaviour - which in turn could be influenced by Arctic sea ice loss - like a series of storms battering Europe's Northwest, such as the St. Jude storm at the end of October, followed in December by Xaver, ...
Here in Winnipeg, it got down to -38 C yesterday, which is cold. But I am not sure I buy the relation to sea ice. Currently, Arctic Sea Ice is not much below normal, and last summer was one of the highest levels in a few years, so why the record breaking weather now? Shouldn't the effect of sea ice melting be more pronounced in the late summer/fall when the anomalies are greatest?
Looking for winter weirdness 2014
There has been some stuff in the past 2 months that could be linked to erratic jet stream behaviour - which in turn could be influenced by Arctic sea ice loss - like a series of storms battering Europe's Northwest, such as the St. Jude storm at the end of October, followed in December by Xaver, ...
Arctic sea ice area is now the 9th largest "country" in the world, dropping below Argentina in area today. Kazakhstan is next in line. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Largest_countries
Record dominoes 4: DMI sea ice extent
There are several scientific organisations that keep an eye on the Arctic sea ice cover and put out graphs to inform us of the amount of ice that is left. You can see most, if not all, of them on the ASI Graphs webpage. I expect the record on most of these graphs to be broken in weeks to come. -...
Never wrote: It's good to keep in mind that all those years had a lot more easy ice to melt.
Would not the low average thickness this year as given by the Piomas/CT ratio imply that there is even more "easy ice" this year to melt, even recognizing that some of it will be at relatively high latitudes?
2012 lower than all minimums before 2007
With more than a month left to go before the melting season ends, 2012 has already surpassed all of the sea ice area minimums preceding 2007 in the Cryosphere Today (Polar Research Group, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) data set. Larry Hamilton's bar graph makes for an excellent visu...
Great job William. I think that there was discussion on the issue of aveage thickness earlier, but this graph really demonstates how the average thickness has declined. Through much of last fall/early winter, average thickness of the ice was under one meter. Your chart shows this to be a new trend.
TOPAZ data by Cryosphere Today regions
I'm proud to announce the first guest blog on the Arctic Sea Ice Blog, written by Bfraser. As my virtual credit card still hasn't been cleared and I thus haven't upgraded the blog to a version where I can add authors, Bill sent me his text, images and more, which are reproduced below: TOPAZ da...
From the table Gas Glo, it seems there is a pretty good correlation between Jan 20 under 1.31 m and growth of greater than 1 million km2. That would make sense that years that start out exceptionally slow, tend to catch up to the average. This does seem like a small sample to draw conclusions from. 2007 is the odd year out, but then, that was an exceptional year in many respects in terms of extent.
Open Thread 4
The other open thread comprised more than 100 comments, so here's a new one. There was some talk about the Alarmist's Dilemma, and I'm sure it won't be the last. I was planning on upgrading the blog to a paid version, but TypePad only allows it when one has a credit card, so I have to get one fi...
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