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fredt34
On Earth
Life Lover
Recent Activity
"Recovery" would mean that we're back to pre-80s levels... Not yet happening... After each Bottom year comes a less-worse year... Who would expect each year to be worse, year after year after year ?
I had exactly the same reaction about Waddhams and "at the end it will melt away quite suddenly". It will be Poof Day, or Poof Year. Neven, I think you describe exactly the sequence of events which may or will lead to this catastrophe. So far they didn't happen in this sequence - but if I'm right, all these events happened at least once in the, say, 5 or 10 last years. So it might just be a matter of being unlucky... but I think we're already at Step 1.
Toggle Commented Aug 4, 2014 on Poof, it's gone at Arctic Sea Ice
Isn't it amazing that the NSIDC's post for September hasn't been signaled here yet ? He it is, nicely putting things in perspective; http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2013/09/a-real-hole-near-the-pole/
Toggle Commented Sep 11, 2013 on Pinpointing the minimum at Arctic Sea Ice
Let me try ? Allegreto Breach Alley Courtus Ilotus Dingdong Pole E F God Art Hard Land In Hope Kochzilla L Monarcho ... Wattdown .. Z Can you find out who's hiding there ? Your turn !
Toggle Commented Jul 23, 2013 on The Naming of Arctic Cyclones at Arctic Sea Ice
Well I won't win the Umbrella either I think... I didn't hear your first audio post, i didn't imagine your voice like this. May I suggest that (if possible) you change the mouse cursor from a hand to a plain large arrow ? The stabilo effect is not the best for visibility... Most excellent post as usual !
Andrew, you may not have realized that Wayne is that Wayne.... Otherwise, it seems that this season, the one in which, according to the Navy's researcher W. Maslowski, the arctic sea ice might well disappear, had started... You know, I'm NOT impatient to see how it goes this year and I'm quite frightened...
Toggle Commented Mar 21, 2013 on Max reached (?) at Arctic Sea Ice
Nice ! It's going to be interesting...
Toggle Commented Feb 20, 2013 on Arctic Sea Ice Forum at Arctic Sea Ice
My deepest apologies - I hadn't updated the code which grabs the AARI's image hourly to display it on the Graphs page. Fixed now. (btw Neven, you should also fix the link to http://www.aari.ru/odata/_d0015.php?lang=1&mod=0&yy=2012)
Toggle Commented Sep 10, 2012 on Minimum open thread at Arctic Sea Ice
(OT, sorry, but ther's no Open Thread...) I guess I don't need to tell you why everybody should sign Greenpeace's petition on http://www.savethearctic.org/ Please do !
Toggle Commented Sep 8, 2012 on Signs of Arctic climate change at Arctic Sea Ice
Domino +1, IMS sea ice, also fall down some days ago. I think it's worth a quick post when Neven finally comes back, especially as it was the last refuge of the deniers - the last nail in their sinking boat!
Yale 360 has a nice piece by Fen Montaigne about "Arctic Tipping Point: A North Pole Without Ice", http://e360.yale.edu/feature/tipping_point_arctic_heads_to_ice_free_summers/2567/ Who'd have guessed? J. Curry says "that the next 5 to 10 years could see a shift in Arctic sea ice behavior, though exactly in which direction is difficult to predict.". She probably spoke with the Leprechauns. BTW, I can't wait to see next analysis from Dr Inferno on DenialDepot!!
In 2007, NSIDC (or was it Cryosphere ?) had to add new gradations on the scale because the curve was to hit the floor. I hope we'll see them adding the "0 to 2" gradation as late as possible.
I saved it for history (and resized for the blog), just in case they decide to correct it later !
The latest NSIDC graph is out : 2007 has disappeared, 2012 appears twice !
The graphs are nice, but don't forget to watch and eyeball the map of Arctic (I watch Cryosphere map and their side by side comparison tool). The chunks of ice which were detached by the Cyclon near Tchukchi have quietly melted and I would not bet a cent on their survival. The ice colored in green on Greenland eastern side won't survive either - and the current in Fram seems to go South to North, further detaching this huge patch. That's quite a lot of ice to be removed. I don't remember seeing any analysis of the duration or rate of thaw, function of "color" on the map and latitude. Worded differently, which of the blue, green, yellow, red... pixels will disappear in the next weeks?
Is there an approximation for the free board / heigth above the water? I mean, we have this "Manhattan size" comparison: how high would be the Empire State building or other famous skyscrapers compared to this "piece of ice"?
Toggle Commented Aug 18, 2012 on First Petermann Ice Island photos at Arctic Sea Ice
While Neven gently sleeps... Dr Muenchow has posted the first two pictures of the Peterman Ice Island 2012, taken from an helicopter: http://icyseas.org/2012/08/17/nares-strait-2012-first-petermann-ice-island-photos/ Amazing...
Toggle Commented Aug 18, 2012 on Petermann calves again at Arctic Sea Ice
Ze French say Merci et bravo - now we're going to see if and how this ice can resist a storm. I've been watching the Arctic See Ice since 2005, and since 2007 there's been no extraordinary event - even if we all know and see that the area and extent do decrease, and we think that the volume also decreases (although we cannot watch it directly until Cryosat data arrive - I always try to remember that PIOMAS is a model). So far, 2012 didn't seem to be on the way to create such a shock as 2006-2007 did - now it may. Just wait and see...
Toggle Commented Aug 6, 2012 on Arctic storm part 1: in progress at Arctic Sea Ice
The big hole opening in East Greenland re-activated my interest for this question: will we see Greenland being circumnavigable this year? If not, when?
Toggle Commented Jul 23, 2012 on Dire Straits at Arctic Sea Ice
I'm quite surprised and worried about this big hole in NE Greenland, I tried to find it on old images but couldn't. Are we going to see all the ice on the East coast disappear?? Who has checked the satellite images?
Toggle Commented Jul 7, 2012 on ASI 2012 update 6: piggy bank at Arctic Sea Ice
Aaron: I saw the Ice Crash happen in 2007, reading news and blogs eagerly to see if the models were questionned. They weren't. Soon after Maslowski issued his famous interview at AGU, "it might happen as soon as 2013". He really wasn't taken seriously. It's probably because it's so frightening to think that the prediction of Arctic thawing by 2100 would be erroneus and happening much, much faster. SEARCH and PIOMAS were the only new things appearing after 2007, but no new model happened to really take this event in account. So I'm quite pessimistic about seeing new models, going as fast as reality - for arctic ice, Greenland thawing, Larsen iceshelf in Antarctica, and if course temperatures.
Toggle Commented Jul 7, 2012 on PIOMAS July 2012 at Arctic Sea Ice
Neven, Isn't it time to setup the poll for the CT minimum daily sea ice area?
Toggle Commented Apr 23, 2012 on ASI 2012 update 1: a new beginning at Arctic Sea Ice
At last, news from Cryosat ! http://www.esa.int/esaLP/SEM768KWZ0H_LPcryosat_0.html Call for Media: CryoSat’s first map of changes in sea-ice thickness Media representatives are invited to attend the unveiling of the first map of the winter 2010–11 changes in Arctic sea-ice thickness measured by ESA’s ice mission. The event will take place on 24 April at the Royal Society in London. A live web stream of the event will be accessible through ESA’s Earth observation page at http://www.esa.int/esaEO/index.html.
Toggle Commented Apr 18, 2012 on April 2012 Open Thread at Arctic Sea Ice
> Half the size of France ... not my half, I hope!
Toggle Commented Apr 17, 2012 on April 2012 Open Thread at Arctic Sea Ice
(well, I've just found Neven's comment under the post, so he already knows about this - but nevertheless it might be useful for other readers)
Toggle Commented Apr 16, 2012 on April 2012 Open Thread at Arctic Sea Ice