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Jjj Jjj
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You are barely scratching the surface here and not with the best of examples. On one hand with the industrial revolution people started to be replaced by machines and your example is not a huge change , no real need to get all that alarmed. There is also more to self driving cars than what you highlight,you should think about those cars being available on a subscription based model, resulting in a lot fewer cars, cars better fit for our needs (no need for a SUV for just 1 passenger) and a lot less fuel wasted. The far bigger change is 3D printing ,and that change has the potential to be a new industrial revolution, changing our society in a dramatic way. You can print little now and hard to say how fast things will evolve but at one point 2-5 decades) we might not need to buy objects anymore ,or food. Our homes might be self sufficient, producing enough energy and raw materials for our needs. Maybe virtual reality headsets and humanoid robots should be factored in too, we might go out less , socialize less ,crime might fall and so on. Then ,the internet of things,sensors everywhere will change healthcare in a big way. And then ,you have "ascension",we should manage to put people inside computers in some decades. It's hard to say how fast things will evolve and how the world will look when we get there but we need to figure it out since this new technological revolution has started. This is a huge subject but i don't want to spend weeks writing about it so i'll stop here.
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So this is just a ruse to kill off the republican base faster - they are less educated and older,after that taxes up. On a serious note,this defeatist attitude is counterproductive.You don't really consider more income or cutting other spending and that's absurd especially given the topic.
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I always find it odd when dept is compared to GDP. GDP lacks context. Maybe a better fit is revenue and that would change quite a lot of things. Some european nations might have a high debt to GDP ratio but some of those are not very stable and some have a very solid debt/revenue ratio. The US can't reach the level of taxation in the EU anytime soon and that makes the debt per GDP ratio irrelevant. Sure we have the deficit but we don't include the backlog there. (sorry if debt/revenue is already used ,i am not aware of it)
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Rather odd to not talk about how action without the UN is illegal, or that you seem to condone funding the borderline genocidal military in Egypt. It's surprising that you aren't guided by law or morality but by interests.And if interests guide your line of thinking then ,at least , it could be the world's interests not one nation's interests. This line of thinking is what drove most of the world's history , maybe it's not a land grab now but that doesn't mean it's any different. Europe is above this kind of greed induced ideology , the US needs to catch up.
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I believe you should ask yourself why your first thought is not that an intervention is illegal. It's also rather disturbing to war for one's interests. Maybe it was ok 100 years ago but it's certainly isn't now. Guess, if the Middle East is 200 years behind, the US is 30-50 behind and ,it seems , in no rush to evolve (or grow up).
Toggle Commented Sep 9, 2013 on Bombing Syria? Becker at The Becker-Posner Blog
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You start with the wrong premise. The PC market is expected to be 315.4 mil units in 2013 according to IDC. in 2011 sales were 359 mil units. IDC expects the market to decline next year and have minimal growth beyond that , I expect growth to never return to the old form factors. Some organizations and users might always need a keyboard but new form factors can also host a keyboard and the hardware it's pretty much there,the software isn't.The need for a keyboard will also be lower and lower , just a few days ago a Microsoft researcher was talking about the topic .ARM chips are powerful enough to replace low end x86 chips but Android ,iOS, Blackberry and so on haven't pushed hard enough (yet) for their OSes to better scale on bigger screens.That could change and we already have more and more devices with Android going bigger, there is Chrome OS and soon the Ubuntu Touch. Apple doesn't compete in the sub 1000$ laptop category at all and the vast majority of laptops sold are in the 300-700$ range,if Apple had a 600$ laptop (they should do that and might do that soon) they could double their market share. Many internet users in developing countries might never buy a traditional PC,they use the new devices and that's all they need. You also have glasses emerging as a segment. Things like Google Glass and Oculus Rift, 2 very different devices that should converge soon enough and Microsoft is not ideally placed there.If glasses start to replace big screens , like monitors and TVs, it could be a major problem for Microsoft in a few years. In server Microsoft has been losing share for a long time now and this is before the ARM attack on the segment starts. ARM chips will run on Linux and Microsoft's share in server could decline quite fast in the next few years. As for Office , there have been no reason what so ever to use it for quite some time now when you have free (or cheaper) alternatives like Libre Office or Google Docs/Drive. Somehow Office is still selling, in enterprise change is difficult and Govs are easily corrupted. In Europe many Gov entities moved to free, open software it's cheaper and there is room for many more to do the same. In the US Microsoft's " marketing "is stronger so this trend is yet to start for the most part. For home users Office sells mostly because it comes bundled with the PC, something regulators should maybe look into. Bing is loosing a lot of money , it's a pretty poor product and not gaining much traction. Consoles are loosing a lot of money and it's a dead segment. Windows RT failed (for now) and it will be an uphill battle to make it relevant. Windows Phone is gaining some share but slow and not much and it's all on Nokia, without them the OS would be dead in the water. So Microsoft is endangered, they do have a lot of resources and they do have a few years before it's too late but there is a high risk for them to fade into irrelevance. The stock price is quite high given the medium and long term prospects.Microsoft an Intel can be another Kodak so i'm always amazed that the stock is not at 20$. For now they are trying to mask the decline with higher prices for Windows but that's not a long term strategy and customers are more motivated now to jump ship. They also seem to have included their tablets in the Windows division results and that distorts a bit the results for that division. They alienated their partners by launching their own tablets, since they did that a few of their biggest customers launched Chrome OS products and are relying heavier on Android too.
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Sep 2, 2013