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JohnQuiggin
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Thanks for some good discussion. I anticipated the "Mazda MX6" point in my post. It's certainly possible that improved search technology could lead to longer searches but if so we would expect to see much better matches, as in your example. That is, higher wages, greater productivity, and lower turnover. The last of these seems to be happening, but the first two are not.
Unemployment, aggregate demand, and search/matching
For what it's worth, I thought I would lay out my own views, after reading John Quiggin and Noah Smith. This is what I think: 1. Fluctuations in the unemployment rate from year to year are mostly caused by fluctuations in aggregate demand. Very standard, boring, demand-side monetarist/keynesian ...
You listed all three and eventually agreed to drop Algeria and Burma, but not (AFAICT) Fiji. Admittedly, Fiji's elections look pretty dodgy but we'll see next year. Zimbabwe's also holding elections, though I don't expect much change there.
Please post your list of charities. That's the most pleasant part of these bets.
Not Happy To Be Right
It looks like I’ve won another bet with John Quiggin. February 2013 has come and gone, and Hafez Assad remains in power in Damascus. If you’re interested in my analysis of the Syrian conflict — and, really, why would you be? — here’s what I wrote two months ago. Basically nothing has changed s...
"I actually like this one better, because I'll be happy if I win. "
I hope that's a typo for "lose"! Also, I think Oscar is a spambot
Noel, I'm happy to take the same side bet as with Doug ($50 to charity of choice). I'm in DC at present but will be back in Brisbane before the bet expires, and it's a long way to Boston from there.
Dictators
In a recent thread over at Crooked Timber, John Quiggin averred that with fall of Qaddafi, the world is running out of dictators. I sharply disagreed. I’d like to distill the ensuing discussion into a post, because it led to an interesting question: who are the world’s remaining dictators? L...
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Sep 5, 2011
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