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Brian Leiter
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Regarding your #1 (or, alternatively, [A]), there's simply no reason to think that what worked for Trump in the Republican primaries--already a bit of a freak show selection of the electorate--will work in the general election.
So what might actually decide the election?
Obsessing over last week's or this week's polls is irresistible, but they are pure noise (see here). This essay in the NYRB makes for timely reading (I've been reading the Achen & Bartels book, on recommendation of Jason Brennan, and it is instructive on a number of points). 10% of the electo...
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