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Neven
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Another month has passed and so here is the updated Arctic sea ice volume graph as calculated by the Pan-Arctic Ice Ocean Modeling and Assimilation System (PIOMAS) at the Polar Science Center: 2019 had a real opportunity during July to further move away from 2012, but failed to do so.... Continue reading
Posted Aug 7, 2019 at Arctic Sea Ice
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Last week, I opened a special thread over on the Arctic Sea Ice Forum to compare 2012 and 2019, because basically, that's what it comes down to at this point. In the thread, people post data, maps, graphs and satellite images to get an idea of how this year matches... Continue reading
Posted Jul 14, 2019 at Arctic Sea Ice
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I'm not predicting, it's a gamble (albeit with a basis: melting momentum).
Toggle Commented Jul 10, 2019 on PIOMAS July 2019 at Arctic Sea Ice
I'm not sure. I've heard Trump is a big Céline Dijon fan.
Toggle Commented Jul 9, 2019 on PIOMAS July 2019 at Arctic Sea Ice
Please note, when you click that last link, the irony of a guy melting ice with a gas burner. ;-) The more jokes I make, the more depressed I am.
Toggle Commented Jul 8, 2019 on PIOMAS July 2019 at Arctic Sea Ice
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Another month has passed and so here is the updated Arctic sea ice volume graph as calculated by the Pan-Arctic Ice Ocean Modeling and Assimilation System (PIOMAS) at the Polar Science Center: To quote Céline Dijon*: This is getting serious. With a total drop of 7066 km3 for June 2019,... Continue reading
Posted Jul 8, 2019 at Arctic Sea Ice
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Thanks, Geoff. Yes, it's going to be an exciting time to see whether the monster can be steered in a somewhat better direction. For every potential positive step, there's a negative one, and vice versa. I always thought that most of the hard work would consist in overcoming hard denial, which is why I started this blog. Arctic sea ice loss is simply undeniable, both intellectually as well as visually (which is even more important). I now see that there is also a lot of soft denial out there, in the sense that most people who believe that AGW is a serious issue, also believe that its consequences can be mitigated without substantially or structurally changing the system (ie our lifestyles). So, that's the next step, I guess.
Toggle Commented Jul 8, 2019 on June 2019, one hell of a month at Arctic Sea Ice
Thanks, Kevin! Good to read you again. :-)
Toggle Commented Jul 3, 2019 on June 2019, one hell of a month at Arctic Sea Ice
One last addition, which may not be so important at this time of year: Northern Hemisphere snow cover has been one of the lowest, if not the lowest, for weeks now. Especially in North America.
Toggle Commented Jun 30, 2019 on June 2019, one hell of a month at Arctic Sea Ice
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Before the latest PIOMAS data are published, somewhere next week, I wanted to present an overview of all the things that have been happening in the Arctic these past couple of weeks, and what they may mean for the outcome of the 2019 melting season. You've guessed it, I'm going... Continue reading
Posted Jun 30, 2019 at Arctic Sea Ice
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Hey Chris, good to hear from you! It has been my wish to pick up blogging again for a while now, but circumstances simply don't allow it. I've always thought that your Slow Transition theory made a lot of sense. But I think that a freak year with exceptional conditions can overcome it. I mean, just imagine, after the 2016/2017 winter - which was horrible for the ice (see the purple line on the first graph of this blog post) - the 2017 melting season would get confronted with this year's weather. I mostly agree with the consensus opinion that the Arctic could go ice-free between 2030-2040, but I wouldn't be surprised if it happened earlier because of an extraordinary melting season.
Toggle Commented Jun 20, 2019 on PIOMAS June 2019 at Arctic Sea Ice
Here are some of the strands of evidence, AJbT.
Toggle Commented Jun 8, 2019 on PIOMAS June 2019 at Arctic Sea Ice
Somewhere in between, AJbT. But hope for some weather that's good for the ice.
Toggle Commented Jun 7, 2019 on PIOMAS June 2019 at Arctic Sea Ice
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Another month has passed and so here is the updated Arctic sea ice volume graph as calculated by the Pan-Arctic Ice Ocean Modeling and Assimilation System (PIOMAS) at the Polar Science Center: As you can see, 2019 has moved into second place on the PIOMAS volume graph. The drop of... Continue reading
Posted Jun 5, 2019 at Arctic Sea Ice
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Another month (and a half) has passed and so here is the updated Arctic sea ice volume graph as calculated by the Pan-Arctic Ice Ocean Modeling and Assimilation System (PIOMAS) at the Polar Science Center: The flatline that started in the second half of March, continued for a while longer... Continue reading
Posted May 15, 2019 at Arctic Sea Ice
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This might offer an explanation.
Toggle Commented Apr 15, 2019 on PIOMAS April 2019 at Arctic Sea Ice
November 2018: 12th December 2018: 8th January 2019: 17th February 2019: 11th Now compare this to the previous three winters. It's all relative.
Toggle Commented Apr 5, 2019 on PIOMAS April 2019 at Arctic Sea Ice
Reasonably confident, Jim. :-D But not 100%. It's too bad we don't get daily PIOMAS updates at this time of year.
Toggle Commented Apr 4, 2019 on PIOMAS April 2019 at Arctic Sea Ice
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Apologies for not posting an update last month (busy). ----- Another month has passed and so here is the updated Arctic sea ice volume graph as calculated by the Pan-Arctic Ice Ocean Modeling and Assimilation System (PIOMAS) at the Polar Science Center: Look at the red line in the graph... Continue reading
Posted Apr 3, 2019 at Arctic Sea Ice
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Why do you think?
Toggle Commented Mar 27, 2019 on Jakobshavn record retreat at Arctic Sea Ice
Yes, sorry about that. I'm so busy right now getting prepared for a new gardening season, and building a big duck house, that I'm too tired in the evening to do the PIOMAS update. As it's too late now anyway, I promise I'll do the next one on time.
Toggle Commented Mar 20, 2019 on PIOMAS February 2019 at Arctic Sea Ice
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It was a long wait, what with the US government shutdown and a new year requiring spreadsheet updates, but here is the first PIOMAS update of 2019. ----- Another month has passed and so here is the updated Arctic sea ice volume graph as calculated by the Pan-Arctic Ice Ocean... Continue reading
Posted Feb 10, 2019 at Arctic Sea Ice
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I live in one of the few parts in Austria where there hasn't been any significant snow. ;-) NOAA has updated its SAT data. I've posted the graphs over on the forum.
Toggle Commented Jan 29, 2019 on PIOMAS December 2018 at Arctic Sea Ice
Sorry for not replying earlier. My impression so far - although I haven't monitored the situation very closely - is that this freezing season is going a lot better for the ice than recent ones (that were quite disastrous for the ice). What that means for the melting season is impossible to say. I usually take a comprehensive look once the freezing season is done. In the meantime, I hope the US government shutdown is over soon (also for the people suffering from it, of course), so we have the necessary PIOMAS and temperature data that are vital for having an idea of what's going on.
Toggle Commented Jan 25, 2019 on PIOMAS December 2018 at Arctic Sea Ice
It seems as if the only way I can log in at the moment is by selecting the Twitter option, and that doesn't seem to work reliably. Sorry to hear logging in is problematic again, Jim. And sorry I didn't get back to you earlier (I was gone and then picked up some flu strain from the Balkans). If things don't improve until the end of the month, I'll contact Typepad. As for no PIOMAS update, it's a shame, but the best time for it to happen. Let's hope things get resolved soon.
Toggle Commented Jan 12, 2019 on PIOMAS December 2018 at Arctic Sea Ice