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Neven
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Now where were we? We're here. ;-)
Toggle Commented Nov 9, 2018 on PIOMAS October 2018 at Arctic Sea Ice
Test... Working again, great!
Toggle Commented Nov 9, 2018 on PIOMAS November 2018 at Arctic Sea Ice
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Another month has passed and so here is the updated Arctic sea ice volume graph as calculated by the Pan-Arctic Ice Ocean Modeling and Assimilation System (PIOMAS) at the Polar Science Center: October has seen a continuation of the trend that set in right after the September minimum (see last... Continue reading
Posted Nov 8, 2018 at Arctic Sea Ice
Of course, but not from AGW. Can you present facts to corroborate your statement? Anybody can guess. What I was looking for was a measure of whether October ice conditions have any predictive significance with respect to the following year September minimum. Of course not. It is neither short-term nor long-term enough. Have you just started looking into Arctic sea ice loss? Your statement was a rather unscientific guess It wasn't a guess at all. I'm not guessing anything. I'm saying I wouldn't be surprised if the same thing happens that we've seen the past couple of winters (relatively warm, low extent, low volume). I wouldn't be surprised if it doesn't either. I simply don't know. Isn't that the most scientific thing one can say? how about some data about correlations based on prior year observations and whether October conditions have any correlation to the following September minimum. There is not enough data. Ask again in 20-30 years. Are you done trolling now?
Toggle Commented Oct 22, 2018 on PIOMAS October 2018 at Arctic Sea Ice
Please present facts, not guesses or "I wouldn't be surprised" statements. You want me to present facts about the future? Okay. We're all going to die.
Toggle Commented Oct 22, 2018 on PIOMAS October 2018 at Arctic Sea Ice
Latest JAXA SIE data is in, lowest on record as of yesterday.
Toggle Commented Oct 21, 2018 on PIOMAS October 2018 at Arctic Sea Ice
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I was ready to write about this 10 days ago, but the data wasn't out yet. And then life got in the way, as it always does. On the bright side, Wipneus has just updated his PIOMAS graphs to mid-October. More on that below, but first I'll discuss the minimum.... Continue reading
Posted Oct 20, 2018 at Arctic Sea Ice
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Now I can log in to ASIF. Good. I forgot to look at this yesterday, so I'm glad it worked out by itself.
Gentlemen, this is what the Arctic Sea Ice Forum is for.
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We tend to focus on the end of the melting season, also known as the minimum, because that's when the ice covers the least amount of water. That's all fine and dandy, but of course, it's just an arbitrary measuring point. For instance, this year's minimum for the JAXA sea... Continue reading
Posted Oct 6, 2018 at Arctic Sea Ice
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Another great video, this time from NASA Goddard: Continue reading
Posted Sep 27, 2018 at Arctic Sea Ice
Hmm. My comment seems to have gone away for some reason. Thanks for mentioning that, Kevin. That way I can fish your comment out of the spam folder, as I did.
Toggle Commented Sep 27, 2018 on PIOMAS September 2018 at Arctic Sea Ice
Yet another destructive hurricane has hit the US, following a highly unusual path, smashing precipitation records all around. Dr Jennifer Francis breaks it down in this excellent video from The Real News Network (please, share): Continue reading
Posted Sep 21, 2018 at Arctic Sea Ice
congrats with making the cut on the 4.5 M km2 on the JAXA SIE! Yes, these things are important. ;-) Is there a chart on ASIF of the NSIDC Sept Avg. SIE? I don't think so, but you should be able to find it on the NSIDC site (here for instance).
Toggle Commented Sep 20, 2018 on PIOMAS September 2018 at Arctic Sea Ice
I'm not saying this is it. 10K is not much. A drop of 11-12K tomorrow and you can add at least two more days to the minimum date. But looking at the current forecast, I don't think it will drop much more. If it goes up more than 25K beyond the preliminary minimum, I would call it.
Toggle Commented Sep 19, 2018 on PIOMAS September 2018 at Arctic Sea Ice
Where does Russell say it isn't allowed. Try reading before shooting off questions? JAXA was offline for two days. Latest data shows it has dipped below 4.5 million km2 on the 17th! It has gone up again by 10K yesterday, so that could very well be it.
Toggle Commented Sep 19, 2018 on PIOMAS September 2018 at Arctic Sea Ice
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I've waited an extra week with this post because I was on a holiday and because the minimum is about to get hit. More on that below, but first a short discussion of the PIOMAS August data. ----- Another month has passed and so here is the updated Arctic sea... Continue reading
Posted Sep 17, 2018 at Arctic Sea Ice
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A quite spectacular event took place during the past two weeks, and if it had continued for a while longer, I'm sure it would've been reported widely. Good to see that this event got reported, after all, on several news outlets.
Toggle Commented Aug 24, 2018 on Circumnavigating Greenland at Arctic Sea Ice
Forgot to mention: Professor Eli Rabett posted about this last week (check Zack Labe's Twitter animation). But over on the ASIF we have good eyes as well. We like carrots too.
Toggle Commented Aug 13, 2018 on Circumnavigating Greenland at Arctic Sea Ice
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A quite spectacular event took place during the past two weeks, and if it had continued for a while longer, I'm sure it would've been reported widely. It's something I've semi-jokingly alluded to when setting up this blog back in 2010, in my third blog post called Dire Straits, and... Continue reading
Posted Aug 13, 2018 at Arctic Sea Ice
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PIOMAS data came in a bit later this month, and I'm a bit later still, but this gives us an opportunity to look at what may happen during the second half of the month. ----- Another month has passed and so here is the updated Arctic sea ice volume graph... Continue reading
Posted Aug 13, 2018 at Arctic Sea Ice
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A great article was posted on the Guardian website yesterday, written by Dr John Abraham, in which he highlights research that shows that if it weren't for aerosols, Arctic sea ice loss would've been even greater: Pollution is slowing the melting of Arctic sea ice, for now Human carbon pollution... Continue reading
Posted Aug 4, 2018 at Arctic Sea Ice
John, that's for the end of June. Maybe wait with that question until PIOMAS data is updated next week. Although Wipneus did do a mid-month update and said: "The volume and volume-anomaly graphs show the melt in July is higher than most until now". A lot of the zones that are red on the end of June map that Wayne referred to, will probably be gone on the next update. Depending on what happens with the other zones, 2018 could close the gap significantly.
The data that Wayne has, is the work he has done on Extremely High Horizon Refraction (which is the name of his blog). The problem for me, as someone who tries to make things more understandable for a general lay audience, is that it's difficult to explain, partially because I'm somewhat limited scientifically. Wayne, what do you still expect for this melting season? Do you see it getting close to 2012, come September?
In fact, we might be seeing some of the flash melting and detachment that made 2012 legendary. Already happening.