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NickWhalenMP
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Yes, thanks Rob!
Wondering about the status of how the minimum will be determined this year without the replacement cyrosphere data. The uni-Bremen maps seem to have large errors outside the arctic www.iup.uni-bremen.de:8084/amsr2/Arctic_AMSR2_nic.png But I can assure you that if there was ice off the coast of Newfoundland in concentrations over 15% that it would be major news. So there are low latitude errors here. What will you be reporting for the minimum, Neven?
How much more of this wind http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icedrift_anim/plots/icedrift.arc.d-00.png Before we are talking about worse than 3rd lowest extent. Very glad this didn't happen in June!
Toggle Commented Aug 31, 2016 on 2016 Mega-Dipole at Arctic Sea Ice
Thanks, Neven, for doing all the work telling this sad story.
Toggle Commented Aug 30, 2016 on 2016 Mega-Dipole at Arctic Sea Ice
If there is a silver lining, the ice pack on the Canadian side should be nice and thick following 4 days of winds. The DMI daily temperature chart is very telling. That graph could be unrecognizable in a summer with no sea ice.
Toggle Commented Aug 30, 2016 on 2016 Mega-Dipole at Arctic Sea Ice
Lodger, and just look at those winds from Russia to Canada! I don't think that looks normal.
Any recent comparisons about which type of curve best models the overall sea ice volume decline? I still worry about those discussions in both 2007 and 2012 that predicted September 2016 as possibly ice free if an exponential curve was the best fit. Which it was on occasion. I'll actually take some solace if most here think 2016 is no better than 3rd lowest. That 2016 has so much melt without the type of weather one would expect to cause a big melt, makes me worry that we have passed the point of no return and the ice will melt out within a couple of years regardless of the weather. Simply too much new heat every year.
Toggle Commented Jul 25, 2016 on ASI 2016 update 4: breaking point at Arctic Sea Ice
Interesting stuff, and thanks for this hard work. I'll postulate that ice export through Fram Strait is a major factor in the record breaking years. Hopefully July will remain cool, with winds not conducive to ice transport. Cheers
Toggle Commented Jul 6, 2016 on PIOMAS July 2016 at Arctic Sea Ice
I used to post here as NLPatents. It's been a while. Watching the ominous summer approach. Back in 2012/2013 some of the exponential projections on sea ice decline actually had September 2016 as virtually ice free date. Scary stuff. Those living in the Canadian boreal forest anxiously watching the wildfires near Fort McMurray. Is the thought that lowering albedo from the ash deposited on ice will encourage melting; or is the ash in the air going to lower temperatures. If there is another thread on this - please direct me. And thank you, Nick
Toggle Commented May 15, 2016 on PIOMAS May 2016 at Arctic Sea Ice
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May 15, 2016