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-President, include Evan McMullin since he has made the ballot in Utah. (Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein/McMullin) -You could also potentially include Darrell Castle, the Constitution Party nominee. Castle is on the ballot in Utah, and will be the one other candidate on the ballot in a majority of states. The potential competitiveness comes from a weird situtation- the Republican, Trump, is seen as incredibly offensive to many in the state. Gary Johnson and Evan McMullin are seen as alternatives for conservatives, but Johnson's social liberalism is a nonstarter to some, while McMullin is little known so far. The Constitution Party is unlikely to poll strongly in many places, but could get 1 percent or higher, considering it is a social conservative party and Castle's VP is from Utah. You should consider adding Castle, at least this one time to confirm whether he has any local strength (since if he gets multiple percent that could impact the results in the end). -Ask whether Mitt Romney endorsing a candidate would make you more likely to vote for them. This could be done simply asking how much more likely it is, or after the initial presidential question asking people to select their choice for president again under the assumption of Romney endorsing a particular candidate (Gary Johnson and Evan McMullin seem the only possibilities, although you could ask about Castle also). -Senate: Mike Lee (R) vs. Misty Snow (D) vs. Stoney Fonua (IAP) vs Bill Barron (I) Also, poll a hypothetical matchup of Mike Lee vs. Jim Matheson. This will be an interesting comparison with the Lee/Snow results, as Matheson is the strongest Democrat in Utah, while Snow, with her far left she is, is arguably the weakest option for the race. This will show whether there was any possibility Trump could have ever helped put this seat in play this year. Also, it is still possible for candidates to be replaced, so Matheson could be made the Democratic nominee if competitive. -Governor: Gary Herbert (R) vs. Mike Weinholtz (D) vs. Brian Kamerath (L) vs. Superdell Schanze (IAP) -Downballot statewide races: these races rarely get polled, so it would be nice to see any or all of them asked for once, just to get a picture of how these races stand. With Utah possibly unexpectedly competitive, there is a very longshot possibility of other races being made more competitive if third party candidates poll well in them. Gary Herbert seems to be too strong for that to happen for Governor, while Misty Snow seems too weak for that to happen for Senate. they would rarely get any attention. -AG: Sean Reyes (R) vs. Jon Harper (D) vs. Andrew McCullough (L) vs. Michael Isbell (IAP) -Treasurer: David Damschen (R) vs. Neil Hansen (D) vs. Richard Proctor (Constitution) -Auditor: John Dougall (R) vs. Mike Mitchell (D) vs. Jared Green (IAP) -Candidate ratings: in addition to asking about any of this year's candidates, ask about opinions of Romney, Huntsman, Matheson, Hatch -2018 Senate: Hatch pledged that if he won re-election in 2012 he would retire at the end of the term, but he has been signalling that he is likely to run again in 2018. Should Hatch run again in 2018? -As suggested above, poll some social issues (abortion, gay marriage, transgender issues, marijuana). I would especially be curious to see how much of the state identifies as pro-life. I assume it is high, but curious just how high
Toggle Commented Aug 18, 2016 on Utah Question Suggestions at Public Policy Polling
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Aug 18, 2016