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http://ycharts.com/indicators/real_gdp_growth Real GDP significantly below your 2.9% figure. We ain't getting the growth, so we don't have any turnover in the money. It's sitting in bonds, and corporate bank accounts.
Is U.S. at Immediate Risk of Becoming "Argentina"?: Monday Smackdown/The Honest Broker for the Week of July 26, 2014
[**Over at Equitable Growth:**](http://equitablegrowth.org/2014/07/28/u-s-immediate-risk-becoming-argentina-monday-smackdownthe-honest-broker-week-july-26-2014/) I have been waiting to post this until now when there are only twelve months before the end date of my bet with Noah Smith on whether ...
I disagree with your comparison of China/Taiwan and US/Cuba. The Chinese are an oppressive communist power and Taiwan is a capitalist society. It's the reverse with the US and Cuba. If Cuba wasn't a communist state, it wouldn't be in the shape its in. The US embargo has nothing to do with their lack of prosperity.
If the embargo was ended, would Cuba be in statistically significantly better shape? Or would the surplus from added trade go into the pockets of the dictator and his friends?
I agree, the embargo at this point is a stalemate. It's more political than anything else. But ending the stalemate won't bring economic efficiency in Cuba, and it won't raise standards of living there.
The Embargo of Cuba: Time to Go- Becker
The US embargo of Cuba began in 1960, a year after Fidel Castro turned this island toward communism. It was extended to food and medicines in 1962, the same year as the showdown with Russia over the installation of missiles there. The embargo has prevented American companies from doing business ...
I would like to see studies of govt run education, and voucher education to see what happens.
Competition and the Efficiency of Bureaucracies- Becker
Bureaucracies are large complex hierarchical organizations governed, as Posner indicates, by formal rules rather than discretionary choices. This apparent rigidity in the decision-making process does not necessarily make bureaucracies “inefficient” because they may have advantages of scale and s...
The idea of a Basic Income Guarantee is running around the internet now. http://pointsandfigures.com/2013/12/15/basic-income-guarantee-capitalism-limits/ Would love to see you guys weigh in on a United States basic income guarantee.
Minimum Wages, Employment, and Inequality-Becker
President Obama recently lamented the growth in inequality in the United States, and called, among other things, for an increase in the federal minimum wage from its present level of $7.25. The problem is that a much higher federal minimum would raise unemployment, and widen inequality among yo...
My perception of you as a judge is a strict constructionist when it comes to Constitutional law. (I might be incorrect, and please accept my apologies if I am wrong). My question is this:
As a judge, would you be activist from the bench to discourage patent troll activity?
Patent Trolls—Posner
The term “patent trolls” is a colloquialism that denotes what the trolls themselves prefer to call “patent-assertion entities.” A patent troll buys patents (sometimes thousands) with the aim not of making the patented product or process or licensing it to others to make but of finding companies ...
I disagree Chris. There really is only one tangible way to measure the success/failure of college and that is how you do financially. I agree, you should learn something-and I'd like to see data adjusted for majors, prestige of schools etc. But it' s plain. Go and graduate, do better. In the Recession/Depression, college grads were not unemployed as much as non college grads.
Higher Education is Still a Very Good Investment-Becker
Posner gives an excellent discussion of the economics of legal education. Although many reforms seem eminently desirable, such as reducing law school programs from three to two years, I am optimistic that the demand for lawyers will pick up again once the American economy returns to long-term gr...
interesting as traditionally the SEC is a rules based regulator, while the CFTC uses principles. The CFTC has a less fragmented marketplace that is more robust, and creates more equality among its users.
It might be better to throw all the rules out-since they have been lobbied-and all the discretion out since it's lobbied and offer up the entire place to a wild west marketplace with the players setting the rules through their actions and interactions.
Why I Favor Rules Over Discretion-Becker
Posner shows there is no absolute distinction between rules and discretion (and standards) because most sensible rules allow for discretion in extraordinary cases. Yet there is a difference under less than extraordinary circumstances, and rules are better in the great majority of circumstances wh...
I seriously have been a trader for a billion years. David is right. Ping me if you want more in depth analysis. There may be a lot we can do together.
Radical idea for CMOs: Your next hire should be a bond trader
Way back in 2007, I offered a radical idea for CMOs: Hire a journalist. This idea, which I talk about in most of my live presentations was a response to many executives who wanted to know how to implement the ideas in my book The New Rules of Marketing and PR. "How do I create great content?" C...
I think that Prof Delong misses the broader point. It was the govt response to the downturn. Bailing out banks, car companies, cash for clunkers, and passing a massive stimulus was the problem.
On that Friedman and he would disagree.
Foreign Policy: The Four Horsemen of the Teapocalypse
The Four Horsemen of the Teapocalypse - By Brad DeLong | Foreign Policy: John Maynard Keynes once famously observed, "Practical men, who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influences, are usually the slaves of some defunct economist." During the crisis years of 2007, 2008...
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